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Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

As to that latter, TBH I'm not sure how PFF's algorithm grades it.  I think the grade may vary according to an algorithm which takes down, distance, score, and time remaining into account (not kidding). 

 

I am pretty sure that if the QB throws an on-target ball they regard as catchable, they score it as a successful pass play for the QB.  He "did his job". 

 That's QBR that you're thinking of.  PFF grade on a different scale (QB play only).  And funny enough use Josh from 2018 as a negative play example.

 

https://www.pff.com/news/pro-how-pff-grades-quarterback-play

Edited by The Wiz
Posted
38 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

But they were the best garbage time throws anyone has ever seen.

 

PFF is trolling at this point or just hates Allen.  Either way, their metric is measured by a group of people that don't like the Bills so Fuk 'em.

They have him ranked as their 6th or 7th qb through the year. They’ve actually been pretty fair to him all season. There were some huge qb performances this weekend. There’s been plenty of times to be annoyed with PFF. This really isn’t one of them. 

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, IgotBILLStopay said:

This is the more egregious tweet

 

How can Allen be fading after a week in which he threw 375 yards, 4 TDs with a 139+ passer rating (was AFC Offensive Player of the Week) and his MVP odds went from 34 - 1 to 13 - 1 (which is 3rd best)?

 

 

 

12 minutes ago, Stank_Nasty said:

They have him ranked as their 6th or 7th qb through the year. They’ve actually been pretty fair to him all season. There were some huge qb performances this weekend. There’s been plenty of times to be annoyed with PFF. This really isn’t one of them. 

Read that caption from PFF and tell me otherwise.

 

If Allen "faded" in that game against SF then I can only imagine what he has to do to gain ground.

 

 

And I'm not calling for Allen to get MVP, both Rodger and Mahomes have been in a league of their own but this past weekend neither of them were in the top 5 in stats from any other outlet I have found and Allen sliced up a good D.

Edited by The Wiz
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Posted (edited)
31 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

A drop in their metric doesn't count against the QB (at least I'm pretty sure it doesn't.  Also assuming they call it a drop and not a bad pass).

 

As far as which I would grade better.  I think of it like diving.  Every type of dive has a degree of difficulty which boosts your score depending on how well you do.  If they have a max of 2 for a clutch/tight window pass, that pass is a 2 hands down regardless of whether someone else might have been open.

 

Like I said, if you dissect a play for 5, 10, 15 minutes, you're going to find something that someone did wrong.  I know you stated that you don't necessarily mean that play in particular but looking at the other throws in the game and the 8 incompletions (4 of them throw aways) I find it hard to find a metric that can say his play wasn't one of, if not, the best of the week.


I know the drop doesn’t count against the qb in pff - that was kind of my point though. that just pointing at a stat line doesn’t tell the whole story, (but neither does pff).
 

 

All 6 guys had big stat games and I doubt it’s some huge drop off for josh.
 

I’m just pointing out pff agrees he was one of the absolute best in the week. Folks were acting like it was insane to be 6 but without analyzing on that level hes among some pretty big games up there. 
 

 

(and I’ll mention for you that you might find something wrong, but you also might find something better than thought analyzing it, like Davis being the right throw despite the open receiver)

Edited by NoSaint
Posted
2 minutes ago, NoSaint said:


I know the drop doesn’t count against the qb in pff - that was kind of my point though. that just pointing at a stat line doesn’t tell the whole story, but neither does pff.
 

 

All 6 guys had big stat games and I doubt it’s some huge drop off for josh.
 

I’m just pointing out pff agrees he was one of the absolute best in the week. Folks were acting like it was insane to be 6 but without analyzing on that level hes among some pretty big games up there. 
 

 

(and I’ll mention for you that you might find something wrong, but you also might find something better than thought analyzing it, like Davis being the right throw despite the open receiver)

I think my bigger problem is with Tannehill.  Getting beat 38-7 at the half.  So basically Cleveland switched to a soft D and let them have whatever they wanted to move the clock and scored 28 points to Clevelands 3.  That didn't make him better because he completed more passes, it just meant the D wasn't playing the same as it was in the 1st half.  They were giving him free plays that basically they graded him better on than Allen when he wasn't given free plays.  That's my issue. 

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Posted
28 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

As to that latter, TBH I'm not sure how PFF's algorithm grades it.  I think the grade may vary according to an algorithm which takes down, distance, score, and time remaining into account (not kidding). 

 

I am pretty sure that if the QB throws an on-target ball they regard as catchable, they score it as a successful pass play for the QB.  He "did his job". 

 

The bottom line is I agree with MJS that 1) PFF is not transparent about how they score plays or the algorithm they use to compute ratings and 2) they are transparent that part of their score depends upon observations they try to make objective, but that inherently have a subjective component (was that a catchable ball, an interceptable ball, etc etc)

If they really wanted to do it better they would need to have like 15 (or as many as they possibly can) of their analysts all grade each play and then take the average of all of them. Hopefully that would eliminate some bias and also the nuanced differences in how each individual is grading.

 

I'm not totally sure how they do it, though. It would be a lot of work to grade every single play from every single player. They'd need a huge staff. How many people do they employ? And they do this for college games too, right? I just don't know how they could do it well without a huge staff.

Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, MJS said:

If they really wanted to do it better they would need to have like 15 (or as many as they possibly can) of their analysts all grade each play and then take the average of all of them. Hopefully that would eliminate some bias and also the nuanced differences in how each individual is grading.

 

I'm not totally sure how they do it, though. It would be a lot of work to grade every single play from every single player. They'd need a huge staff. How many people do they employ? And they do this for college games too, right? I just don't know how they could do it well without a huge staff.

From what I understand, 1 person grades the plays and then 3 others review the grade/play.  So basically it could just be a quick, yup that was a bad pass and this person said it was or they don't agree and end up compromising on a grade.  I get the feeling that with only 4 people involved in the grading process they normally work through each play/game rather quickly instead of arguing about it.

Edited by The Wiz
Posted
1 hour ago, RichRiderBills said:

I'm just not even sure where Stafford would even have him. Josh Allen leads him in everything....what am I missing. Do they ever explain the metric?

That’s on a need to know basis and you...:doh:giphy.gif?cid=4d1e4f29wfjbd8l6dwujf09s8l

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Posted
12 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

I think my bigger problem is with Tannehill.  Getting beat 38-7 at the half.  So basically Cleveland switched to a soft D and let them have whatever they wanted to move the clock and scored 28 points to Clevelands 3.  That didn't make him better because he completed more passes, it just meant the D wasn't playing the same as it was in the 1st half.  They were giving him free plays that basically they graded him better on than Allen when he wasn't given free plays.  That's my issue. 


Someone once told me you could hyper analyze and find the flaw in any play. Might be the case for some here.

 

if splitting hairs over 5th vs 6th, there’s something to be said for it being a great game that was acknowledged as such and then enjoying the debate instead of being frustrated by it (not you specifically but the global tone of “they hate him” for this)

Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, NoSaint said:


Someone once told me you could hyper analyze and find the flaw in any play. Might be the case for some here.

 

if splitting hairs over 5th vs 6th, there’s something to be said for it being a great game that was acknowledged as such and then enjoying the debate instead of being frustrated by it (not you specifically but the global tone of “they hate him” for this)

I agree.  I also do think they they don't like him though. 

 

Just having a health debate over how they grade is all. 

 

And it is 4th and 6th based on the OP list. And I think Mayfield played much better than Tannehill and was still ranked after him... And before Allen. 

 

The defense were a big part in that win but Mayfield was doing well on offense. 

Edited by The Wiz
Posted

I get the sense that many posters here get a kick out of scanning every piece of media after a win until they find something vaguely disrespectful and then using it to suggest that there's a narrative against the Bills.  There's not.  Holistically we're getting enormously positive attention and analysts/pundits are fawning over Josh.

Posted
1 minute ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:

I get the sense that many posters here get a kick out of scanning every piece of media after a win until they find something vaguely disrespectful and then using it to suggest that there's a narrative against the Bills.  There's not.  Holistically we're getting enormously positive attention and analysts/pundits are fawning over Josh.

Not all of them but he is getting his due.

Posted
23 minutes ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:

I get the sense that many posters here get a kick out of scanning every piece of media after a win until they find something vaguely disrespectful and then using it to suggest that there's a narrative against the Bills.  There's not.  Holistically we're getting enormously positive attention and analysts/pundits are fawning over Josh.

 

But but....if I don't find some negativity about My Bills, What am I gonna eat with those Fava Beans and that nice Chianti?

26 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

I agree.  I also do think they they don't like him though. 

 

I don't think it's personal that they "don't like Allen"

 

But if you think about it, it shouldn't exactly be a surprise that a college QB who graded so poorly that various analytics gurus called him a "parody of a first round draft pick" and so forth, would still have elements to his professional play that would cause him to grade more poorly in their systems.

 

 

26 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

Just having a health debate over how they grade is all. 

And it is 4th and 6th based on the OP list. And I think Mayfield played much better than Tannehill and was still ranked after him... And before Allen. 

The defense were a big part in that win but Mayfield was doing well on offense. 

 

Once again, I don't think their analytics pass the "eyeball test".  But since I never have particularly respected them (dating long before Allen) it doesn't really bother me.

Posted
2 hours ago, NoSaint said:


is it insane to think tannehill may have made many similarly good throws regardless? 
 

I didn’t watch the game and 400 yards can be wildly slinging erratically or great discipline. I didn’t see if he was hitting his reads well to dispute his grade. If someone brings breakdown of one of the others playing badly, so be it. As is they all looked good on paper and the pff folks said they all passed the eye test. No need to be insulted by being among the very best scores in the week 

And pff doesn’t grade on just yards, I was just pointing out he was highly productive 

 

for instance, he probably got a very good grade on the Davis laser but might have come up short of the 2.0 score if they decided he missed the open Lee smith and shouldn’t have. 
 

I don’t think any of us analyzed these guys on that level. 
 

he’s in an elite group for the week.  

I’m sure he got a negative grade on the Davis laser because he had a wide open TE on the play. 

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