Big Turk Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 Mullens only has an average of 2.2 seconds of pocket time before he faces pressure or throws the ball, and since he is highest in the NFL at pressure percentage at 30%, it appears it is the former more often than the latter. In fact in only 5 games started, with 2 other games played, Mullens has been hit 36 times, which is 5 more times than Allen has in 11 full games. Mullens is also not much of a threat to leave the pocket as he only has 1 scramble on the season, meaning if the Bills can crash the pocket, Mullens will be in trouble. Advanced Metrics also supports this as San Fran has a pass block win rate of only 53% which is 20th in the NFL. Comparatively, the Bills are 4th at 64% 9 1 3
Success Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 Great info. I'd be surprised if Mullens beat us - if we lose, it will be more self-inflicted, imo. This should be a solid win, though. Our defense has continued to improve. Klein's play has been such a difference-maker, and now Milano is coming back.... 3 1
DuckyBoys Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 thats greatly skewed by all the quick passing they do in that system They dont throw the ball downfield Its a lot get the snap and toss it out to wr/rb behind or near the los 1
Big Turk Posted December 4, 2020 Author Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, DuckyBoys said: thats greatly skewed by all the quick passing they do in that system They dont throw the ball downfield Its a lot get the snap and toss it out to wr/rb behind or near the los The pocket time might be but the pressure rate isn't. 2
Penfield45 Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 We need mcd to design those blitz packages he’s so good at milano and Edmunds in coverage while Klein blitzes all night 3
RichRiderBills Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, DuckyBoys said: thats greatly skewed by all the quick passing they do in that system They dont throw the ball downfield Its a lot get the snap and toss it out to wr/rb behind or near the los I hear what you are saying but, I dont think so. Niners are 20th in sacks allowed.
YattaOkasan Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 I think their interior is weak (3rd string center I think). I think Ed should be able to continue to push the pocket which causes others to clean up. If we can get them to 3rd and 7+ I think we will get off the field at a really high rate.
Just Joshin' Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 Seems like a good week to blitz - both run and pass. Put the pressure on Mullens and don't let the run game get going. 2
Big Turk Posted December 4, 2020 Author Posted December 4, 2020 1 minute ago, RichRiderBills said: I hear what you are saying but, I dont think so. Niners are 20th in sacks allowed. This hides the fact that they are only 20th because they don't pass as much as many teams do. In terms of Adjusted Sack Rate they are 2nd worst in the NFL at 9.1%...only Tennessee is worse at 9.6%
Saxum Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 30 minutes ago, matter2003 said: Mullens only has an average of 2.2 seconds of pocket time before he faces pressure or throws the ball, and since he is highest in the NFL at pressure percentage at 30%, it appears it is the former more often than the latter. In fact in only 5 games started, with 2 other games played, Mullens has been hit 36 times, which is 5 more times than Allen has in 11 full games. Mullens is also not much of a threat to leave the pocket as he only has 1 scramble on the season, meaning if the Bills can crash the pocket, Mullens will be in trouble. Advanced Metrics also supports this as San Fran has a pass block win rate of only 53% which is 20th in the NFL. Comparatively, the Bills are 4th at 64% Allen hits back which probably reduces amount players want to hit him. Better to just keep pressure on him and have him throw it away. 1
RichRiderBills Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, YattaOkasan said: I think their interior is weak (3rd string center I think). I think Ed should be able to continue to push the pocket which causes others to clean up. If we can get them to 3rd and 7+ I think we will get off the field at a really high rate. I totally agree. Get them in 3rd and long. This is why its so hard to win by running in today's NFL. They have to put together long drives, but not us. Then you get an offense that can strike quick like Buff, and they can get in trouble. 49ers have a good D but they too, have been blown out and scored on by good offenses. Hell they gave up 25 to the Eagles. Not like this is the steel curtain or anything. 2
Big Turk Posted December 4, 2020 Author Posted December 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Just Joshin' said: Seems like a good week to blitz - both run and pass. Put the pressure on Mullens and don't let the run game get going. Agreed...the 49ers are not great at running the ball either, and in fact in advanced metrics, they are dead last in the NFL in some categories...in either case, they average under 8 yards per game more in rushing yards than the Bills do with only slightly more than 112 yards a game. In Adjusted Line Yards, the 49ers rank dead last at 3.44(Bills 23rd at 3.92) In RB Yards, the 49ers rank dead last at 3.51(Bills are surprisingly 2nd at 4.68 only to TB's 4.86) In Power Success Rate, the 49ers are 14th at 67%(Bills are 10th at 71%---much better than 30th last year) In Open Field Yards(Yards the RB gets past 10 yards divided by # of RB carries), the 49ers are 26th at 0.57(Bills are 2nd at 1.18 only to TB 1.40) In 2nd Level Yards(Yards the RB gets between 5-10 yards divided b y # of RB Carries), the 49ers are 22nd at 1.05(Bills are 2nd at 1.28 only to ATL 1.33) In Stuff Rate, the 49ers are 31st at 25.7% and only percentage points better than CLE who is dead last with the same percentage(Bills 17th at 21.0%) So basically, their RBs have not been very good breaking long runs in general and they get stuffed more than 1 out of every 4 carries in the backfield. Their offensive line also basically has not been good at run blocking and opening holes apparently either. 1 1
Kwai San Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 Bills D is going to have to get pressure and be ready for the quick outs....might be the week they FINALLY get a pick six! GO BILLS!!!!
Coffeesforclosers Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 I've got the feeling that the D we're seeing now is what McD and Frazier would have installed in a normal off-season. Shortened training time and Covid crap meant they had to water things down and rehash last year's schemes.
Buffalo Junction Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, matter2003 said: Agreed...the 49ers are not great at running the ball either, and in fact in advanced metrics, they are dead last in the NFL in some categories...in either case, they average under 8 yards per game more in rushing yards than the Bills do with only slightly more than 112 yards a game. In Adjusted Line Yards, the 49ers rank dead last at 3.44(Bills 23rd at 3.92) In RB Yards, the 49ers rank dead last at 3.51(Bills are surprisingly 2nd at 4.68 only to TB's 4.86) In Power Success Rate, the 49ers are 14th at 67%(Bills are 10th at 71%---much better than 30th last year) In Open Field Yards(Yards the RB gets past 10 yards divided by # of RB carries), the 49ers are 26th at 0.57(Bills are 2nd at 1.18 only to TB 1.40) In 2nd Level Yards(Yards the RB gets between 5-10 yards divided b y # of RB Carries), the 49ers are 22nd at 1.05(Bills are 2nd at 1.28 only to ATL 1.33) In Stuff Rate, the 49ers are 31st at 25.7% and only percentage points better than CLE who is dead last with the same percentage(Bills 17th at 21.0%) So basically, their RBs have not been very good breaking long runs in general and they get stuffed more than 1 out of every 4 carries in the backfield. Their offensive line also basically has not been good at run blocking and opening holes apparently either. I’m not sure all the stats and metrics apply to the 49ers due to all of the injuries and Covid stuff. Their roster has fluctuated substantially over the season. They’ve gotten healthier over the past few weeks, and may very well outperform those figures down the stretch. 4
Big Turk Posted December 4, 2020 Author Posted December 4, 2020 Just now, Buffalo Junction said: I’m not sure all the stats and metrics apply to the 49ers due to all of the injuries and Covid stuff. Their roster has fluctuated substantially over the season. They’ve gotten healthier over the past few weeks, and may very well outperform those figures down the stretch. Maybe, but their pass protection has been equally as bad if not worse...
HOUSE Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 (edited) The bag of donuts should have 3 sacks . Edited December 5, 2020 by HOUSE 1 6
NickelCity Posted December 4, 2020 Posted December 4, 2020 I'm always surprised that "San Fran" is what folks from 49 states call SF. Regardless, I'm feeling like we finally put it all together and squash the 9ers.
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