Backintheday544 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 New Ipsos poll has Harris +1 favorable. Trump -16 https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-07/Topline ABC_Ipsos Poll July 27 2024.pdf Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th&long Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 Dem senators up big in the key 3 states. Not a good sign for Trump. 10 hours ago, B-Man said: Hopefully they announced these polls to the crowd: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nedboy7 Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 “A Massive Fraud of this type and magnitude allows for the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution,” Donald Trump, Truth Social, December 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th&long Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 This is his sister LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 More good news! It’s been awhile since a polls come out and I’ve felt disappointed. God bless Biden for being such a great American. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th&long Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 1 hour ago, BillsFanNC said: This gets even better. Everyone understand the JD attacks now? And Trump being consistently over 47 percent in every poll and several have him over 50 says this might be blowout. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 3 hours ago, Big Blitz said: This gets even better. Everyone understand the JD attacks now? And Trump being consistently over 47 percent in every poll and several have him over 50 says this might be blowout. Not to call you stupid, but do you understand math? Notice how they have a weighted and unweighted number. The weighted number which is where the 48/45 comes from takes into account that more Dems were polled and skews the number to align with projected turn out. Thats why when you do the math underneath it aligns with the weighted number, not the raw number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 2 hours ago, Backintheday544 said: Not to call you stupid, but do you understand math? Notice how they have a weighted and unweighted number. The weighted number which is where the 48/45 comes from takes into account that more Dems were polled and skews the number to align with projected turn out. Thats why when you do the math underneath it aligns with the weighted number, not the raw number. Yeah. They weight the sample so he's following a grifter on Twitter (shocker). However, it also tells me that Republicans are less likely than Dems to respond to pollsters so is there a subset in the Republican group not being accounted for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Starr-Bills Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 On 7/28/2024 at 9:10 PM, nedboy7 said: “A Massive Fraud of this type and magnitude allows for the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution,” Donald Trump, Truth Social, December 2022 7 hours ago, BillsFanNC said: Most insults are actually projection, I.e. what the insulted is most afraid or ashamed of. So bedwetting huh, here is a helpful link for you. p.s. polls don’t mean much, hillary was way ahead. The real clue to how things are going… Trump distancing himself from P2025, and Vance. Don’t worry when the dems win we’ll give you better health care and wages not throw you in concentration camps. Win win for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Lol men v women. Ds will soon be the women’s party only - if only they could define what a woman is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 58 minutes ago, Doc Brown said: Yeah. They weight the sample so he's following a grifter on Twitter (shocker). However, it also tells me that Republicans are less likely than Dems to respond to pollsters so is there a subset in the Republican group not being accounted for? R vote in the poll is going 92 percent Trump. If there’s an unaccounted for R vote it’s probably not significant. The shift would be in the weight of the poll. 791-813-526 R-D-I is the weight. Exit polls in 2020 were 36-37-26. So this one weighs it 37-38-24.7. So if anything I’d say Independents are under represented in the poll if anyone. Recent polling was showing they’re favoring Kamala, so the margin is probably closer if you follow the 2020 exit polls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Bad news for the Trump campaign if they need to spend money in GA and NC now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nedboy7 Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Maybe you all can get your fake electors scheme back in action. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leh-nerd skin-erd Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 44 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said: R vote in the poll is going 92 percent Trump. If there’s an unaccounted for R vote it’s probably not significant. The shift would be in the weight of the poll. 791-813-526 R-D-I is the weight. Exit polls in 2020 were 36-37-26. So this one weighs it 37-38-24.7. So if anything I’d say Independents are under represented in the poll if anyone. Recent polling was showing they’re favoring Kamala, so the margin is probably closer if you follow the 2020 exit polls. 44 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said: R vote in the poll is going 92 percent Trump. If there’s an unaccounted for R vote it’s probably not significant. The shift would be in the weight of the poll. 791-813-526 R-D-I is the weight. Exit polls in 2020 were 36-37-26. So this one weighs it 37-38-24.7. So if anything I’d say Independents are under represented in the poll if anyone. Recent polling was showing they’re favoring Kamala, so the margin is probably closer if you follow the 2020 exit polls. We’re just getting started here. Harris as THE front runner is different than Harris as the after thought. Maybe she’s Neo, maybe she runs away with it, maybe she implodes. Bottom line, there’s plenty of race in front of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Callahan Posted July 30 Share Posted July 30 Dems want to keep the narrative on anything but Harris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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