ChiGoose Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 Four events in NC, three in PA, and one each in VA, GA, and MI to close out. Wondering why so much time in NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 29 minutes ago, ChiGoose said: Four events in NC, three in PA, and one each in VA, GA, and MI to close out. Wondering why so much time in NC? Hey, where's the appearances with future Gov Mark Robinson and that school commissioner nutcase candidate? Trump and Robinson have similarly stained trousers I hear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 1 hour ago, SCBills said: 100% Its never been more apparent than during this election season.. They are the enemy of the people. North Korean levels of propaganda have been laid upon the American public. It happened during Covid and is happening again now. How they manipulate and divide us: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 44 minutes ago, ChiGoose said: Four events in NC, three in PA, and one each in VA, GA, and MI to close out. Wondering why so much time in NC? Interesting for sure.. NC EV data looks good for Trump, but 4 events in the sprint isn’t indicative of overwhelming confidence. My best guess is they feel good about Arizona and Georgia, Nevada might not mean much either way, Pennsylvania would clinch it.. MI/WI are plan B and no clue what to tell ya about a Virginia rally. With a neutral firewall (if what some people say is accurate) of maybe 430kish for Dems, it’s going to come down to E-Day turnout in PA. Always was.. but the firewall isn’t low enough that Trump can pop bottles and isn’t high enough for Harris to do so either. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiGoose Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 48 minutes ago, SCBills said: Interesting for sure.. NC EV data looks good for Trump, but 4 events in the sprint isn’t indicative of overwhelming confidence. My best guess is they feel good about Arizona and Georgia, Nevada might not mean much either way, Pennsylvania would clinch it.. MI/WI are plan B and no clue what to tell ya about a Virginia rally. With a neutral firewall (if what some people say is accurate) of maybe 430kish for Dems, it’s going to come down to E-Day turnout in PA. Always was.. but the firewall isn’t low enough that Trump can pop bottles and isn’t high enough for Harris to do so either. I really wouldn't trust EV data to tell us anything. Could be that the GOP is doing really well, bringing in new voters who are voting early. Could be that the GOP is cannibalizing their election day vote. Their change in message around mail-in and early vote might mean the same overall number will vote but some are voting early instead of on election day (meaning they'll have less turnout on ED than expected) Could be that a lot of the registered GOP voters are Haley voters casting ballots for Harris. In the data, they'd show as Republican voters, but would be adding to Harris' total Otherwise, I think I mostly agree with you. It seems like it's gonna come down to PA turnout and it's way too close call. There's a lot of people who seem to have a high level of confidence that it's going to swing their way, but they're just telling on themselves. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 18 minutes ago, ChiGoose said: I really wouldn't trust EV data to tell us anything. Could be that the GOP is doing really well, bringing in new voters who are voting early. Could be that the GOP is cannibalizing their election day vote. Their change in message around mail-in and early vote might mean the same overall number will vote but some are voting early instead of on election day (meaning they'll have less turnout on ED than expected) Could be that a lot of the registered GOP voters are Haley voters casting ballots for Harris. In the data, they'd show as Republican voters, but would be adding to Harris' total Otherwise, I think I mostly agree with you. It seems like it's gonna come down to PA turnout and it's way too close call. There's a lot of people who seem to have a high level of confidence that it's going to swing their way, but they're just telling on themselves. Yea, I think we’re very much in toss-up territory, with a lean towards Trump, but much of that is reliant on men and low propensity voters coming out in the next few days and on E-Day. It does seem, based on data available, that R’s are cannibalizing their high propensity voters at a lower rate than Dems, when looking at voters who voted in ‘22 and ‘20. Dems banking on 10% advantage in the women vote currently, but are white women voting lean R or is there more crossover? Also, Trump is lagging way behind in Senior Citizen vote in PA. Both sides have roughly the same number of registers senior citizens in the state, but Dems have churned out almost double the percentage of senior vote so far. Do R senior show up on E-Day or does that become a problem for Trump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th&long Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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Big Blitz Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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Andy1 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 6 hours ago, leh-nerd skin-erd said: Ah, another Gumby argument to fit a narrative. I figured that might be the case--not because I think you're an intentionally dishonest poster like some others here--but because a declaration of the magnitude you made surely would garner a ton of press, and represent an easy find on the internet. What I can tell you with certainty is that while you're bending into a pretzel to reimagine comments in obviously unintended way, the people you support oversaw the security and safety of their political rival, that so failed so badly that a simpleton nearly assassinated him. From wandering around the grounds with a rifle, to ignoring concerns from citizens, to climbing on the roof of the building of one of the command centers--it's quite reasonable to question how much was incompetence and how much intentional from Team Harris. But carry on, Andrew. The assassination attempt was an obvious breakdown in security that never should have happened. Beyond that, I have no knowledge to form an opinion. Hopefully this issues have been corrected moving forward. So giving Trump all the benefit of a doubt, he is arguing that Cheney is a war monger because she has not served in combat. He is saying that if she understood what it is like if nine rifles are pointed to your head, she would be less of a hawk. So using this logic, old men should not be making laws ruling the bodies of young pregnant women since they have not experienced pregnancy. I guess I understand it now, right? Just another example of Trump needing others to explain what he is saying. The guy has as much problem communicating as Biden does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiGoose Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 19 minutes ago, 4th&long said: For one, we know it wasn’t staged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th&long Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4th&long Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 Sweep this under the rug maga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 (edited) 55 minutes ago, 4th&long said: No offense, but you bring nothing to the conversation. You come across like an extremely bitter boomer and should think about how you got to this point. Actually, do take offense. You just sh*tpost nonsense nonstop. Edited November 1 by SCBills 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dgrochester55 Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 (edited) Democrat strategy over the last few months. 1) Orange man bad. 2) Biden good. No health issues for Biden, Harris bad. 3) Someone shot at Trump? Well, they missed, so no Biggie! 4) Actually its opposite now, Biden Bad, Harris good. 5) Hey wait, X allows both sides to post, that will trigger too many independent thought alarms! Only our side should have freedom of speech. Rich man bad!! 6) Trump shot at again? Yeah but Jan 6th!!! 7) Lets focus on Harris’s platform. What are you running on Kamala? “I don’t know he he he, elect me and I’ll tell you!” 8 ) No wait, Hitler hitler hitler, threat to democracy!! We dont need a platform, they are worse Edited November 1 by dgrochester55 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L Ron Burgundy Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 8 hours ago, SCBills said: 100% Its never been more apparent than during this election season.. They are the enemy of the people. North Korean levels of propaganda have been laid upon the American public. It happened during Covid and is happening again now. You literally think the place that generates the most fake news is the best place to get news. By any matrix, X reigns Supreme. For misinformation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 1 minute ago, L Ron Burgundy said: You literally think the place that generates the most fake news is the best place to get news. By any matrix, X reigns Supreme. For misinformation. X doesn’t portray itself as an unbiased news source. Any other false equivalences? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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