Trump 2024?

[Sojourner]

10 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

Oh my

 

 

 

I can hear it now:

 

”Come on Jeffery, you can do it! Look at where you came from, look at you now!”

[Starr-Bills]

On 10/23/2024 at 11:50 PM, K D said:

I don't want to just win I want to bury them so bad that they know how unpopular their California socialist ideas are with the US voters. We are the Bills scoring a TD on every possession vs the Pats. Then maybe next time they will rethink their strategies.

The most populous and economically successful state in the union to you.  Maybe if America was more like California we’d all be better off. The socialist states are all red (they take in more money from the government than they pay in. So maybe just maybe it’s not the socialist policies but the propaganda of grievances getting people to vote against their interests, and more than a little gerrymandering. YMMV.

[K D]

4 minutes ago, Starr-Bills said:

The most populous and economically successful state in the union to you.  Maybe if America was more like California we’d all be better off. The socialist states are all red (they take in more money from the government than they pay in. So maybe just maybe it’s not the socialist policies but the propaganda of grievances getting people to vote against their interests, and more than a little gerrymandering. YMMV.

California is the biggest and has the most resources. Otherwise it's a trainwreck full of criminals and druggies. If it's so great why is everyone leaving? AZ, NV, TX, FL would like to send them all back if they could

[Starr-Bills]

9 minutes ago, K D said:

California is the biggest and has the most resources. Otherwise it's a trainwreck full of criminals and druggies. If it's so great why is everyone leaving? AZ, NV, TX, FL would like to send them all back if they could

Not everyone. Excuses and exaggeration, boring. There are nearly 40 million people there awful nice of you to call them all criminals and drug addicts, can’t imagine what you call your mother. 

 

Historical populationCensusPop.Note%±

185092,597—

1860379,994310.4%

1870560,24747.4%

1880864,69454.3%

18901,213,39840.3%

19001,485,05322.4%

19102,377,54960.1%

19203,426,86144.1%

19305,677,25165.7%

19406,907,38721.7%

195010,586,22353.3%

196015,717,20448.5%

197019,953,13427.0%

198023,667,90218.6%

199029,760,02125.7%

200033,871,64813.8%

201037,253,95610.0%

2020.           39,538,223.      6.1%

2023 (est.)38,940,231.    −1.5%

Sources: 1790–1990, 2000, 2010, 2020, 2023[2][3][4][1]
Chart does not include Indigenous population figures.
Studies indicate that the Native American
population in California in 1850 was close to 150,000
before declining to 15,000 by 1900.[5]

 

[BillsFanNC]

 

[Big Blitz]

Pete clearly thinks she’s winning lol lol.   

 

 

 

[Starr-Bills]

13 minutes ago, BillsFanNC said:

 

Billionaires are not friends.

 

[Starr-Bills]

Like a back yard bully, they threaten you then when you prepare to defend yourself they accuse you of threatening them. Remember Jan 6th 2021 when the president ‘encouraged’ peaceful protesters to go to the capital and hang his vice president. The cope in you guys is astounding.

8 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

Pete clearly thinks she’s winning lol lol.   

 

 

 

 

[Big Blitz]

 

[SCBills]

There are no pro-life candidates in this years election, Trump/Vance are as close as it gets and I’m open to compromise politically, but testimonies like this are why I will always be on the side of fighting for life.. 

 

 

[SCBills]

 

[Big Blitz]

It’s over.  
 

 

[Beast]

1 hour ago, BillsFanNC said:

 

That’s OK. She has @Roundybout, @Tiberius, @Joe Ferguson forever, @L Ron Burgundy and @Starr-Bills endorsements.

 

🤣😆🤣😆🤣😆🤣😂😂😂

[Doc Brown]

2 hours ago, SCBills said:

Surely Trump isn’t going to win Virginia…

 

-WaPo refused to endorse

 

-Polling shows a tight VA race

 

-Dems attacking Youngkin over voter rolls

 

Again, surely Trump isn’t going to win Virginia… but everyone seems to be acting like he can. 

Does he need Virginia if he wins the rust belt states?  I haven't really been paying attention.

[SCBills]

1 minute ago, Doc Brown said:

Does he need Virginia if he wins the rust belt states?  I haven't really been paying attention.

Trump, currently based on raw EV data, looks really good in NC, GA, AZ and NV.

 

NV really only matters if Trump somehow wins NE-2 and loses all 3 rust belt swing states.  That would trigger a tie. 
 

As it stands, Trump probably only needs to win one of the Rust Belt swing states or the longshot of Virginia or New Hampshire (which have some close polls coming out). 

[Roundybout]

5 minutes ago, SCBills said:

Trump, currently based on raw EV data, looks really good in NC, GA, AZ and NV.

 

NV really only matters if Trump somehow wins NE-2 and loses all 3 rust belt swing states.  That would trigger a tie. 
 

As it stands, Trump probably only needs to win one of the Rust Belt swing states or the longshot of Virginia or New Hampshire (which have some close polls coming out). 

Isn’t he not polling well in the rust belt though? Early returns out of the rural and suburban PA counties are pretty blue.

[SCBills]

Just now, Roundybout said:

Isn’t he not polling well in the rust belt though? Early returns out of the rural and suburban PA counties are pretty blue.

If you check out the polls thread, I have a lot of breakdowns of the PA EV. 
 

Quick summation:

 

Some Dems in PA who study data believe that they need a +500k firewall heading into Election Day. 
 

As of the most recent update, Dems are at about +373k with a current differential of D +132k in requested ballots outstanding. 
 

In recent days, R returns and requests have begun to slow the D numbers and it’s uncertain if they will hit, what is now, a best case scenario of +505k

 

Biden had double that in 2020 but that was during Covid and we know Dems

heavily relied on mail in vote.

 

Since 2022, R’s have registered a couple hundred thousand new voters.. they are also low propensity voters.   Will they turn out?  Will they get to 500k?  Is 500k enough?  

True toss up right now. 

[Roundybout]

5 minutes ago, SCBills said:

If you check out the polls thread, I have a lot of breakdowns of the PA EV. 
 

Quick summation:

 

Some Dems in PA who study data believe that they need a +500k firewall heading into Election Day. 
 

As of the most recent update, Dems are at about +373k with a current differential of D +132k in requested ballots outstanding. 
 

In recent days, R returns and requests have begun to slow the D numbers and it’s uncertain if they will hit, what is now, a best case scenario of +505k

 

Biden had double that in 2020 but that was during Covid and we know Dems

heavily relied on mail in vote.

 

Since 2022, R’s have registered a couple hundred thousand new voters.. they are also low propensity voters.   Will they turn out?  Will they get to 500k?  Is 500k enough?  

True toss up right now. 

Good breakdown, thanks. 

[Irv]

38 minutes ago, Roundybout said:

Good breakdown, thanks. 

 

[4th&long]