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Trump 2024?


Tiberius

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He said American kids are being denied access to schools so illegals can have seats 

 

He is now saying he is keeping Obamacare! Wow 

 

He said the Republicans are for common sense 🤣

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25 minutes ago, 4th&long said:

 

 

Ethel Mertz (Vivian Vance) from I Love Lucy was Hitler's body guard now?  Boy, you believe anything the Left tells you to.  Crazy!

 

Ethel_Mertz.jpg

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10 minutes ago, phypon said:

 

Ethel Mertz (Vivian Vance) from I Love Lucy was Hitler's body guard now?  Boy, you believe anything the Left tells you to.  Crazy!

 

Ethel_Mertz.jpg

What, she doesn't know how to open a ketchup packet? 

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3 minutes ago, phypon said:

It better have been a Heinz (German) ketchup packet!

Damn right! The deep state might try saving money using old taco sauce packets from Taco Bell...unacceptable! 😂

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10 hours ago, B-Man said:

 

 

 

LOL

 

Trump is done because Aaron Rupar is being quoted for his opinion.

 

Remember this ?

 

Twitter suspends liberal journalist Aaron Rupar 

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/twitter-aaron-rupar-twitter-suspended-b2246293.html

 

 

Meanwhile.

 

 


I was just pointing out Trumps dementia.

 

1. He thinks the Supreme Court passes laws

2. He thought he was in North Carolina when he wasnt

3. He thinks a dead guy is endorsing him

 

its also hilarious the crowd is empty.

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5 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said:

 

 

1) The people need to show up and actually vote 

2) Crazy that so many people will still show up and vote for that insane rabble rouser Trump

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4 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

1) The people need to show up and actually vote 

2) Crazy that so many people will still show up and vote for that insane rabble rouser Trump


You have to wonder if they will. Trumps 2016 and 2020 results were due to good turn outs and huge rallies. Is there a correlation between Trumps rally sizes and his voter turn out? If so, it’s looking bleak for Trump.

Also a good analysis on this polls weighting:

 

The partisan split was 29D/29R/29I (for all adults, unclear what that ended up being for RV/LV).

They weighted on 2020 recalled vote, among other common things. This is generally seen as a way to capture the "hidden Trump voters" to try to avoid a repeat of the 2020 polling error (though its effectiveness is disputed).
 

Weighting on recalled vote often has the effect of underrepresenting voters who voted for the winning candidate last time. Nate Cohn said that half of non-voters from 2020 now tell them they voted, and people are more likely to falsely recall voting for the winner. If they had weighted on recalled vote in 2020 they would have underestimated Trump by even more.

It’s possible that this effect cancels out other errors, but the direction of the effect is definitely to underrepresent Biden voters

 

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