Westside Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 47 minutes ago, leh-nerd skin-erd said: Prior to Gore Bush there was no hanging chad. I’m going to assume you would accept the results in this admittedly fanciful discussion. I’m assuming that’s the case because you previously acknowledged your willingness to accept the outcome if Trump prevails. That is honorable and you should be commended. Don't hold your breath. He is anything but honorable.
leh-nerd skin-erd Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, westside2 said: Don't hold your breath. He is anything but honorable. I’m under no illusion I’m changing hearts and minds here. I believe I’ve been civil in my replies, I try to explain my thought process and have been attacked by several posters for my political views. That’s par for the course, and I certainly can handle it. That said I really don’t like passing up an opportunity to acknowledge when we have a meeting of the minds. 1
snafu Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 2 hours ago, oldmanfan said: Then let me ask you this. Did you have the same opinion in 2016? 2012? 2008? 1960? Pick a year. We have a legal election this year with voters who voted legally, whose votes were counted, and one candidate won fairly convincingly. There have been much closer elections than this, and we did not have the fuss we see this year. The only reason we have so this year is the loser is not mature enough to accept the outcome. I believe that Kerry had a good argument in 2004 (people still talk about the Ohio results). Clinton's loss was so close in 2016 that she could have made some noise. All I am saying is that if a presumptive loser wants to challenge, that's his right. Just because he's a jerk doesn't remove the right. Results need to be certified by December 8th. If there's no actual proof or movement soon, then even the people that support Trump will fall away. Irregularities happen...you don't want those investigated? Here are two NYC examples. One was investigated and there were charges and the State settled with the City. I'm sure Bernie voters are so satisfied now. This was an illegal voter purge of Democrats before the 2016 primaries. https://www.cityandstateny.com/articles/politics/campaigns-elections/new-york-city-purged-voters-2016-it-wasnt-mistake.html The other was a mistake leading up to the 2020 election, which may or may not have been fixed. The "new" voting style that may or may not work to perfection. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/some-nyc-get-absentee-ballots-wrong-return-address-n1241362 Why would anyone consider these to be isolated events? Would mistakes or other irregularities push the result over to Trump? Doubtful in my mind, but obviously not in Trump's mind. And, again, he's got the right to request an audit. 1
WideNine Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 3 hours ago, snafu said: Trump and everyone associated with him needs to be steamrollered out of D.C. now. Not January 20. Four years was enough. Sort of. States have had longstanding systems in place. Normally you’d be right. This time around seems a lot different. I think 1/3 of Pennsylvania’s votes were mail-in. These are not robots voting. These are not robots handling. These are not robots verifying. And everyone is new to the game. And I believe there’s a difference between tallying the vote and auditing the results. Most times, an audit isn’t necessary. They actually do have machines that tally the ballots. Had them since midterms, and spent a million on installing more for the election. What the man overseeing election preparation in PA was not given was the ability to begin processing the mail-in ballots early. The state GOP legislature blocked those requests. Hence the prediction of mail processing lag which Trump tried to crudely link to fraud was in fact manufactured by the GOP.
snafu Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 18 minutes ago, WideNine said: They actually do have machines that tally the ballots. Had them since midterms, and spent a million on installing more for the election. What the man overseeing election preparation in PA was not given was the ability to begin processing the mail-in ballots early. The state GOP legislature blocked those requests. Hence the prediction of mail processing lag which Trump tried to crudely link to fraud was in fact manufactured by the GOP. Yes, everyone knew that this would take a long time. It happened earlier this year in the primaries. It took them almost two months (I think) and that really was to tally a fraction of the electorate. And I do know that machines count the votes that are submitted into the machines. That wasn't my point. My point regarding humans is that it is humans who prepare the ballots and send them to voters. It is humans that fill out the ballots and who need to comply with the requirements regarding signing, sealing into a privacy envelope, and mailing on time, etc. Then the people receiving the ballots need to verify that the voter did things properly. Then the vote counters get to put the acceptable ballots into the machine. That's a lot of moving parts at a volume unheard of in any part of PA's history. 1
snafu Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 4 hours ago, oldmanfan said: Also, I am not sure you can say Trump’s team has more info, because at this point they have not presented any claim in court that supports that. I forgot to address this... When I say "more info" than you or me, I'm talking about whatever analysis they may have of past elections and their patterns of "bad" votes vs. what they projected to happen in this election vs. what actually happened in this election. If they don't have that, then they're pissing into the wind. I would guess that they feel that the numbers can work to their advantage. Others seem to believe that Trump is just doing this to be a sore loser douchebag. It CAN be both, and I'm willing to wait it out and see what happens.
leh-nerd skin-erd Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 3 hours ago, oldmanfan said: You absolutely refuse to accept that states have methods to audit and certify results. What you are calling for is what the states do before finalizing counts. So if you don’t trust the states to do their job, who should? Blind trust is the hallmark of simpletons and the easily duped. I’m a trust but verify guy.
WideNine Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 (edited) 5 hours ago, snafu said: Yes, everyone knew that this would take a long time. It happened earlier this year in the primaries. It took them almost two months (I think) and that really was to tally a fraction of the electorate. And I do know that machines count the votes that are submitted into the machines. That wasn't my point. My point regarding humans is that it is humans who prepare the ballots and send them to voters. It is humans that fill out the ballots and who need to comply with the requirements regarding signing, sealing into a privacy envelope, and mailing on time, etc. Then the people receiving the ballots need to verify that the voter did things properly. Then the vote counters get to put the acceptable ballots into the machine. That's a lot of moving parts at a volume unheard of in any part of PA's history. I was trying to explain mostly how the lag was manufactured. The GOP has always been about vote suppression. The GOP has spent millions looking for systemic voting fraud and have come up empty handed. Why do they tout the fraud they can never prove? Forty years ago Paul Weyrich, the influential conservative strategist who founded the Heritage Foundation told evangelical leaders, “As a matter of fact, our leverage in the elections quite candidly goes up as the voting populace goes down.” In 1982, the Republican National Committee came under a court-ordered consent decree prohibiting it from engaging in voter-intimidation tactics aimed at communities of color—tactics designed to deprive Blacks of their right to vote. The decree was updated after further attempts at intimidation in 1987, and again in 1990. Despite more violations in 2004, federal courts let the decree expire in 2017. Freed from the decree, the RNC has plans to recruit up to 15,000 poll watchers in key states to challenge voters they deem suspicious, precisely the tactics that led to the original court order. True, intimidation in an of itself even with folks surrounding polling centers sometimes carrying guns is not really denying people their right to vote; it merely scares them from doing so. The same way when Trump was linking delays in mail-in ballots to fraud. If Trump supporters were smart enough to read more than Tweets they would see more clearly how politics work. It was clear to many in politics early on how the GOP was playing 3-D chess and working to stack the deck so they could falsely link mail-in voting as somehow fraught with fraud. This is misinformation to suppress the normal legitimate process of mail-in voting, but how to make it seem more real to their base? Cripple the USPS prior to the election. Obama's attempts to fill the many vacant USPS board positions were blocked for years by McConnell and the GOP Senate. As soon as Trump was elected they installed 5 GOP puppets into the USPS board - it was fast-tracked and the Deputy Postmaster General was forced out as they bypassed the government-approved process for interviewing and hiring a new Postmaster General and instead shoe-horned DeJoy into the role - an avid Trump supporter and mega-campaign donor. DeJoy immediately set out to knee-cap the USPS prior to the election. First, creating a backlog of mail to be delivered by eliminating overtime and any extra routes while at the same time claiming in legal filings that leadership at the USPS were unable to meet the operational demands required by judges concerned about election mail impacts because they were more short-staffed due to Covid-19. So eliminate overtime and extra routes when you are short-staffed. It defies logic. At the same time they fast-tracked the removal of mail sorting machines from collection centers that were disproportionately located in districts that voted for Clinton in 2016. Many of the USPS workers acted in defiance of clear mandates that were illegal, they ran extra routes, they put in extra personal time to make up the difference. This is why they were being cheered by crowds. They stood up to protect the vote, they stood up against GOP vote suppression machinations removing ballot drop boxes, requiring third-party signature verifications, feckless lawsuits to have mailed in votes thrown out. If the GOP want a recount in PA, they will likely have to pay for it out of pocket and they will find a few ballots that need to be tossed, out of millions of ballots cast this happens for both major parties every election, but they will not find enough to sway the results. Edited November 12, 2020 by WideNine 1
oldmanfan Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 2 hours ago, leh-nerd skin-erd said: You sir, are wrong, and the attempt to vilify me is uncalled for. I’ve said multiple times what I think will happen, who will prevail and who will lose, and that pursuing legal remedy is the American way just like it was in Gore Bush. The tent pole of your response in opposition is that you’re worried. I’m no less worried, and that’s why legal remedy is such an important aspect of our republic. I am not at all about DJT winning at all costs, I never have been. While I’m concerned about a Biden ticket, green new deals, a move away from energy independence, defunding the police and elevating criminals to martyr status, I have long recognized that my fellow citizens may have no such concern. I’ve been prepared for this for 4 years, and am prepared to weather the coming storm. I have no interest in unity under the terms dictated, but that’s my right as an American. It’s not unlike the fact that my fellow citizens may well vote for a candidate intent on substantially increasing my tax burden while reducing theirs. I’m a patriot, I gladly pay my taxes but for those who pitch some perverted of the ever increasing fair share, that isn’t unity, that’s a shakedown. One of the challenges in Washington is the level of influence peddling and nepotism present. Again, in normal times, I think pretty much everyone knows this. Suddenly however, we’ve got the cleanest government in fathers history of fa-Evah. My thought is that if you went down the list of senators involved in the hearing, a minimum of 80% have undertaken similar projects for friends and family and run the risk of mutually assured destruction should one or the other is targeted. See, I’m a realist. I don’t think Biden did anything that we haven’t done throughout the history of the country. I’d think McConnell, Graham, Romney, Feinstein and the rest run similar deals. I think Presidents do this sort of thing all the time, we shape nations in the image we want and $$$$ is the key. I think the difference was Trump. He’s not been in Washington for 15, 20, 40 years and has no skin in that game. So, a second political witch-hunt that goes nowhere is launched, believers in fairy tales and the innate goodness of politicians like yourself look at something like this and say “Well, what Trump did was wrong because nothing happened to Biden”. I only judged what I saw inconjuction with the impeachment that was undertaken that went nowhere. Meanwhile, more independent leaning folks hear about phony charges and impeachment, serial rapists and Russian treason. I’ll ask differently. With what you saw Biden doing, in conjunction with his sons interests in the country, troubling on any level to you? In conjunction with that question, given the Senate’s decision to disregard the impeachment vote as a political ploy, was the impeachment debacle good for unit and harmony? Btw, was Obama’s decision to incinerate the personal wealth of GM Bondholders an act of Presidential decorum or the act of someone with dictatorial aspirations? I’m well aware you may not be an Obama supporter, but wondering your thoughts. Good conversation. Getting killed at work and will reply later today. 1
snafu Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 50 minutes ago, WideNine said: The GOP has always been about vote suppression. Thank you for your response. As for the above, i provided an example of Democrats suppressing votes in 2016 earlier in this thread. Voting irregularities take many forms, and it isn't one party or the other that is more or less guilty. As for the rest of your thread, that's all conjecture belied by the fact that BOTH candidates have achieved records for the most votes cast in a Presidential race. Trump is always labeled. In this case, he's the worst vote-suppressor ever. 1
WideNine Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 (edited) 46 minutes ago, snafu said: Thank you for your response. As for the above, i provided an example of Democrats suppressing votes in 2016 earlier in this thread. Voting irregularities take many forms, and it isn't one party or the other that is more or less guilty. As for the rest of your thread, that's all conjecture belied by the fact that BOTH candidates have achieved records for the most votes cast in a Presidential race. Trump is always labeled. In this case, he's the worst vote-suppressor ever. A matter of scope - your example appears to be a schism in the ranks of the Dems that focused on purging a NYC DB of Dem votes that may have not been for Clinton. Not sure if I would call that systemic, but it was definitely wrong. The same way the DNC emails outlined overt attempts to sideline Sanders during their primaries. The dilemma that the DNC found itself in back then, and continues through today, is that their far-left representatives or candidates from the Metro areas don't have a snowball's chance in hell challenging a GOP or moderate candidate's broader national base. But what they can do is essentially split or water down the DNC overall vote turnout for their primary winner. Regarding systemic voter registration purging as a suppression mechanism: The GOP has been partaking in Registration purges across the nation in more of an organized systemic fashion - not just an isolated schism within their own ranks. Georgia - purging nearly 200,000 valid voters from their registries. Sued Michigan to purge their voter registration DBs Sued to remove over 130,000 registered voters in Wisconsin Judicial Watch - A GOP legal effort towards registration purges across several Dem and swing states has wrongly misrepresented registration irregularities for most of the year citing more registered voters than those living in various areas as proof of fraud or allowing for voter fraud. Trump and other propaganda outlets have recycled that misinformation. Judicial Watch’s claim rests on its inclusion of “inactive voters” – people who have been removed from active rolls after a mail ballot, voter guide or other official document was returned as undeliverable – usually as a result of moving. In most states including California they aren’t reflected in turnout tallies or signature-gathering requirements, don’t receive election materials, and are ignored by campaigns. Inactive voters nevertheless underline Judicial Watch’s math suggesting that places like Los Angeles County has a registration rate of 112 percent, for example, or Stanislaus County has a registration rate of 102 percent. Their legal communication cites a “failure to maintain accurate, up-to-date voter registration lists. Bob Popper, director of Judicial Watch’s election integrity project, said California has failed to report its inactive voter data to the federal government as required by the National Voter Registration Act. Counties should be doing more to cull their inactive voter lists, he said. “What we identified is a red flag, a sign of smoke,” he said, saying people could be voting multiple times or in more than one state. His premise is that inactive voters would receive a ballot and then be able to vote. I have heard this same premise taking Tweets and running with them on this board several times myself. First - In fact, California did report the data. Its inactive voter tally of 5,065,746 at the time of last fall’s election is part of the most recent election administration and voting survey published by the federal Election Assistance Commission. Also, in the case of California, their National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) regulations state that although inactive voters remain on the rolls as registered voters who are eligible to vote, they do not receive “mailed election materials” (including mail-in ballots) and must “confirm residency at the polling place” in person in order to vote — standards that would severely limit or eliminate double-voting or the ability of third parties to fraudulently use inactive registrations to cast ballots. Re: Judicial Watch WIKI - Summary Judicial Watch (JW) is an American conservative activist group[1] that files Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) lawsuits to investigate claimed misconduct by government officials. Founded in 1994, JW has primarily targeted Democrats, in particular the Presidency of Bill Clinton, the Presidency of Barack Obama, and Hillary Clinton. The organization has described climate science as "fraud science" and has filed lawsuits against government climate scientists. JW has made numerous false and unsubstantiated claims that have been picked up by right-wing news outlets and promoted by conservative figures. President Donald Trump has repeatedly cited false claims by Judicial Watch about voter fraud. Courts have dismissed the vast majority of its lawsuits.[2] Edited November 12, 2020 by WideNine
snafu Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 3 minutes ago, WideNine said: A matter of scope - your example appears to be a schism in the ranks of the Dems that focused on purging a NYC DB of Dem votes that may have not been for Clinton. Not sure if I would call that systemic, but it was definitely wrong. The same way the DNC emails outlined overt attempts to sideline Sanders during their primaries. The dilemma that the DNC found itself in back then, and continues through today, is that their far-left representatives or candidates from the Metro areas don't have a snowball's chance in hell challenging a GOP or moderate candidate's broader national base. But what they can do is essentially split or water down the DNC overall vote turnout for their primary winner. Regarding systemic voter registration purging as a suppression mechanism: The GOP has been partaking in Registration purges across the nation in more of an organized systemic fashion - not just an isolated schism within their own ranks. Georgia - purging nearly 200,000 valid voters from their registries. Sued Michigan to purge their voter registration DBs Sued to remove over 130,000 registered voters in Wisconsin Judicial Watch - A GOP legal effort towards registration purges across several Dem and swing states has wrongly misrepresented registration irregularities for most of the year citing more registered voters than those living in various areas as proof of fraud or allowing for voter fraud. Trump and other propaganda outlets have recycled that misinformation. Judicial Watch’s claim rests on its inclusion of “inactive voters” – people who have been removed from active rolls after a mail ballot, voter guide or other official document was returned as undeliverable – usually as a result of moving. In most states including California they aren’t reflected in turnout tallies or signature-gathering requirements, don’t receive election materials, and are ignored by campaigns. Inactive voters nevertheless underline Judicial Watch’s math suggesting that places like Los Angeles County has a registration rate of 112 percent, for example, or Stanislaus County has a registration rate of 102 percent. Their legal communication cites a “failure to maintain accurate, up-to-date voter registration lists. Bob Popper, director of Judicial Watch’s election integrity project, said California has failed to report its inactive voter data to the federal government as required by the National Voter Registration Act. Counties should be doing more to cull their inactive voter lists, he said. “What we identified is a red flag, a sign of smoke,” he said, saying people could be voting multiple times or in more than one state. His premise is that inactive voters would receive a ballot and then be able to vote. I have heard this same premise taking Tweets and running with them on this board several times myself. First - In fact, California did report the data. Its inactive voter tally of 5,065,746 at the time of last fall’s election is part of the most recent election administration and voting survey published by the federal Election Assistance Commission. Also, in the case of California, their National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) regulations state that although inactive voters remain on the rolls as registered voters who are eligible to vote, they do not receive “mailed election materials” (including mail-in ballots) and must “confirm residency at the polling place” in person in order to vote — standards that would severely limit or eliminate double-voting or the ability of third parties to fraudulently use inactive registrations to cast ballots: Great, now do the D's history of using labor unions, ballot harvesting and Census data to pump up their vote count, or their House representation. I won't get into the weeds of utilizing voter rolls to the D's advantage (stale voters, out of state voters, deceased voters, voters who may not be citizens, etc.). Go no further than gerrymandering. Both sides practice that. Like I've been saying, it is a sword that cuts both ways. You choose to look only at one edge, it appears. 1
WideNine Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 (edited) 3 hours ago, snafu said: Great, now do the D's history of using labor unions, ballot harvesting and Census data to pump up their vote count, or their House representation. I won't get into the weeds of utilizing voter rolls to the D's advantage (stale voters, out of state voters, deceased voters, voters who may not be citizens, etc.). Go no further than gerrymandering. Both sides practice that. Like I've been saying, it is a sword that cuts both ways. You choose to look only at one edge, it appears. The myth of stale voters, deceased voters, and non-citizen voters promoted by Judicial Watch I addressed above. Misinformation dangerously parroted to cast our US elections as fraudulent. Political shenanigans aside our voting system is pretty resilient and resistant to systemic tampering of actual ballots as it is currently operated. As with any election that has millions of votes isolated incidents are inevitable, but I have yet to see an independent or GOP-funded study that leads to a conclusion of systemic voter fraud. It is the GOP-created myth around ballot integrity that is a dangerous effort to discourage voting and faith in our election commissions across the country. Close vote counts should be recounted to verify results, larger margins have the option for GOP-funded recounts, our elections work but I will never be convinced that there is an equal effort to disenfranchise voters between the GOP and the Dems. That is patently false. Only one of those groups has actually, factually been censured by our Supreme Court because of voter suppression tactics, the GOP. Background of the Concent Decree that was initiated to censor the RNC from suppression tactics included in a 2016 DNC court filing: Review the history of exactly what the GOP was censored from doing and ask yourself if they have not gone back to the same bag of tricks. https://www.brennancenter.org/sites/default/files/legal-work/11-05-2016_Order.pdf I agree with your premise regarding gerrymandering - both sides have partaken in it and there needs to be a better solution that has the overall effect of first simply limiting redistricting activity in general and secondly removing it from the hands of political representatives in that state. Another idea is to come up with a computer model or system based on a states census data that everyone uses whether they like what it draws or not. What we have now, simply allows whatever party that is in control of the state's legislature to draw up ridiculous maps that favors their party and then leads to a myriad of lawsuits. Edited November 13, 2020 by WideNine
shoshin Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 4 hours ago, snafu said: I believe that Kerry had a good argument in 2004 (people still talk about the Ohio results). Clinton's loss was so close in 2016 that she could have made some noise. All I am saying is that if a presumptive loser wants to challenge, that's his right. Just because he's a jerk doesn't remove the right. Results need to be certified by December 8th. If there's no actual proof or movement soon, then even the people that support Trump will fall away. Irregularities happen...you don't want those investigated? Here are two NYC examples. One was investigated and there were charges and the State settled with the City. I'm sure Bernie voters are so satisfied now. This was an illegal voter purge of Democrats before the 2016 primaries. https://www.cityandstateny.com/articles/politics/campaigns-elections/new-york-city-purged-voters-2016-it-wasnt-mistake.html The other was a mistake leading up to the 2020 election, which may or may not have been fixed. The "new" voting style that may or may not work to perfection. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/some-nyc-get-absentee-ballots-wrong-return-address-n1241362 Why would anyone consider these to be isolated events? Would mistakes or other irregularities push the result over to Trump? Doubtful in my mind, but obviously not in Trump's mind. And, again, he's got the right to request an audit. He’s not just challenging and requesting an audit. He has said that he won multiple times. That there is evidence of hundreds of thousands of fraudulent votes cast. He is not merely asking for more data. He’s staying his hope as fact, with as yet no evidence of widespread fraud. From the office of POTUS. Without ensuring the transition begins, a process he could always stop.
Niagara Bill Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 Where the flip is trump. More people died in the past 2 days than died on 9 11. On Oct 27th in his speech he said Covid would disappear after the election , that doctors increased the numbers etc etc etc. Where is this piece of shtt. He is the most gutless leader ever to be President.....people who continue to support him need to get some balls. You can be a staunch Republican and recognize this piece of poop needs to be dealt with now. By Jan 20 the death toll will be over 400,000 and still climbing faster. Lock him up, lock him up, lock him up. He is murdering Americans. 2
transplantbillsfan Posted November 12, 2020 Posted November 12, 2020 (edited) 8 hours ago, snafu said: I don’t know how monumental it would need to be. If the mai-in rate is 5x the normal rate (that’s just a made up number) then you’d expect 5x the normal amount of bad ballots. If the sheer volume and time crunch made for hasty analysis, then perhaps it may have been higher. As for evidence, I presume that will come — though part of the challenge is to throw out every PA ballot received after 8:00 on Election Day. If that’s successful, then what need is there to analyze or present findings? My post referred to human error, system failure, AND failure to adhere to State laws. In my mind, this has little to do with Trump. It could be the other way around, and I would let the challenge go on. As was stated earlier, what’s the harm in it if it turns out that everything is up-and-up? The reverse is: who benefits if something went wrong and it isn’t found out? Not you and me. Not now, not in the future. So even if there are errors 5 times the normal rate, why would ANYONE logically assume all those errors would bounce one way? Seems there would be just as many errors in Trump's favor as in Biden's... or it would be comparable. And the gap between the two is in the hundreds of thousands at this point in terms of what Trump needs to make up. And yes, I see that you acknowledge this at the end. It just seems such a flimsy and silly argument on Trump's part at this point. Edited November 12, 2020 by transplantbillsfan
Backintheday544 Posted November 13, 2020 Posted November 13, 2020 Trump walks away from COVID briefing afraid to answer questions. Remember before the election when the right thought that would cost Biden the election and that it was unpresidential?
Q-baby! Posted November 14, 2020 Posted November 14, 2020 “The dude” has lost his mind over there (other site.) He said he is actually hoping for another 9/11. Messed up mother *****! Can’t wait to see all the new usernames they create once this is all done and they look foolish (more than usual.) 1
daz28 Posted November 14, 2020 Posted November 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, Q-baby! said: “The dude” has lost his mind over there (other site.) He said he is actually hoping for another 9/11. Messed up mother *****! Can’t wait to see all the new usernames they create once this is all done and they look foolish (more than usual.) Let's just be glad they built a wall that keeps us out from all their nonsense. 1
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