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Posted

Anybody else concerned that the Bills are currently 20th in point differential with -12 at the moment? And not for the first time. We have had a negative point differential in 2017 and 2018 as well. There are currently 3 teams with winning records and a negative differential. LV, CLE, and BUF. There are no teams below .500 with a positive differential. 

 

12 is fixable. Even as early as next week. But something to keep an eye on with a ton of football to play. We aren’t in great company at the moment. LV is at -1 which will be back in the green if they beat the Bucs. Cleveland feels like a paper tiger. Like the Bills the food have one big loss screwing with the numbers. 
 

Playoff Teams with Negative Differential

 

2019- Houston (-7) 10-6: Lose by 20 to the Chiefs in the Divisional round.

2017- Buffalo (-57) 9-7: Lose in one of the most boring playoff match ups in history to the Jags.

         - Titans (-22) 9-7: Lose to Pats by 21 in the Divisional round. 

2016- Lions (-12) 9-7: Lose by 20 in the Divisional.

         - Dolphins (-17) 10-6: Lose by 18 in the WC. 

         - Texans  (-45) 9-7: Lose by 18 to the Pats in the Divisional. 

2014- Panthers (-35) 7-8-1: Beat a Ryan Lindsey lead Arizona team in the WC. Lost by 14 to the Seahawks. 

2013- Packers (-11) 8-7-1: Lost by 3 to the 49ers in the WC. 

2012- Colts (-30) 11-5: Lost by 15 in the WC to Baltimore. 

2011- Giants (-7) 9-7: Won the SB beating the Pats...again. 

         - Broncos (-81) 8-8: Tim Tebow. Beat the Steelers in the WC. Lost to Pats by 35 in the Divisional. 

2010- Seahawks (-97) 7-9: Beat the Saints in the WC. Lost to the Bears by 11 in the Divisional.

 

 

 

 

 

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Posted (edited)

I was thinking the same thing the other day, but it's still too early...not too early for this thread though, definitely something that needs to be followed the rest of the year.

 

That said, with the difficulty of this schedule, I'm thinking there will be a lot of close games if their record will be good, which most likely doesn't mean a huge positive point differential...anyway to find point differential by strength of schedule maybe?

Edited by HardyBoy
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Posted

The Bills gave up a lot of garbage time TD's this year (to the Raiders, Jets and Fins in particular and the Titans piled up a late score too) I don't think the point diff is bad in that context.

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Posted
15 minutes ago, Process said:

Yes. If we can't beat the top teams in the league we need to at least show we can dominate the worst ones on the scoreboard. They haven't shown a killer instinct or the ability to dominate a team from start to finish. 

 

I want to see the Bills put up 40 against the jets this week and win by 3 scores.

 

Thats what we need to get back on track and restore faith. Beating the Jets by a TD will feel more like a loss than a win. 


this is the same team that barely beat the bengals and Washington last season. 
 

fans need to realize we aren’t a very good team 

Posted

Turnovers is the differential that matters.  They are -2 and 21st in the league.  Only the Raiders at -4 are worse and still have a winning record.  Only 2 INT all year which is tied for 3rd worst in the league.  No pass rush. No INTs. No short fields. No points from the defense in now 22 games (maybe more).  

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Posted
1 hour ago, billsfan89 said:

The Bills gave up a lot of garbage time TD's this year (to the Raiders, Jets and Fins in particular and the Titans piled up a late score too) I don't think the point diff is bad in that context.

 

The packers just lost by 28 and still have a 35 pt swing on buffalo. 

Posted
1 hour ago, billsfan89 said:

The Bills gave up a lot of garbage time TD's this year (to the Raiders, Jets and Fins in particular and the Titans piled up a late score too) I don't think the point diff is bad in that context.

 

4 minutes ago, billsfan89 said:

 

The Packers have 1 less loss? 

 

Yes, they do. They have won more games and have a better point differential. That is sort of what this thread is about...

 

The Phins are a bad reference. The Bills were losing that game in Q4. Also the Raiders were  only down by a score before they fumbled the ball in Q4. These aren’t really garbage time TDS. 

Posted
Just now, Mango said:

 

 

Yes, they do. They have won more games and have a better point differential. That is sort of what this thread is about...

 

The Phins are a bad reference. The Bills were losing that game in Q4. Also the Raiders were  only down by a score before they fumbled the ball in Q4. These aren’t really garbage time TDS. 

 

The Raiders scored a TD with less than a minute left and depleted of timeouts. The Fins and Jets had similar scores. Even the Titans piled on a TD late. My point is that these late scores are deflating point differential. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Penfield45 said:


this is the same team that barely beat the bengals and Washington last season. 
 

fans need to realize we aren’t a very good team 

Fins, Rams, and Raiders are all .500 or better at the moment.  We're a slightly above average team that's in a slump.

  • 2 weeks later...
Posted

We have had a couple of these repeat threads. Thought I would bump to the original. Mods, feel free to combined. 
 

I was hoping the Bills would improve more by now on this stat. They’re -2 now after a 2-2 stretch. With a tough stretch coming up. So far the team seems closer to a 10-6 team than a 13-3/12-4 we thought they might be after the first 4 weeks.

 

If they can’t improve here over the back half they could end up being one and done again in the playoffs. 

Posted
5 minutes ago, ILBillsfan said:

Good thing playoffs, division winners are based off of wins and losses not point differential

 

 

Not really.........you can win a division with 3-4 less wins than a team that misses them altogether. 

 

You also can't win a SB with a negative point differential in the playoffs...........so it's probably a good idea to try to be a "plus side of the ledger" team if you intend to be more than an also-ran.

  • 1 month later...
Posted
On 10/20/2020 at 12:05 AM, Mango said:

Anybody else concerned that the Bills are currently 20th in point differential with -12 at the moment? And not for the first time. We have had a negative point differential in 2017 and 2018 as well. There are currently 3 teams with winning records and a negative differential. LV, CLE, and BUF. There are no teams below .500 with a positive differential. 

 

12 is fixable. Even as early as next week. But something to keep an eye on with a ton of football to play. We aren’t in great company at the moment. LV is at -1 which will be back in the green if they beat the Bucs. Cleveland feels like a paper tiger. Like the Bills the food have one big loss screwing with the numbers. 


 

How does + 67 feel now?


https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings

 

 

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Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, Scott7975 said:

 

Sorry not good enough.  Miami is clearly winning the division with +85.

But but but they might lose by 20 tomorrow and there goes that division crown ya know

 

Edited by BubbaT
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