Bills over/unders

[Kirby Jackson]

This stems off something that I saw on twitter and thought it’d be fun.

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards?

Allen o/u 30 total TDs?

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards?

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs?

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards?

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs?

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks?

 

Allen o/u 60% completion?

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards?

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins?

 

Edited September 5, 2020 by Kirby Jackson

[thetaxicabdriver]

Under, Under, Under , Under , Over, Under, Under, Over, Over, Under 

[thebandit27]

22 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

This stems off something that I saw on twitter and thought it’d be fun.

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards? Under

Allen o/u 30 total TDs? Over

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards? Under

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs? Over

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards? Under

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs? Over

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks? Over

 

Allen o/u 60% completion? Over

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards? Under

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins? Over

 

 

[stinky finger]

51 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

This stems off something that I saw on twitter and thought it’d be fun.

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards?  under

Allen o/u 30 total TDs?  over

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards?  over

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs?  under

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards?  over

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs?  over

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks?  over

 

Allen o/u 60% completion?  over

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards?  under

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins?  over

 

 

[GunnerBill]

57 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

 

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards? Over

Allen o/u 30 total TDs? Over

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards? Over

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs? under

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards? under

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs? under

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks? under

 

Allen o/u 60% completion? over

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards? under

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins? under

 

 

My answers above. People will notice I went under on the wins despite tipping the Bills to finish 11-5. It is just I think 9 to 11 wins is the likely range so the smart bet is the under.

 

Edit: the one I am most confident about is Addison. No way does he have over 8 sacks.

Edited September 5, 2020 by GunnerBill

[Not at the table Karlos]

1 hour ago, Kirby Jackson said:

This stems off something that I saw on twitter and thought it’d be fun.

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards? Under

Allen o/u 30 total TDs? Over

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards? Over

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs? Over

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards? Under

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs? Over

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks? Under

 

Allen o/u 60% completion?Over

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards? Over

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins? Over

 

 

[Giuseppe Tognarelli]

Over.

[Kirby Jackson]

46 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

My answers above. People will notice I went under on the wins despite tipping the Bills to finish 11-5. It is just I think 9 to 11 wins is the likely range so the smart bet is the under.

 

Edit: the one I am most confident about is Addison. No way does he have over 8 sacks.

Addison was the one that I didn’t know where to set the line. I felt pretty good about the others. I guess if I were betting it would probably be:

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards? Over

Allen o/u 30 total TDs? Over

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards? Over

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs? Under

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards? Over

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs? Under

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks? Under

 

Allen o/u 60% completion? Over

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards? Under

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins? Over

Edited September 5, 2020 by Kirby Jackson

[MJS]

1 hour ago, Kirby Jackson said:

This stems off something that I saw on twitter and thought it’d be fun.

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards? Under

Allen o/u 30 total TDs? Over

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards? Under

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs? Over

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards? Over

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs? Under

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks? Under

 

Allen o/u 60% completion? Over

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards? Under

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins? Over

 

 

[billykay]

21 minutes ago, MJS said:

 

This year, the year of the Covid, I would take all the unders. There is a good chance that there will be more games missed than in a normal year.

[TroutDog]

32 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

Allen o/u 60% completion? Over

Is this driven by last year’s improvement coupled with the addition of Diggs? I agree if so.

[NewEra]

2 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

This stems off something that I saw on twitter and thought it’d be fun.

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards? Over

Allen o/u 30 total TDs? Over 

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards? Over 

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs? Over 

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards? Over 

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs? Over 

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks? Over 

 

Allen o/u 60% completion? Over 

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards? Over 

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins? Over 

😆

 

[Kirby Jackson]

19 minutes ago, TroutDog said:

Is this driven by last year’s improvement coupled with the addition of Diggs? I agree if so.

I think so. I don’t think that he will he way over but I could see right around 60%

[GunnerBill]

3 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

I think so. I don’t think that he will he way over but I could see right around 60%

 

Yea same. 60-62% is the range I expect him in. 

[DuckyBoys]

2 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

This stems off something that I saw on twitter and thought it’d be fun.

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards?    over

Allen o/u 30 total TDs?    over 

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards?   under

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs?   under

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards?        under

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs?             under

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks?           over

 

Allen o/u 60% completion?   over

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards?      over

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins?         over

 

 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

Diggs, Brown, Beasley & Gabe Davis o/u 3,000 receiving yards?  UNDER

Allen o/u 30 total TDs? OVER

 

Diggs o/u 1,200 receiving yards? UNDER

 

Tre o/u 4.5 INTs? UNDER

 

Motor o/u 1,000 rushing yards? UNDER

 

Moss o/u 6.5 TDs? UNDER

 

Addison o/u 8 sacks? UNDER

 

Allen o/u 60% completion? OVER

 

Gabe Davis o/u 400 receiving yards? UNDER

 

Bills o/u 10.5 wins? OVER

 

 

Except for Allen and wins I'm a bit of a buzz kill on these.

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

Bump.

 

Looks like blindly taking the over on all would end up with a winning record. A lot of people taken to the wood shed with Motor Over 1000 rushing yards though.

 

Pretty much everyone nailed the over on Josh Allen TD's and completion percentage.

 

I think Tre could still go over 4.5 INTs for the season. He's at 3 now.

 

Moss needs to find the end zone three more times in the final three games. Also a chance. 

 

Everything else has already either hit the over (after today) or has no chance (Motor and Addison)

 

 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

A perfect place for this

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/bills-at-broncos-week-15-odds-picks-point-spread-total-player-props-trends-and-bets-to-consider/

 

This line reopened at Bills -4 on Sunday night, but quickly began to rise. On Monday morning, it rose to Bills -4.5, then Bills -5.5 and was listed at Bills -6.5 by Monday afternoon. It eventually fell back to Bills -6 by Wednesday, where it remained until Friday afternoon when it dropped another half of a point. 
 

 

The pick: Bills -5.5. 
Buffalo has covered the spread in five straight games.

 

That's the longest active cover streak in the NFL and it's tied for the longest cover streak in the NFL this season.

 

The Bills have covered in six straight meetings against the Broncos, and Allen boasts a 71 percent cover rate on the road in his career. I have much more faith in the Bills than the Broncos at this point, and I like that the spread is under a touchdown. 

[Buffalo03]

19 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

Bump.

 

Looks like blindly taking the over on all would end up with a winning record. A lot of people taken to the wood shed with Motor Over 1000 rushing yards though.

 

Pretty much everyone nailed the over on Josh Allen TD's and completion percentage.

 

I think Tre could still go over 4.5 INTs for the season. He's at 3 now.

 

Moss needs to find the end zone three more times in the final three games. Also a chance. 

 

Everything else has already either hit the over (after today) or has no chance (Motor and Addison)

 

 

So, if he gets another pick to put him at 4, what are the odds he gets a half interception more to tie?

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

10 minutes ago, Buffalo03 said:

So, if he gets another pick to put him at 4, what are the odds he gets a half interception more to tie?

 

Depends on New England's game plan week 16 and who is playing. If Stidham starts and they throw the ball a lot (maybe to evaluate Stidham) I would say 50/50 chance.

15 minutes ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said:

A perfect place for this

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/bills-at-broncos-week-15-odds-picks-point-spread-total-player-props-trends-and-bets-to-consider/

 

This line reopened at Bills -4 on Sunday night, but quickly began to rise. On Monday morning, it rose to Bills -4.5, then Bills -5.5 and was listed at Bills -6.5 by Monday afternoon. It eventually fell back to Bills -6 by Wednesday, where it remained until Friday afternoon when it dropped another half of a point. 
 

 

 

I saw it go as high as -7 at my book. But I was able to get it again at -6 a day later. I've mostly switched to betting 6pt teasers though. Bills feel like a lock at either +0 or -1.

Edited December 19, 2020 by Sammy Watkins' Rib