Final Vote—All States, Progress in counting

[Tiberius]

Florida: Trump vs. Biden	NBC News/Marist	Biden 48, Trump 48	Tie
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden	Susquehanna	Biden 44, Trump 42	Biden +2
Ohio: Trump vs. Biden	Rasmussen Reports	Biden 49, Trump 45	Biden +4
Missouri: Trump vs. Biden	WeAskAmerica	Trump 49, Biden 44	Trump +5
New Jersey: Trump vs. Biden	Emerson	Biden 55, Trump 38	Biden +17
New Jersey Senate - Mehta vs. Booker	Emerson	Booker 52, Mehta 28	Booker +24
Missouri Governor - Parson vs. Galloway	WeAskAmerica	Parson 54, Galloway 41	Parson +13

[SectionC3]

Kind of interesting that Booker is running so far ahead of Biden in NJ.  Not sure what to make of that.  Probably insignificant in presidential race.  But still interesting. 

 

***

 

Looked again.  He’s not running head. Spread is weird.  But still a strange spread. 

Edited September 8, 2020 by SectionC3

[Unforgiven]

 

 

Lol.

Edited September 8, 2020 by Unforgiven

[WEATHER DOT COM]

14 minutes ago, Unforgiven said:

 

 

Lol.

 

You should be willing and prepared to show your work, back up your opinions and analysis by engaging in an actual discussion of the topic. That means sticking around to have an adult conversation, not just throwing bombs or insults then fleeing the scene.

[Orlando Buffalo]

1 hour ago, wAcKy ZeBrA said:

 

You should be willing and prepared to show your work, back up your opinions and analysis by engaging in an actual discussion of the topic. That means sticking around to have an adult conversation, not just throwing bombs or insults then fleeing the scene.

It is funny you make this comment to anyone  when his analysis and research is what he linked. His point is polls are trash and skew towards Democrats until election day.

[Tiberius]

Just now, Buffalo Timmy said:

It is funny you make this comment to anyone  when his analysis and research is what he linked. His point is polls are trash and skew towards Democrats until election day.

The polls say Trump is losing. You have a melt down. 

 

Thats all 

[SectionC3]

1 hour ago, wAcKy ZeBrA said:

 

You should be willing and prepared to show your work, back up your opinions and analysis by engaging in an actual discussion of the topic. That means sticking around to have an adult conversation, not just throwing bombs or insults then fleeing the scene.

 

Agreed.  Solid application of Rule #2. 

5 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said:

It is funny you make this comment to anyone  when his analysis and research is what he linked. His point is polls are trash and skew towards Democrats until election day.

I’m gonna Rule #2 this.  Why are polls trash?  And how do they skew toward Democrats until Election Day?

1 hour ago, Tiberius said:

Florida: Trump vs. Biden	NBC News/Marist	Biden 48, Trump 48	Tie
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden	Susquehanna	Biden 44, Trump 42	Biden +2
Ohio: Trump vs. Biden	Rasmussen Reports	Biden 49, Trump 45	Biden +4
Missouri: Trump vs. Biden	WeAskAmerica	Trump 49, Biden 44	Trump +5
New Jersey: Trump vs. Biden	Emerson	Biden 55, Trump 38	Biden +17
New Jersey Senate - Mehta vs. Booker	Emerson	Booker 52, Mehta 28	Booker +24
Missouri Governor - Parson vs. Galloway	WeAskAmerica	Parson 54, Galloway 41	Parson +13

 

MO is interesting, too.  Trump running well behind R governor candidate.  One or two more points of uptick for Biden might convince me to drop a little cash in STL, KC, and maybe Columbia and make them play some defense.    Especially in the KC market if it might help the Senate candidate in KS. 

[Big Blitz]

So............if you don't support his "law and order" agenda (pushing it lol), what exactly do you support?  Wouldn't it be the opposite, ladies?  Does "anarchy and violence" resonate better with Americans?  

 

 

They're in a panic over Biden's poll numbers

Edited September 8, 2020 by Big Blitz

[Tiberius]

7 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

So............if you don't support his "law and order" agenda (pushing it lol), what exactly do you support?  Wouldn't it be the opposite, ladies?  Does "anarchy and violence" resonate better with Americans?  

 

 

They're in a panic over Biden's poll numbers

Are you personally afraid of the protesters? 

[Big Blitz]

Just now, Tiberius said:

Are you personally afraid of the protesters? 

 

 

The ones storming neighborhoods or the ones that come up to you while you're out at dinner and demand you put your fist up in solidarity with their "movement?"

 

I'm not afraid of protesters.  Why would you be?

 

But what's happening in places like Portland or Rochester isn't protesting.

 

 

 

I'm sure I have a greater chance of walking downtown and getting hit by a brick then I do of being killed by Covid.  

[Tiberius]

Just now, Big Blitz said:

 

 

The ones storming neighborhoods or the ones that come up to you while you're out at dinner and demand you put your fist up in solidarity with their "movement?"

 

I'm not afraid of protesters.  Why would you be?

 

But what's happening in places like Portland or Rochester isn't protesting.

 

 

 

I'm sure I have a greater chance of walking downtown and getting hit by a brick then I do of being killed by Covid.  

So a small group, and you are voting for president based on that? 

[Orlando Buffalo]

16 minutes ago, SectionC3 said:

 

Agreed.  Solid application of Rule #2. 

I’m gonna Rule #2 this.  Why are polls trash?  And how do they skew toward Democrats until Election Day?

 

 

Polls that end up outside there margin are error are poorly done and Dems always do better in polls than they do in elections. Anyone with an ounce of intelligence knows I am correct, which is reason you are confused.

[Orlando Buffalo]

24 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

The polls say Trump is losing. You have a melt down. 

 

Thats all 

Tibs please stop with the stupidity of me having a "meltdown" over pathetic polls. You are the one who told me FU when I showed you what garbage they are. I know you say you were in the military, but I question it because your taunts are so weak.

[SectionC3]

4 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said:

Polls that end up outside there margin are error are poorly done and Dems always do better in polls than they do in elections. Anyone with an ounce of intelligence knows I am correct, which is reason you are confused.

 

Rule #2, FYI, is the “show your work” rule.  Not the “restate your baseless opinion” rule.  I’ll politely ask again for Rule #2 compliance.  Thank you in advance for your anticipated cooperation. 

Just now, Buffalo Timmy said:

Tibs please stop with the stupidity of me having a "meltdown" over pathetic polls. You are the one who told me FU when I showed you what garbage they are. I know you say you were in the military, but I question it because your taunts are so weak.

 

This may be a second meltdown.  FYI, I satisfied Rule #2 here by quoting your prior post.  

 

Also, I’m not sure that you “showed . . . what garbage they are.”  That gets us back to our prior issue with Rule #2 compliance.  Thank you, again, for your anticipated compliance with that Rule #2 request. 

[Orlando Buffalo]

4 minutes ago, SectionC3 said:

 

Rule #2, FYI, is the “show your work” rule.  Not the “restate your baseless opinion” rule.  I’ll politely ask again for Rule #2 compliance.  Thank you in advance for your anticipated cooperation. 

Margin of error is not an opinion it is a mathematical principle. The fact that you don't understand that says you should not be in this discussion. Please feel free to do a little research before coming back so you can respond like you have a high school degree.

[SectionC3]

14 minutes ago, Buffalo Timmy said:

Margin of error is not an opinion it is a mathematical principle. The fact that you don't understand that says you should not be in this discussion. Please feel free to do a little research before coming back so you can respond like you have a high school degree.

 

I anticipated your cooperation with Rule #2.  It looks like I was wrong.  Non-compliance with Rule #2 requires the conclusion that your contention that polls are “garbage” and that they always skew in favor of Democrats until Election Day is nothing more than a hoax. 

[B-Man]

 

NEWS YOU CAN USE: 

 

Your Definitive Guide to Understanding Polling (and Why Most Polls Are Garbage). 

 

“When reviewing polls in 2016, I came across bad poll after bad poll as a result of oversampling problems as well as push-poll lines of questions or questions that are framed in a way to influence the way someone answers.

 

For instance, if a polling firm asked a question ‘Do you agree with Joe Biden’s call for all Americans to unite?’, it doesn’t leave any room for someone saying they disagree with the premise of the question, that is, Joe Biden even having that ability in the first place. Another example of a push poll question is ‘Do you support Donald Trump’s divisive rhetoric?’ Maybe the respondent doesn’t believe Trump’s rhetoric is divisive. Maybe the respondent thinks the Democrats’ rhetoric is divisive. Either way, a respondent is less likely to respond in the affirmative to supporting divisive rhetoric and therefore would lead to a skewing of the results.”

 

 

 

Read the whole thing.

 

 

 

[Big Blitz]

2 hours ago, Tiberius said:

So a small group, and you are voting for president based on that? 

 

So an extremely small chance?  You're destroying the development of our kids by shutting their schools based on that?

[Unforgiven]

2 hours ago, Tiberius said:

Are you personally afraid of the protesters? 

I'm incensed at the cow who came in and stole the guys beer.

Highly offensive.

 

 

Edited September 8, 2020 by Unforgiven

[Big Blitz]

If Trump can peel off about 5 to 10% of female suburban voters, its over.