Final Vote—All States, Progress in counting

[ogham26]

florida is over.  georgia probably 30 minutes away from being trumps

[YoloinOhio]

So I’m guessing I’m the only person listening to podcasts previewing Ohio state - Rutgers tonight 

12 minutes ago, Haze_21 said:

Trump will win Florida but Ohio looks bad for him and so do suburban white types that are more relevant in the rest of the country vs florida latinos with a lot of cubans

They are counting absentee voters first so I always thought Biden would lead Ohio early. Not sure he will win it. 

[daz28]

1 minute ago, ogham26 said:

florida is over.  georgia probably 30 minutes away from being trumps

This guy nailed it:

 

https://nationalfile.com/democrats-panic-over-miami-dade-voter-turnout-after-gop-ahead-in-early-voting/

[Doc]

Florida was always going Trump.  Once Barry and Biden (and by extension, Hilly) cozied-up to Castro, it was all over.  That's why when Biden talked about Trump cozying-up to dictators, Trump should have mentioned that.  But apparently he didn't need to because Cuban ex-pats remembered.

Edited November 4, 2020 by Doc

[aristocrat]

Trump lead increasing Florida. 4-5 percent swing off the polls 

[ogham26]

onto NC, OH, and NH

[daz28]

5 minutes ago, Doc said:

Florida was always going Trump.  Once Barry and Biden (and by extension, Hilly) cozied-up to Castro, it was all over.  That's why when Biden talked about Trump cozying-up to dictators, Trump should have mentioned that.  But apparently he didn't need to because Cuban ex-pats remembered.

I rarely agree with Tucker Carlson(I used to more many years ago), but he's right about how the media collects, represents and presents polling data.  A super rare +1 for TC.  He's making more sense now, too

[Tiberius]

Wow, Trump wins West Virginia! 

[Doc]

1 minute ago, daz28 said:

I rarely agree with Tucker Carlson(I used to more many years ago), but he's right about how the media collects, represents and presents polling data.  A super rare +1 for TC.  He's making more sense now, too

 

Polling data is only as good as the sample.  And the "wary Trump supporter" is very real.

[BillsFanNC]

You don't say?

 

 

[RiotAct]

if Trump loses OH and PA it’s all over

[Tiberius]

North Carolina, looking good 

 

I said NC would be the stake in the heart of Trump 

[daz28]

1 minute ago, Doc said:

 

Polling data is only as good as the sample.  And the "wary Trump supporter" is very real.

The point is for any polls to seem legit statistically, they should have random results, but they don't.  There shouldn't be ANY bias in poll results, yet they routinely come up along partisan lines.  They should also come with a rating for accuracy by past predictions, not by margin of error.  

[RiotAct]

4 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

Wow, Trump wins West Virginia! 

and Tennessee!!!!!!!

[ogham26]

anyone with thoughts on virginia?  Trump is out performing 2016 numbers and yet its been called early.. 

 

biden likely does take it but i think its close

[YoloinOhio]

3 minutes ago, RiotAct said:

if Trump loses OH and PA it’s all over

PA has only counted 4.3% of votes so far but it looks lopsided 

[daz28]

It will be big for both parties to understand how to sway people who voted for their candidate this time that voted for Gary Johnson last time.  The margins are razor thin, so those votes matter.

[Beast]

Obviously, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin will probably decide this.

5 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

PA has only counted 4.3% of votes so far but it looks lopsided 

Not a surprise because that’s the early vote.

[Tiberius]

3 minutes ago, Beast said:

Obviously, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin will probably decide this.

Not a surprise because that’s the early vote.

If Bidens lead in NC holds, it’s over 

[daz28]

2 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

If Bidens lead in NC holds, it’s over 

Conversely, with early voting already tabulated, and only in-person voters remaining, this could lead to a pattern all through the night.  That will be frightful.