The Frankish Reich Posted October 7, 2020 Posted October 7, 2020 (edited) https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_oct07 Rasmussen’s daily tracking presidential approval poll: Trump -10. The also report an Approval Index based on the harder “strongly approve” minus “strongly disapprove.” That’s worse for Trump: negative 15. Rasmussen is typically the most favorable polling operation for Republicans. Conclusion: the Trump-COVID effect is real, and it’s strongly negative for Trump. Whether it will sustain is a different question. My guess is that it will dissipate but not completely, but given that a lot of people have already voted or will be voting in the next week or so, this is horrible news for Trump. EDIT: On August 3 Trump was at 50% approval in Rasmussen. And of course he tweeted about it. So none of this “Rasmussen is rigged against Trump” stuff here. Edited October 7, 2020 by The Frankish Reich 1
Backintheday544 Posted October 7, 2020 Posted October 7, 2020 2 hours ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said: Signs? Signs?? Lets look at signs ----- The signs in my neck of the woods - RURAL Virginal is 4 to 1 of Biden to Trump. Only 12 years ago the Republican to Democrat signs were 4 to 1. A complete flip! Also ... 20 Trump signs in 1 yard should only count as 1. I'm in a rural/suburb in VA. In 2016 it was littered with Trump signs and a handful of Hilary signs. This year it's about 50/50. But there are noticably less signs than 4 years ago by a ton. 1
Backintheday544 Posted October 7, 2020 Posted October 7, 2020 Huge new poll: https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_TX_banner_book_2020_10_cm5k3s.pdf Trump/Biden tied in TX. 1 percent lead for Republicans in the Senate. Party break down: Democrat 29% Republican 38% Independent 33% If Texas goes Biden, it's all over.
The Frankish Reich Posted October 7, 2020 Posted October 7, 2020 29 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said: Huge new poll: https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_TX_banner_book_2020_10_cm5k3s.pdf Trump/Biden tied in TX. 1 percent lead for Republicans in the Senate. Party break down: Democrat 29% Republican 38% Independent 33% If Texas goes Biden, it's all over. Biden has a ton of cash on hand and they’re now spending it in long shots like Texas. There’s just nowhere else to spend it all before the election. It’ll be interesting to see if this draws Republican/Trump money back into the race there. I don’t expect Biden to win Texas, but this is a sign of rough roads ahead for the Republicans as Texas continues to change demographically with the Yankee influx. 1
keepthefaith Posted October 7, 2020 Posted October 7, 2020 1 minute ago, The Frankish Reich said: Biden has a ton of cash on hand and they’re now spending it in long shots like Texas. There’s just nowhere else to spend it all before the election. It’ll be interesting to see if this draws Republican/Trump money back into the race there. I don’t expect Biden to win Texas, but this is a sign of rough roads ahead for the Republicans as Texas continues to change demographically with the Yankee due to Californication. FIFY
The Frankish Reich Posted October 7, 2020 Posted October 7, 2020 Just now, keepthefaith said: FIFY Correct. Hey, I live in Colorado and I’ve seen it happen here. And while I’m a “lefty” on PPP I’m not real happy with how it’s destroyed a nice little libertarian-center-right thing we had in our political culture.
The Frankish Reich Posted October 7, 2020 Posted October 7, 2020 (edited) https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3678 Wow. Just wow. Trump cratering everywhere. Edited October 7, 2020 by The Frankish Reich 1
Backintheday544 Posted October 7, 2020 Posted October 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said: https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3678 Wow. Just wow. Florida breakdown: Republican 28% Democrat 30 Independent 34 Iowa Breakdown: Republican 29% Democrat 31 Independent 33 Other/DK/NA 7 PA breakdown: Republican 33% Democrat 39 Independent 24 Other/DK/NA 4
Backintheday544 Posted October 8, 2020 Posted October 8, 2020 Trump's approval sinking faster than a Rex Ryan led Bills team. Down to 44 percent approval rating as many Americans are starting to vote on Rasmussen. Like a Rex Ryan led Bills team, the Trump campaign has been very undisciplined and making many unforced errors.
Tiberius Posted October 9, 2020 Author Posted October 9, 2020 House Democrats appear to be on the precipice of expanding their majority in the lower chamber. In a new report by the nonpartisan election forecaster the Cook Political Report, seven House races have shifted in the Democratic Party's favor, including the contest for the North Carolina seat vacated by White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows, which moved from "Likely Republican" to "Lean Republican." There are 232 Democrats and 198 Republicans in the House, as well as one libertarian, former Republican Justin Amash, and four vacancies, including one left by the late Rep. John Lewis. Republicans lost control of the House thanks to the so-called "blue wave" during the 2018 midterm elections in which Democrats flipped 41 seats. There are other warning signs for Republicans in the upper chamber, where they currently hold 53 seats. An analysis released by the Cook Political Report in July, when there was just over 100 days before the election in November, said, "Democrats are a slight favorite to win the Senate majority." The new report on the House found the GOP's chances of taking back the lower chamber increasingly depressed. Even if the 25 races listed as a "toss up" are split evenly, Democrats could gain five or six seats. "Republicans no longer have a realistic path to picking up the 17 seats they need for a majority," the report reads. "Right now, the most likely outcome is a Democratic net gain of between five and ten seats, with anything from no net change to a Democratic gain of 15 seats possible." Of the other races that received a status change from the Cook Political Report, Democratic Reps. Susan Wild of Pennsylvania and Lizzie Pannill Fletcher of Texas saw their contests moved from "Lean Democratic" to "Likely Democratic." The contests involving incumbent Reps. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia and Cindy Axne of Iowa, both Democrats, moved from "Toss Up" to "Lean Democratic." New York Republican Rep. John Katko's race moved from "Lean Republican" to a "Toss Up," while the contest involving Rep. Mike Kelly of Pennsylvania moved from "Solid Republican" to "Likely Republican." Katko, who is seeking a fourth term, is facing another challenge from Syracuse University professor Dana Balter, whom he defeated by just 5 points in a Hillary Clinton-won district in https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/cook-political-report-democrats-could-gain-15-more-seats-in-house-two-years-after-blue-wave
Backintheday544 Posted October 9, 2020 Posted October 9, 2020 Spanberger's district went from Eric Cantor to being not conservative enough so Cantor got primaried. Now is leans Democrat for Spanberger's second term
Tiberius Posted October 11, 2020 Author Posted October 11, 2020 Results Spread General Election: Trump vs. Biden ABC News/Wash Post Biden 55, Trump 43 Biden +12 General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Jorgensen vs. Hawkins ABC News/Wash Post Biden 54, Trump 42, Jorgensen 2, Hawkins 1 Biden +12 On 10/9/2020 at 3:48 PM, BillsFanNC said: Lol, who’d they ask? Michigan terrorists? Or the Taliban? What a sh itty joke
SoTier Posted October 11, 2020 Posted October 11, 2020 On 10/9/2020 at 3:48 PM, BillsFanNC said: How the hell can the FBI be "prosecuted" for anything???? It's NOT A PERSON!!! Dumbasses post this too stupid to be true manure on Twitter and every Trumplet on PPP laps it up like my dog does the roast beef drippings.
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted October 11, 2020 Posted October 11, 2020 (edited) 2 hours ago, SoTier said: How the hell can the FBI be "prosecuted" for anything???? It's NOT A PERSON!!! Dumbasses post this too stupid to be true manure on Twitter and every Trumplet on PPP laps it up like my dog does the roast beef drippings. so setting aside the parsing/misuse of words, do you see it necessary to bring certain FBI PERSONNEL up on charges of collusion and/or abuse of power?..if the response results with THE SAME, would you be chiding "Covid Barack" or "Covid Joe" ala "Covid Donnie"????..I'll hang up and wait for a response.... Edited October 11, 2020 by OldTimeAFLGuy
The Frankish Reich Posted October 11, 2020 Posted October 11, 2020 2 hours ago, SoTier said: How the hell can the FBI be "prosecuted" for anything???? It's NOT A PERSON!!! Dumbasses post this too stupid to be true manure on Twitter and every Trumplet on PPP laps it up like my dog does the roast beef drippings. It's a Rasmussen poll question, and the question itself (I looked) appears to be fair. Say what you will about Rasmussen. But as Biden would say, here's the deal: it isn't a very good result for Trump supporters. It basically has 1/3 of the respondents saying they are familiar with what Trump is trying to dub Obamagate -- the idea that FBI agents lied in order to obtain warrants to investigate the Trump campaign. In other words, the hard core of Trump loyalists believe that this is true. 21% -- no doubt hard core Democrats -- say the FBI didn't lie. And a near majority -- 46% -- is "not sure." I take this to mean "I haven't really paid attention." So this explains why Trump is hell-bent on indictments pre-election, to try to vault this into public consciousness with the hope of converting a small number of low information voters (that 46%) into a pro-Trump (or more accurately, anti-Biden) vote. But so far it ain't working ...
BillsFanNC Posted October 11, 2020 Posted October 11, 2020 3 hours ago, SoTier said: How the hell can the FBI be "prosecuted" for anything???? It's NOT A PERSON!!! Dumbasses post this too stupid to be true manure on Twitter and every Trumplet on PPP laps it up like my dog does the roast beef drippings. Idiocy abounds on PPP but you just might take the cake. You clearly stand head and shoulders above the rest. Congrats to you on this accomplishment. Stiff competition down here. 😂😂😂😂😂 Enough emojis for you to drive home the point?
BillsFanNC Posted October 11, 2020 Posted October 11, 2020 38 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said: It's a Rasmussen poll question, and the question itself (I looked) appears to be fair. Say what you will about Rasmussen. But as Biden would say, here's the deal: it isn't a very good result for Trump supporters. It basically has 1/3 of the respondents saying they are familiar with what Trump is trying to dub Obamagate -- the idea that FBI agents lied in order to obtain warrants to investigate the Trump campaign. In other words, the hard core of Trump loyalists people who can read and understand primary source documents believe know that this is true. 21% -- no doubt hard core Democrats -- say the FBI didn't lie. And a near majority -- 46% -- is "not sure." I take this to mean "I haven't really paid attention." So this explains why Trump is the media is hell-bent on indictments burying this story pre-election, to try to vault keep this into out of the public consciousness with the hope of converting keeping a small number of low information voters (that 46%) distracted. into a pro-Trump (or more accurately, anti-Biden) vote. But so far it's ain't working ...so far.... FIFY An FBI lawyer, Kevin Clinesmith, has pleaded guilty to altering evidence in order to secure a renewed FISA warrant. It happened. No amount of spinning can change this fact. Again, this shouldn't be a partisan issue. If they can do it to Trump and his associates they can most definitely do it to you, me or any other American. https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/512750-clinesmith-pleads-guilty-in-first-criminal-case-stemming-from-durham Quote Former FBI attorney Kevin Clinesmith pleaded guilty to falsifying a document to justify surveillance of a former Trump campaign adviser as part of the 2016 investigation into Russian interference in the presidential election.
SoTier Posted October 11, 2020 Posted October 11, 2020 2 hours ago, The Frankish Reich said: It's a Rasmussen poll question, and the question itself (I looked) appears to be fair. Say what you will about Rasmussen. But as Biden would say, here's the deal: it isn't a very good result for Trump supporters. It basically has 1/3 of the respondents saying they are familiar with what Trump is trying to dub Obamagate -- the idea that FBI agents lied in order to obtain warrants to investigate the Trump campaign. In other words, the hard core of Trump loyalists believe that this is true. 21% -- no doubt hard core Democrats -- say the FBI didn't lie. And a near majority -- 46% -- is "not sure." I take this to mean "I haven't really paid attention." So this explains why Trump is hell-bent on indictments pre-election, to try to vault this into public consciousness with the hope of converting a small number of low information voters (that 46%) into a pro-Trump (or more accurately, anti-Biden) vote. But so far it ain't working ... I wasn't addressing the poll. I was addressing the quoted Tweet "twice as many voters think the FBI should be prosecuted ...". A government agency is not a person and cannot "be prosecuted". You don't have to be a constitutional scholar to understand that very basic concept. That speaks to the quality of "the sources" the Trumplets embrace as gospel.
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