Tiberius Posted September 29, 2020 Author Posted September 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Dragoon said: Dude.......you are really getting your hopes up. Quit trying to make Biden happen...Biden is never going to happen. If you say so. Nearing 50% in many polls.
Dragoon Posted September 29, 2020 Posted September 29, 2020 45 minutes ago, Tiberius said: If you say so. Nearing 50% in many polls. What was the lesson you learned from the 2016 polls? Because I learned pollsters are really influencers.
Tiberius Posted September 29, 2020 Author Posted September 29, 2020 Just now, Dragoon said: What was the lesson you learned from the 2016 polls? Because I learned pollsters are really influencers. Biden's lead is bigger. And since 2016 Trump has lied about a public health crisis and it killed Americans. That's huge. We have seen his incompetence is stunning and has been revealed. And women hate him
Dragoon Posted September 29, 2020 Posted September 29, 2020 18 minutes ago, Tiberius said: Biden's lead is bigger. And since 2016 Trump has lied about a public health crisis and it killed Americans. That's huge. We have seen his incompetence is stunning and has been revealed. And women hate him I’m really looking forward to your ‘sky is falling’ comments that’ll be coming in early November. Hope you enjoyed last nights hockey.
Backintheday544 Posted September 29, 2020 Posted September 29, 2020 (edited) 6 hours ago, Dragoon said: What was the lesson you learned from the 2016 polls? Because I learned pollsters are really influencers. 2016 final polls weren't that far off. Heres the break down of swing states between actual results and RCPs averages: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016StateFinalResults.html Only Wisconsin, Michigan and Iowa were crazily off. The 2016 polls fluctuated a ton as well, whereas 2020 has been constant since Bidens nomination. 2016 also saw a greater number of undecides at this point in the election whereas 2020 the undecided vote is rather small. Also saying don't trust polls because 2016 ignores that the polls predicted the Blue Tsunami in 2018. Edited September 29, 2020 by Backintheday544 1
Dragoon Posted September 29, 2020 Posted September 29, 2020 1 hour ago, Backintheday544 said: 2016 final polls weren't that far off. Heres the break down of swing states between actual results and RCPs averages: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016StateFinalResults.html Only Wisconsin, Michigan and Iowa were crazily off. The 2016 polls fluctuated a ton as well, whereas 2020 has been constant since Bidens nomination. 2016 also saw a greater number of undecides at this point in the election whereas 2020 the undecided vote is rather small. Also saying don't trust polls because 2016 ignores that the polls predicted the Blue Tsunami in 2018. I don’t believe it’s inaccuracies in the polling...I believe they’re cherry picking and promoting what they want the polls to say to encourage their base, discourage the conservative base, and to influence the election....ya know, just like everything I read from CNN and the NYT. 1
Backintheday544 Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 2 hours ago, Dragoon said: I don’t believe it’s inaccuracies in the polling...I believe they’re cherry picking and promoting what they want the polls to say to encourage their base, discourage the conservative base, and to influence the election....ya know, just like everything I read from CNN and the NYT. Here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/ You can read the polls and the results without any interpretation from CNN or NYT.
Koko78 Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 Oh, I love the fake outrage Biden is trying to project while talking about his son Beau in Iraq. 1
Tiberius Posted September 30, 2020 Author Posted September 30, 2020 WASHINGTON - Democratic voters who have requested mail ballots - and returned them - greatly outnumber Republicans so far in key battleground states, causing alarm among GOP party leaders and strategists that President Donald Trump's attacks on mail voting could be hurting the party's prospects to retain the White House and the Senate this year. Of the more than 9 million voters who requested mail ballots through Monday in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Maine and Iowa, the five battleground states where such data is publicly available, 52% were Democrats. Twenty-eight percent were Republicans and 20% were unaffiliated. https://www.thehour.com/news/article/Early-surge-of-Democratic-mail-voting-sparks-15607367.php
Taro T Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 1 hour ago, Tiberius said: WASHINGTON - Democratic voters who have requested mail ballots - and returned them - greatly outnumber Republicans so far in key battleground states, causing alarm among GOP party leaders and strategists that President Donald Trump's attacks on mail voting could be hurting the party's prospects to retain the White House and the Senate this year. Of the more than 9 million voters who requested mail ballots through Monday in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Maine and Iowa, the five battleground states where such data is publicly available, 52% were Democrats. Twenty-eight percent were Republicans and 20% were unaffiliated. https://www.thehour.com/news/article/Early-surge-of-Democratic-mail-voting-sparks-15607367.php But causing alarm among Democrat strategists only 11% percent of those requesting mail-in ballots were deceased. Said one anonymous strategist "if we've lost the dead, you can put a nail in our campaign's chances." 1
Tiberius Posted September 30, 2020 Author Posted September 30, 2020 45 minutes ago, Taro T said: But causing alarm among Democrat strategists only 11% percent of those requesting mail-in ballots were deceased. Said one anonymous strategist "if we've lost the dead, you can put a nail in our campaign's chances." Just win baby!
The Frankish Reich Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 (edited) https://www.vox.com/2020/9/30/21495284/data-for-progress-debate-poll?scrolla=5eb6d68b7fedc32c19ef33b4 The first scientifically conducted post-debate poll. Biden 52-39. EDIT: here come the cacklers - “scientifically” hah! RTFA Edited September 30, 2020 by The Frankish Reich 1
The Frankish Reich Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said: Vox Never change, asshat. Says the guy who posts stuff like “driving around my Oklahoma neighborhood I see 100 Trump signs to every 1 Biden” keep dreaming. I hear that on October 17 you will be doing a little role reversal and putting on the strap-on ... holster to join the Proud Boys in the reckoning. 1
Tiberius Posted September 30, 2020 Author Posted September 30, 2020 General Election: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Reports Biden 51, Trump 43 Biden +8 Rasmussen!!! Wow By Don 🖐️
The Frankish Reich Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 1 minute ago, Tiberius said: General Election: Trump vs. Biden Rasmussen Reports Biden 51, Trump 43 Biden +8 Rasmussen!!! Wow By Don 🖐️ Wow. Panic mode at 1600
Deranged Rhino Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 10 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said: Says the guy who posts stuff like “driving around my Oklahoma neighborhood I see 100 Trump signs to every 1 Biden” keep dreaming. I hear that on October 17 you will be doing a little role reversal and putting on the strap-on ... holster to join the Proud Boys in the reckoning. The signs of a man who's lost. A man who's been so embarrassed and pummeled on here that all he has left is homophobic insults. And he wonders why he's a clown His hate is clear to see. He's unstable. A known liar. And he can't hang.
The Frankish Reich Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 Get a sense of humor. That whole Proud Boys thing has a homoerotic appeal. To some. Argue with the poll or and it’s methodology, fine, but that “it’s all part of the big fix” grows tiresome. Especially when you liked to a Harvard-Harris poll yesterday with glee.
Deranged Rhino Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said: Get a sense of humor. That whole Proud Boys thing has a homoerotic appeal. To some. Argue with the poll or and it’s methodology, fine, but that “it’s all part of the big fix” grows tiresome. Especially when you liked to a Harvard-Harris poll yesterday with glee. This is a meltdown. Full blown. He made a homophobic slur, because he has deep hatred in his heart which comes out when he's rattled and exposed. Now he's trying to say it was just "humor". It wasn't, Frank. It was anger. You've proven being honest is a struggle for you, but at the very least be honest about that.
The Frankish Reich Posted September 30, 2020 Posted September 30, 2020 Just saying ... we hear his supporters refer to Trump as the alpha male and (Rush I think) as “Mr Man”, but a lot of his most ardent supporters love to congregate in single-sex groups of men in matching outfits. A Trumpie will not win an argument by calling his opposition a racist or a homophobe.
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