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Final Vote—All States, Progress in counting

Tiberius

By Tiberius
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

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3rdnlng Hall of Famer

3rdnlng

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

Throw an insult because you know I’m right. 
 

And that stupid article was from one of your propagandists. 

Careful, you're making me laugh so hard I might be topping your Benghazi laughter. 

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spartacus
spartacus

Trump holds Texas, Georgia, Ohio and Iowa. Trump takes  AZ, NC, Wisconsin and Michigan and Florida.  VA is toss up PA will be contested by late vote count, but PA will be irrelevant by

Process
Process

What a call by this guy two days ago    

Warcodered
Warcodered

Found where it came from.  

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B-Man Hall of Famer

B-Man

Posted
Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, B-Man said:

 

I realize logic is difficult for you.

 

Trump won Pennsylvania in 2016 ..............with PA having "more" democrats.

 

and now............There are even more republicans registered.

 

(let me help you. Saying there are more republicans now, means there are more than 2016, NOT more than democrats)

 

Thus..............Trump Will Win Pennsylvania and Here is Why

 

 

 

READING skills too hard for Gator

 

 

 

 

Edited by B-Man
Big Blitz Hall of Famer

Big Blitz

Posted
Posted (edited)

If Trump wins Arizona it's over.  I think he will win NC.  In think he wins all Red States from 2016.  Arizona I've been worried about.  Mildly worried about NC.  

 

And I think he gets PA.  And 4 more years.

 

 

 

Edited by Big Blitz
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Tiberius Hall of Famer

Tiberius

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11 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

If Trump wins Arizona it's over.  I think he will win NC.  In think he wins all Red States from 2016.  Arizona I've been worried about.  Mildly worried about NC.  

 

And I think he gets PA.  And 4 more years.

 

 

 

Trump can win Fl and Ar and still lose election badly. The Blue Wall states look real good for Biden. Biden doesn't need NC, but it would be nice. With leads in Pa, Mich, and Wis, if that holds, that's all he needs. If Biden also takes NC, Fl, Ga, and Ar, its a Blue Wave tsunami :) 

 

Still time for Trump to come back, though 

 

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden Univ. of Wis/YouGov Biden 50, Trump 46 Biden +4
Texas: Trump vs. Biden NY Times/Siena* Trump 46, Biden 43 Trump +3
Georgia: Trump vs. Biden NY Times/Siena* Trump 45, Biden 45 Tie
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Univ. of Wis/YouGov Biden 49, Trump 45 Biden +4
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden Univ. of Wis/YouGov Biden 51, Trump 45 Biden +6
Virginia: Trump vs. Biden Christopher Newport Univ. Biden 48, Trump 43 Biden +5
Iowa: Trump vs. Biden NY Times/Siena* Trump 42, Biden 45 Biden +3
Iowa Senate - Ernst vs. Greenfield NY Times/Siena* Greenfield 42, Ernst 40 Greenfield +2
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Tiberius Hall of Famer

Tiberius

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This is fun:

https://www.270towin.com/

 

If Biden holds the wonderful Great Lakes States--aside from that "southern state" Indiana---but loses Pa, and wins Ar, while Fl, NC and Ga stay with Trump, it will come down to that Maine electoral College vote! One vote! 

 

Maine: Trump vs. Biden Boston Globe/Suffolk* Biden 51, Trump 39 Biden +12
Maine CD2: Trump vs. Biden Boston Globe/Suffolk* Biden 47, Trump 45 Biden +2
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All_Pro_Bills All Pro

All_Pro_Bills

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Gary M said:

Hillary Clinton has widened her lead over Donald Trump, polling 14 percentage points ahead nationally, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll, which comes 12 days before the presidential election.

 

https://time.com/4546942/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-lead-poll/

 

 

What's changed?

 

 

The 2016 polls over-sampled registered Democrats and did not statistically represent the population they were trying to estimate from a sample. 

 

From what I've seen they are doing it again in 2020 with the added wrinkle of about 10% of registered voters in the polls refusing to provide the pollsters their choice.  Most are would-be Trump voters fearing being outed by the poll takers or other's that don't believe their answers will be kept private or anonymous.  So the margin of error is likely much greater than they advertise.  Which way it swings who knows for sure.. 

Tiberius Hall of Famer

Tiberius

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Posted
38 minutes ago, All_Pro_Bills said:

The 2016 polls over-sampled registered Democrats and did not statistically represent the population they were trying to estimate from a sample. 

 

From what I've seen they are doing it again in 2020 with the added wrinkle of about 10% of registered voters in the polls refusing to provide the pollsters their choice.  Most are would-be Trump voters fearing being outed by the poll takers or other's that don't believe their answers will be kept private or anonymous.  So the margin of error is likely much greater than they advertise.  Which way it swings who knows for sure.. 

Any proof of this? Or just blow gas? 

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All_Pro_Bills All Pro

All_Pro_Bills

Posted
Posted
32 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

Any proof of this? Or just blow gas? 

Go examine the poll methodologies, statistical populations, and insights from the poll takers that are publicly available.

Dr. Who Veteran

Dr. Who

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, All_Pro_Bills said:

Go examine the poll methodologies, statistical populations, and insights from the poll takers that are publicly available.

Folks that can say Kamala Harris is a moderate with a straight face aren't going to be impressed with evidence the polls are skewed to over represent Democratic voters. Nor will they concede that their mob mentality intimidation is likely to cause many Trump voters to simply run silent. Then they go boohoo when the actual election proves that their propoganda efforts are not an effective measure of what the American people think and believe. 

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Alaska Darin Hall of Famer

Alaska Darin

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Dr. Who said:

Folks that can say Kamala Harris is a moderate with a straight face aren't going to be impressed with evidence the polls are skewed to over represent Democratic voters. Nor will they concede that their mob mentality intimidation is likely to cause many Trump voters to simply run silent. Then they go boohoo when the actual election proves that their propoganda efforts are not an effective measure of what the American people think and believe. 

Shhhhhhhhhhhhhh. 

Tiberius Hall of Famer

Tiberius

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Posted
18 minutes ago, All_Pro_Bills said:

Go examine the poll methodologies, statistical populations, and insights from the poll takers that are publicly available.

Ok

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