PromoTheRobot Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 No one mentioned the over/under yet? I got it at 53.5. it's now 54.5. The over has to be a lock, no? On 2/1/2020 at 12:44 PM, EmotionallyUnstable said: It's 2:04 Demi Lovato's last major sports anthem ran 2:12. Take the over Expand But is there a flyover to sync it to?
HOUSE Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 I am betting $2 on the 49ers because I am sure 1
SirAndrew Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 I like placing a bet on a SF skill player, but I’d never do the same with a KC skill player. The Chiefs spread the ball around too much, and if Hill, Watkins, Kelce have a big game, I’m thinking the MVP is going to Mahomes. 1
plenzmd1 Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 12:45 PM, PromoTheRobot said: The over has to be a lock, no? Expand That animal does not exist. On 2/1/2020 at 3:09 AM, Kirby Jackson said: Roughly 26 million people are expected to bet the Super Bowl. They are expected to bet $6.8B. With being said what are you guys betting? I’m thinking: - SF first half - KC 2nd half - SF over rushing total - KC over passing total - National Anthem under 2:04 - A handful of secondary skill players (ie Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, Damian Williams, etc) for MVP Expand Think Garrapolo goes off, I don’t like the over on SF rushing. did place a small bet on side boob shot. Long running joke with my wife and people on her team that she wins so many deals cause she is an expert at showing side boob during demos ! 1
EmotionallyUnstable Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 I like the action on Gatorade bath color. Best odds are 'clear' but last year hit on blue. Red and yellow/lime are also on the docket. I'll take orange at +450 1
eball Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 I haven't looked at the sheet yet...was planning to do that today. It's definitely fun to have action on some of the prop bets during the game. Oh, and I already have 31 squares (27 unique combos) among 5 squares boards so far...and the party I'm going to will have another. LOL 1
NewEra Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) On 2/1/2020 at 4:30 AM, Kirby Jackson said: Yeah, I like those secondary type guys at those numbers. I’ll make smaller bets on it but for $10 or whatever I’ll bet a few skill guys at 50:1 and greater. You hope that you catch the guy that has 100+ yards and scores twice. Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, and Hardman are the types I’m going to look at. I don’t know all of the odds on them but it’s worth a few bucks. Expand On the station casino app it’s currently: deebo 27-1 sammy 50-1 coleman 65-1 hardman 75-1 When the odds came out i threw 10 on Bosa at 20-1 (it’s down to 15-1), 10 on Sherman 50-1 and 5 on brieda 80-1 Edited February 1, 2020 by NewEra 1
Process Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) It's hard to believe this is true but if it is it's got to be one of the worst sports bets ever. I don't know what true odds are but the payout would certainly be over $1mm Edited February 1, 2020 by Process
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 4:12 AM, Kirby Jackson said: 60:1 to be the MVP...he has games where he goes off. He’s PHENOMENAL value at that That’s the line I heard. It’s probably either Westgate or someone like that. You can probably just google it and see who set the line. The lines are pretty universal from the major players. I like that bet Expand I wouldn't take any KC player for MVP other than Mahomes. Problem with guys like Kelce, Hill and Watkins are that if they put up big numbers you know Mahomes is also going to have decent numbers at worst too and they are going to look for any reason they can to give the MVP to Mahomes. It would have to be some scenario where Mahomes passes for under 320 yards or so and half those yards go to one player AND all 2 or 3 TD's Mahomes throws goes to that same player. Mahomes cannot throw a TD to another player. Throw in at least maybe one INT for Mahomes too.
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) On 2/1/2020 at 4:36 PM, Process said: It's hard to believe this is true but if it is it's got to be one of the worst sports bets ever. I don't know what true odds are but the payout would certainly be over $1mm Expand Must be nice to be able to throw money away like that. Maybe the guy thought he was wagering on the 49ers to WIN by exactly 5 points? I got to get some prop bets in tonight for fun. Question is how much of my dwindling bank roll do i want to bet? Edited February 1, 2020 by Sammy Watkins' Rib
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 4:44 PM, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't take any KC player for MVP other than Mahomes. Problem with guys like Kelce, Hill and Watkins are that if they put up big numbers you know Mahomes is also going to have decent numbers at worst too and they are going to look for any reason they can to give the MVP to Mahomes. It would have to be some scenario where Mahomes passes for under 320 yards or so and half those yards go to one player AND all 2 or 3 TD's Mahomes throws goes to that same player. Mahomes cannot throw a TD to another player. Throw in at least maybe one INT for Mahomes too. Expand There’s just no value in Mahomes. He is +115, virtually even money. That’s a terrible bet. I’d much rather spread some money across Kittle 10:1, Damien Williams 25:1, Deebo 25:1, Kelce 16:1, Tyreke 16:1, Sammy 60:1, Hardman 55:1, Coleman 70:1 and Honey Badger 50:1. You put some $ on each on a sliding scale (higher the odds the less you spend) and hope to catch.
RyanC883 Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 5:19 PM, Kirby Jackson said: There’s just no value in Mahomes. He is +115, virtually even money. That’s a terrible bet. I’d much rather spread some money across Kittle 10:1, Damien Williams 25:1, Deebo 25:1, Kelce 16:1, Tyreke 16:1, Sammy 60:1, Hardman 55:1, Coleman 70:1 and Honey Badger 50:1. You put some $ on each on a sliding scale (higher the odds the less you spend) and hope to catch. Expand I think the best route here is to avoid Mahomes and KC offensive players besides RB. If WR/TE's have a good day, Mahomes gets the MVP. Go RB and defense on KC, and someone like Kittle or Coleman on SF. 1
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 6:18 PM, RyanC883 said: I think the best route here is to avoid Mahomes and KC offensive players besides RB. If WR/TE's have a good day, Mahomes gets the MVP. Go RB and defense on KC, and someone like Kittle or Coleman on SF. Expand I’ll probably skip Kelce and Tyreke. It was just an example. Sammy at 60:1 is too much value. If he has 7 for 125 and 2 TDs he will have a chance. Hardman is the Pro Bowl return man. If he busts one he could be the guy. At 50:1 it’s worth a few bucks as well. I don’t think either of those is likely but it’s worth a couple of $10 fliers. 1
section122 Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 Im in for under 54.5. 11 out of last 15 games have been under, under when spread is higher than 50 is 7-4, and I think the niners try to shorten the game and limit the amount of possessions. I haven't made it to the book yet to see what props they have. That will be this afternoon's adventure! 1
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Posted February 1, 2020 I have a big square ($500) that I split with a buddy. Just got the number, SF - 7, KC - 5. Gross!!
section122 Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 8:17 PM, Kirby Jackson said: I have a big square ($500) that I split with a buddy. Just got the number, SF - 7, KC - 5. Gross!! Expand 35-27 lol
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Posted February 1, 2020 (edited) On 2/1/2020 at 8:18 PM, section122 said: 35-27 lol Expand That’s my only hope. I love the 7 but that 5 sucks. It’s only 4 payouts too so it’s not like you can get your money out on touching squares and whatever. Basically a donation Edited February 1, 2020 by Kirby Jackson
Doc Brown Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 12:57 PM, SirAndrew said: I like placing a bet on a SF skill player, but I’d never do the same with a KC skill player. The Chiefs spread the ball around too much, and if Hill, Watkins, Kelce have a big game, I’m thinking the MVP is going to Mahomes. Expand Hardman could be an interesting play considering he returns kicks and can catch a bomb for a TD. He could be the MVP if Mahomes has an average game against that 49ers defense. You can get him at +6600 in some sports books. 1
C.Biscuit97 Posted February 1, 2020 Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 3:09 AM, Kirby Jackson said: Roughly 26 million people are expected to bet the Super Bowl. They are expected to bet $6.8B. With being said what are you guys betting? I’m thinking: - SF first half - KC 2nd half - SF over rushing total - KC over passing total - National Anthem under 2:04 - A handful of secondary skill players (ie Watkins, Coleman, Samuel, Damian Williams, etc) for MVP Expand Will you be refunding us if these lose? Because I’m betting my house on this because I trust you so much. ? I kinda like the over 2.5 sacks for SF. Also, Cousin Sal always does an insane bet and it’s Blake Bell, backup KC TE, first reception over 1.5 yards!!! And the Gatorade has to be red, right?
Kirby Jackson Posted February 1, 2020 Author Posted February 1, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 8:36 PM, C.Biscuit97 said: Will you be refunding us if these lose? Because I’m betting my house on this because I trust you so much. ? I kinda like the over 2.5 sacks for SF. Also, Cousin Sal always does an insane bet and it’s Blake Bell, backup KC TE, first reception over 1.5 yards!!! And the Gatorade has to be red, right? Expand Ha ha, I will not be. I started this thread for advice. This Super Bowl is really confusing me. So far in the playoffs SF has come out fast, and KC slow. Then KC has gone off. That’s why I’m betting it like that. I’m going to guess SF gets the lead and tries to run it. KC throws it as they are playing from behind. I might be wrong but that’s my feeling.
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