The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19

[BillStime]

On 8/3/2020 at 3:21 PM, GG said:

 

The unofficial GG model has the entire country on the Wuhan downswing by the end of August, now that the most populous states are past the peak.  Will be interesting to see the spin once new cases drop precipitously in sept.

 

Just checking in to see how the unofficial GG model is holding up?

[shoshin]

Harris doesn’t trust the rushed vaccines any more than a bunch of you, apparently. 
 

https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/05/politics/kamala-harris-not-trust-trump-vaccine-cnntv/index.html

Edited September 6, 2020 by shoshin

[shoshin]

Unsurprising news as the college cases freak out rises. 
 

 

 

 

[spartacus]

4 minutes ago, shoshin said:

Unsurprising news as the college cases freak out rises. 
 

 

 

 

the fact that nobody is sick couldn't be because the 'tests" could just find common cold coronavirus after multiplying their genetic sample 35 TRILLION times

[Deranged Rhino]

3 minutes ago, spartacus said:

the fact that nobody is sick couldn't be because the 'tests" could just find common cold coronavirus after multiplying their genetic sample 35 TRILLION times

11,000 cases — no hospitalizations or deaths. 
 

“BUT WE MUST ACT IN FEAR BECAUSE THE MEDIA SAID TO!”

[IDBillzFan]

On 9/4/2020 at 6:48 PM, Chef Jim said:

Oh so now you NEED California.

 

😁

 

I know you're just bustin' chops, but a lot of people need CA to open up. We have a few really nice projects that are not only on hold, but also being cut back dramatically because companies are bleeding out and cutting previous jobs that were on the books to help their margins. As you know, that trickles down to the companies who were building those facilities and filling them with technology.

 

It's genuinely maddening to me that CA Covid numbers are ridiculously low, and Newsom doesn't care. He needs the state to schitt the bed until after the election.

[shoshin]

26 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said:

11,000 cases — no hospitalizations or deaths. 
 

“BUT WE MUST ACT IN FEAR BECAUSE THE MEDIA SAID TO!”

A guy on Twitter told me about the Deep State. You just worship a different fear totem. 

[Deranged Rhino]

26 minutes ago, shoshin said:

A guy on Twitter told me about the Deep State. You just worship a different fear totem. 

 

That's where you're wrong. But you're used to that  

[Big Blitz]

This "belief" (they can control everything) is the very core of liberalism:

 

 

 

Edited September 6, 2020 by Big Blitz

[Franco_92]

2 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

This "belief" is the very core of liberalism:

 

 

 

I made these mobility plots for about 9 states of varying latitude. Non-immunoligical legislation doesnt dent these viruses. It's all about Hope-Simpson seasonality and HIT and population density and things like that

[BillsFanNC]

 

[boater]

I got a cryptic naughty message from the moderators for talking COVID on the main football board. So sensitive.

 

Trying to be right by posting here. But really... page 1171 is the best we got?

 

Here it is. UCLA, Stanford study finds for average 50-64 year old, chances of dying from COVID-19 are 1 in 19.1M

 

And I was spanked for panning masks on the sideline.

[ziltoid]

52 minutes ago, boater said:

I got a cryptic naughty message from the moderators for talking COVID on the main football board. So sensitive.

 

Trying to be right by posting here. But really... page 1171 is the best we got?

 

Here it is. UCLA, Stanford study finds for average 50-64 year old, chances of dying from COVID-19 are 1 in 19.1M

 

And I was spanked for panning masks on the sideline.

 

Same happened to me, there is a narrative that she needs to maintain. Although I do think the masks are good insurance for the football staff.

Edited September 6, 2020 by BeerLeagueHockey

[Magox]

Deaths and everything else continue to go lower.  Except cases even though it did drop nicely today.  Hope that continues.   I’m still confused by the JH model of expected deaths.  They clearly don’t buy into the T cell + Covid herd-like immunity and believe in the older theory that it re emerges seasonally like the flu.   I’m highly skeptical of that previous theory based on a number of factors.

 

in any case, another good reporting day.

 

 

 

 

[SoCal Deek]

1 hour ago, BillsFanNC said:

 

The Democrats better watch out. The astounding level of mistrust for the national media is a really bad sign for them, and I’m guessing it spans across way more topics than Covid 19. 

[ziltoid]

27 minutes ago, Magox said:

Deaths and everything else continue to go lower.  Except cases even though it did drop nicely today.  Hope that continues.   I’m still confused by the JH model of expected deaths.  They clearly don’t buy into the T cell + Covid herd-like immunity and believe in the older theory that it re emerges seasonally like the flu.   I’m highly skeptical of that previous theory based on a number of factors.

 

in any case, another good reporting day.

 

Being involved in some Engineering models in the past, I honestly think they do not have a model input or "handle" for the innate T-cell / herd immunity.  I really think it'll be tough to get to the low end of the IHME numbers.  But I am just a guy on the internet.

[Magox]

8 minutes ago, BeerLeagueHockey said:

 

Being involved in some Engineering models in the past, I honestly think they do not have a model input or "handle" for the innate T-cell / herd immunity.  I really think it'll be tough to get to the low end of the IHME numbers.  But I am just a guy on the internet.

Those are my suspicions as well.  I would be surprised if we hit over 250k by the end of the year.

[Big Blitz]

1 hour ago, Magox said:

Deaths and everything else continue to go lower.  Except cases even though it did drop nicely today.  Hope that continues.   I’m still confused by the JH model of expected deaths.  They clearly don’t buy into the T cell + Covid herd-like immunity and believe in the older theory that it re emerges seasonally like the flu.   I’m highly skeptical of that previous theory based on a number of factors.

 

in any case, another good reporting day.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Media:  *compares these numbers with models that shut down the planet in March and then proceed to demand from governors explanations and justifications for 6 feet for life and why the goal posts have moved*

 

 

Jk that ain't happening.  

 

"Cases!" on college campuses!!!   "Long term side effects!!"  

[Big Blitz]

I feel like this should be one of the biggest stories in America right now:  

 

‘Tenet’ Rises To $126M Overseas Including $30M From China Bow, Nears $150M WW; International Box Office

 

https://deadline.com/2020/09/tenet-christopher-nolan-mulan-imax-china-global-international-box-office-1234571675/

[Big Blitz]

A Labor Day PSA from Mayor Garcetti: