BuffaloHokie13 Posted September 4, 2020 Posted September 4, 2020 47 minutes ago, 3rdnlng said: Maybe you could hook her up with BuffalHokie13 who needs a date. What a date consists of you'll have to work out with him. I'm looking at late 20's, not middle aged Yeah, yeah beggars/choosers. I know.
SoCal Deek Posted September 4, 2020 Posted September 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, BuffaloHokie13 said: I'm looking at late 20's, not middle aged Yeah, yeah beggars/choosers. I know. You realize the fact that she’s my sister in law means she’s married to my brother, right? 🙄
3rdnlng Posted September 4, 2020 Posted September 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said: You realize the fact that she’s my sister in law means she’s married to my brother, right? 🙄 She could be your wife's single sister too.
SoCal Deek Posted September 4, 2020 Posted September 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, 3rdnlng said: She could be your wife's single sister too. I guess you’re right!. Alas, she’s not....just the nutcase my brother married. And now she’s got my nephews and my niece all hold up together in the house. At any other time it’d be considered child abuse. 1
Buffalo_Gal Posted September 5, 2020 Posted September 5, 2020 2 hours ago, B-Man said: WELL, OKAY THEN: Wear a mask while having sex, Canada’s top doctor suggests. 😐 Hey, no judgement here. Whatever floats her boat.
Chef Jim Posted September 5, 2020 Posted September 5, 2020 6 hours ago, IDBillzFan said: As a small business owner in dire need of CA getting back to work, this is absolutely infuriating to me. Oh so now you NEED California. 😁
Big Blitz Posted September 5, 2020 Posted September 5, 2020 (edited) Did anyone see this from Fauci yesterday? Wow. Edited September 5, 2020 by Big Blitz 3
ziltoid Posted September 5, 2020 Posted September 5, 2020 He forgot to add that HIV is only spread by red hat wearing truckers too.
Magox Posted September 5, 2020 Posted September 5, 2020 On track to make new lows for sometime in October if things continue to progress. Cases over the past week seem to have temporarily bottomed out. Illinois seems to be the new emerging hotspot. Would make sense considering Chicago was never hit all that hard comparatively to other cities. 844 is the deaths per day 7 day moving average. I saw that new model where they are expecting a dramatic increase in deaths by the end of the year. I suppose it’s possible, assuming they are right which I am highly skeptical it would essentially mean that the herd-like immunity from cross reactive T cell immunity is a bunk theory. We shall see.
ziltoid Posted September 5, 2020 Posted September 5, 2020 4 minutes ago, Magox said: I saw that new model where they are expecting a dramatic increase in deaths by the end of the year. I suppose it’s possible, assuming they are right which I am highly skeptical it would essentially mean that the herd-like immunity from cross reactive T cell immunity is a bunk theory. We shall see. @Magox I have not seen this new model, link please?
Magox Posted September 5, 2020 Posted September 5, 2020 (edited) 50 minutes ago, BeerLeagueHockey said: @Magox I have not seen this new model, link please? Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1: ‘The worst is yet to come’ Sounds ominous and as if it was written by a Democratic staffer. Edited September 5, 2020 by Magox
ziltoid Posted September 5, 2020 Posted September 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, Magox said: Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1: ‘The worst is yet to come’ Sounds ominous and as if it was written by a Democratic staffer. Thanks, as always taken w/ lots of grains of salt.
GG Posted September 6, 2020 Posted September 6, 2020 2 hours ago, Magox said: Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1: ‘The worst is yet to come’ Sounds ominous and as if it was written by a Democratic staffer. What a difference a few months makes? Wondering what made IHME do an about face in their estimates?
ziltoid Posted September 6, 2020 Posted September 6, 2020 (edited) 9 minutes ago, GG said: What a difference a few months makes? Wondering what made IHME do an about face in their estimates? I think the imminent colder weather is the main driver in their model. They don’t expect the 20% herd immunity level that some have guessed at to hold any water. And the biggest takeaway here is, and I hesitate to say it, the modelers think that masks don’t work. They expect a big case increase by the end of Oct. Here’s hoping they are just smoking the wacky tabacy. The modelers expected an abatement in the summer that didn’t happen, now they expect an increase in the winter that may not occur either. Edited September 6, 2020 by BeerLeagueHockey
GG Posted September 6, 2020 Posted September 6, 2020 51 minutes ago, BeerLeagueHockey said: I think the imminent colder weather is the main driver in their model. They don’t expect the 20% herd immunity level that some have guessed at to hold any water. And the biggest takeaway here is, and I hesitate to say it, the modelers think that masks don’t work. They expect a big case increase by the end of Oct. Here’s hoping they are just smoking the wacky tabacy. The modelers expected an abatement in the summer that didn’t happen, now they expect an increase in the winter that may not occur either. That's why the logic isn't consistent. There was no abatement in cases during summer peak, but there was a significant drop in mortality. If they're concerned that the virus will turn more deadly as the weather cools, wouldn't it make more sense to have greater exposure of healthier people in the summer when the virus is at its weakest? They also don't explain why the virus will get more deadly in the fall. I understand why transmissions could increase as more people socialize indoors, but why would it turn more lethal? 1
ziltoid Posted September 6, 2020 Posted September 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, GG said: That's why the logic isn't consistent. There was no abatement in cases during summer peak, but there was a significant drop in mortality. If they're concerned that the virus will turn more deadly as the weather cools, wouldn't it make more sense to have greater exposure of healthier people in the summer when the virus is at its weakest? They also don't explain why the virus will get more deadly in the fall. I understand why transmissions could increase as more people socialize indoors, but why would it turn more lethal? Definitely some inconsistencies when you look at the big picture. They are just modelers, their heads are deep in lots of data. My guess for the dire modeling is this - the virus stays the same, but people get more susceptible to any virus as their immune systems wane in the low vitamin D winters. All in all, I am a glass half full guy and the modelers are definitely glass half empty. I think we’ll be below the low end of their estimate, and I have a hunch it’ll be that dastardly thing called herd immunity. Time will tell.
Mike in Horseheads Posted September 6, 2020 Posted September 6, 2020 3 hours ago, Magox said: Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1: ‘The worst is yet to come’ Sounds ominous and as if it was written by a Democratic staffer. Yup this whole thing is a hoax and "the few cases" didn't turn into 190k deaths. All fake news
Magox Posted September 6, 2020 Posted September 6, 2020 2 hours ago, Mike in Horseheads said: Yup this whole thing is a hoax and "the few cases" didn't turn into 190k deaths. All fake news Wtf are you talking about? Who said it was a hoax? Take your BS and baggage to someone else. 1
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