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Posted
  On 1/16/2020 at 4:44 PM, 34-78-83 said:

They are easily as much a function of playing with risk as they are random chance. Ie. down 2 scores in the 3rd quarter... (gotta start trying some more high risk plays to come back). Also... Up 2 scores at the same time of the game (likely take fewer risks in the passing game and try to run the ball, go down with contact and not over fight for extra yards). Also, even in one on one player matchups, the overmatched guy in terms of talent/skill is going to have more turnovers than the dominant player. More things that I haven't seen addressed yet by analytics. Maybe they are somewhere... just haven't seen. 

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