******* Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 Just heard on wgr that if both bills and Steelers win Sunday they have same playoff probability . Thiught that was interesting
Chill Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 6/2 vs 4/4. OP, you shouldn’t regurgitate fake news. 1 1 1
MAJBobby Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 Probabilities blah. Get to 10 wins you are in without help.
oldmanfan Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 Got to fix the issue with run defense from last week and get the next win Sunday. Game at a time 6
MAJBobby Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 (edited) On 10/31/2019 at 8:05 PM, Chill said: 6/2 vs 4/4. OP, you shouldn’t regurgitate fake news. Expand they were talking about some Playoff Leverage tool ESPN has put there. And wasn’t same Odds just same increase in odds according to that tool Edited October 31, 2019 by MAJBobby 1
Bleeding Bills Blue Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:05 PM, Chill said: 6/2 vs 4/4. OP, you shouldn’t regurgitate fake news. Expand We do play each other - so that would give them the head 2 head. They also would have a shot at their division with the ravens. Our division is not in play really so... we only have wild card odds 4
dave mcbride Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:05 PM, Chill said: 6/2 vs 4/4. OP, you shouldn’t regurgitate fake news. Expand You have to factor in that the prediction is based in part on the Steelers being favored at home to beat the Bills and thus getting the head-to-head advantage. The Bills haven't beaten Pittsburgh in Pitt in decades.
Chill Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:20 PM, dave mcbride said: You have to factor in that the prediction is based in part on the Steelers being favored at home to beat the Bills and thus getting the head-to-head advantage. The Bills haven't beaten Pittsburgh in Pitt in decades. Expand That is not the OP. He was stating if both teams win THIS week, we have the same playoff probably. Which is ridiculously false. critical thinking skills. On 10/31/2019 at 8:14 PM, dneveu said: We do play each other - so that would give them the head 2 head. They also would have a shot at their division with the ravens. Our division is not in play really so... we only have wild card odds Expand Only prediction from OP is if both teams win this week. Why wouldn’t our division be in play? We are 2 games out.
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:05 PM, MAJBobby said: they were talking about some Playoff Leverage tool ESPN has put there. And wasn’t same Odds just same increase in odds according to that tool Expand Oh, more analytics garbage. Got it.
Bleeding Bills Blue Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:25 PM, Chill said: That is not the OP. He was stating if both teams win THIS week, we have the same playoff probably. Which is ridiculously false. critical thinking skills. Only prediction from OP is if both teams win this week. Why wouldn’t our division be in play? We are 2 games out. Expand Assuming the ravens lose... and the patriots win after this week. That would put them 1 game back and us 2 and 1/2 games back from NE. The chance of them winning their division is higher than ours at that point. They have a better chance to win division, and at 4-4 would still have a fairly good shot at a WC because they would have beaten the colts to put them at 5-3. 3
That's No Moon Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:14 PM, dneveu said: We do play each other - so that would give them the head 2 head. They also would have a shot at their division with the ravens. Our division is not in play really so... we only have wild card odds Expand On 10/31/2019 at 8:33 PM, dneveu said: Assuming the ravens lose... and the patriots win after this week. That would put them 1 game back and us 2 and 1/2 games back from NE. The chance of them winning their division is higher than ours at that point. They have a better chance to win division, and at 4-4 would still have a fairly good shot at a WC because they would have beaten the colts to put them at 5-3. Expand Stop talking sense. 2
coloradobillsfan Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:05 PM, MAJBobby said: Probabilities blah. Get to 10 wins you are in without help. Expand it hasn't happened often, but there are some 10 win teams that missed the playoffs. 1
That's No Moon Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 The Steelers schedule looks pretty inviting (Colts at home, Rams at home, 2 v. Cleveland, Cincinnati, Arizona, Buffalo at home, Jets and Ravens) and the Bills are looking at a 4 game stretch including @Dallas on Thanksgiving, Baltimore, @Pittsburgh, @ New England. Let's say for the sake of argument the Bills lose all of those games because any one of those game would represent the first time McClappy won any game like that. That gives them 6 losses and no tie breaker v. either Baltimore or Pittsburgh. They'd need win every other game on the schedule in that scenario to avoid 9-7. 9-7 puts you in bad situations with Pittsburgh or Baltimore or both. No hiccups, no bad days, no squandered opportunities. Nothing. You feel good about a week 17 game v. the Jets on a 4 game losing streak knowing that if you lose the loser of the Ravens/Steelers game that day has the tiebreaker over you and will probably knock you out? Yeah I didn't think so. 1
MAJBobby Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:43 PM, coloradobillsfan said: it hasn't happened often, but there are some 10 win teams that missed the playoffs. Expand there has but not with the way the AFC unfolded this year. Get to 10. And you are in.
row_33 Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/31/2019 at 8:28 PM, Joe in Winslow said: Oh, more analytics garbage. Got it. Expand thats 98 percent of the conversation in sports fans these days
dave mcbride Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 (edited) On 10/31/2019 at 8:53 PM, MAJBobby said: there has but not with the way the AFC unfolded this year. Get to 10. And you are in. Expand I think that's right. No one else beside the Bills and Pats in the AFC East is going to get to 10, and I feel the same way about the AFC West beyond KC. The AFC Central will be its usual clusterf**k with 4 teams finishing within two games of 8-8. The only teams with a chance of getting to 10 wins in the AFC Central are Baltimore and Pitt, and the latter is 3-4 with a fairly unimpressive young QB. He's going to lose them a couple of games at least. Edited October 31, 2019 by dave mcbride
MAJBobby Posted October 31, 2019 Posted October 31, 2019 (edited) In case anyone wanted to know this is what Schopp was talking about On 10/31/2019 at 8:59 PM, dave mcbride said: I think that's right. No one else beside the Bills and Pats in the AFC East is going to get to 10, and I feel the same way about the AFC West beyond KC. The AFC Central will be its usual clusterf**k with 4 teams finishing within two games of 8-8. The only teams with a chance of getting to 10 wins in the AFC Central are Baltimore and Pitt, and the latter is 3-4 with a fairly unimpressive young QB. He's going to lose them a couple of games at least. Expand yep and the South is just going to beat themselves up as well. 10 wins gets you in. 9 wins and you may need a little help. Edited October 31, 2019 by MAJBobby 1
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