2019 Playoffs. 1st round

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

1 minute ago, The Red King said:

 

Would Indy somehow squeek in if they got into a three way tie, perhaps? ?

TIEBREAKERS

AFC tiebreakers:

• Pittsburgh is ahead of Tennessee based on conference record (6-4 to the Titans' 6-5).

 

Not listed BUT the Colts have to win out to stand a chance 

 

[thenorthremembers]

9 hours ago, Joe in Winslow said:

 

That's a REAL shame, isn't it, @thenorthremembers

Lol.  Couldnt be more happy I was wrong.

[RichRiderBills]

4 % to win AFCE seems like some sort of unrealistically low PFF garbage.

 

Odds of bills beating pats are probably like 35 to 40 percent, and odds of Pats losing to phins is probably 20 percent or maybe a little better.

 

Dont see how both happening could get that low.

 

 

Edited December 16, 2019 by RichRiderBills

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

7 minutes ago, RichRiderBills said:

4 % to win AFCE seems like some sort of unrealistically low PFF garbage.

 

Odds of bills beating pats are probably like 35 to 40 percent, and odds of Pats losing to phins is probably 20 percent or maybe a little better.

 

Dont see how both happening could get that low.

 

The "odds" of the Bills beating the Patriots are good IMO.

The "odds" of Miami beating the Patriots are minuscule IMO.

[Foxx]

1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

... With 10 wins the Bills are LOCKED in at the 5 seed.  

 

i don't think we're, 'locked' at the 5th seed. theoretically, we could finish as high as 2nd or anywhere in between. but definitely no lower than 5th. 

[BillsFanSD]

23 minutes ago, RichRiderBills said:

4 % to win AFCE seems like some sort of unrealistically low PFF garbage.

 

Odds of bills beating pats are probably like 35 to 40 percent, and odds of Pats losing to phins is probably 20 percent or maybe a little better.

 

Dont see how both happening could get that low.

 

 

Let's say there's a 30% chance that we beat New England, a 20% chance that New England loses to Miami, and a 75% chance that we beat the Jets.

 

0.3 X 0.2 X 0.75 = 4.5%

[DJB]

5 minutes ago, BillsFanSD said:

Let's say there's a 30% chance that we beat New England, a 20% chance that New England loses to Miami, and a 75% chance that we beat the Jets.

 

0.3 X 0.2 X 0.75 = 4.5%

 

 

[buffalobillswin]

I really hope the Bills have earned not playing on Saturday at 4:30 in the playoffs. 
 

I want a Saturday night or Sunday game!

[TigerJ]

2 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

NFL   http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture

 

ESPN Playoff Machine   http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

ESPN standings    https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings/_/view/playoff

 

NYT    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html      > 99% to make it.  ????  > 99 LOL 

 

CBS    https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace

• PLAYOFF PICTURE SCENARIOS: WEEK 15

   

  AFC SCENARIOS:		NFC SCENARIOS:
  No remaining AFC clinch scenarios for Week 15.		No remaining NFC clinch scenarios for Week 15.
  AFC CLINCHES:		NFC CLINCHES:
  BALTIMORE clinched a playoff berth (Week 14), the AFC North division title (Week 15) KANSAS CITY clinched the AFC West division title (Week 14) NEW ENGLAND clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) BUFFALO clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)		NEW ORLEANS clinched the NFC South division title (Week 13) SEATTLE clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) SAN FRANCISCO clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) GREEN BAY clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)

  During the regular season, the seeds reflect how the playoffs would stand if the season ended up to that point. The NFL playoffs are not based on a pure bracket system. In the divisional playoffs, the No. 1 seed is assured of playing the lowest-seeded Wild Card survivor. There are no restrictions on intra-division games and the higher seed of any matchup will have home-field advantage.

 

 

AFC
SEED	TEAM	DIVISION	RECORD
1	(y) Baltimore	North	12-2-0
2	(x) New England	East	11-3-0
3	(y) Kansas City	West	10-4-0
4	Houston	South	9-5-0
5	(x) Buffalo	East	10-4-0
6	Pittsburgh	North	8-6-0
STILL ALIVE
SEED	TEAM	DIVISION	RECORD
7	Tennessee	South	8-6-0
8	Indianapolis	South	6-7-0

 

Colts may be eliminated tonight if I heard correctly last night. 

 

With 10 wins the Bills are LOCKED in at the 5 seed.  

 

Yup.  There are two teams below them that can match 10 wins, but Buffalo owns the first tie breaker on both of them (head to head).  I admit though that I haven't looked at how it works if the Titans managed to go on and win the AFC South .  Could Houston end up with 10 wins?  What would the tiebreaker be there?

[CorkScrewHill]

1 hour ago, The Red King said:

 

Would Indy somehow squeek in if they got into a three way tie, perhaps? ?

 

They have a lot of variables that have to go their way .. currently listed at less than a 1% chance.

Edited December 16, 2019 by CorkScrewHill

[BillsFanSD]

39 minutes ago, TigerJ said:

I admit though that I haven't looked at how it works if the Titans managed to go on and win the AFC South .  Could Houston end up with 10 wins?  What would the tiebreaker be there?

If Houston gets to 10 wins, they win the AFCS even if Tennessee wins out.  (Conference record, I think).

[CorkScrewHill]

1 hour ago, Foxx said:

i don't think we're, 'locked' at the 5th seed. theoretically, we could finish as high as 2nd or anywhere in between. but definitely no lower than 5th. 

2nd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out, and Chiefs lose 1;

3rd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out; and Chiefs win out;

5th seed any other scenario.  We cannot be the 4th seed as for us to win the division we would need to win out and the Texans could not catch us in that scenario.

[aristocrat]

4 minutes ago, CorkScrewHill said:

2nd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out, and Chiefs lose 1;

3rd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out; and Chiefs win out;

5th seed any other scenario.  We cannot be the 4th seed as for us to win the division we would need to win out and the Texans could not catch us in that scenario.

 

Great info.  3 seed would amazing and a home playoff game likely against steelers. pats would have to go to houston where they already lost this year. We'd likely have a nice win

[eball]

1 hour ago, buffalobillswin said:

I really hope the Bills have earned not playing on Saturday at 4:30 in the playoffs. 
 

I want a Saturday night or Sunday game!

 

Well, we've gone from "just happy to be here" to demanding specific time slots in a hurry, haven't we!

[Rock-A-Bye Beasley]

1 hour ago, TigerJ said:

Yup.  There are two teams below them that can match 10 wins, but Buffalo owns the first tie breaker on both of them (head to head).  I admit though that I haven't looked at how it works if the Titans managed to go on and win the AFC South .  Could Houston end up with 10 wins?  What would the tiebreaker be there?

 

Looks like Houston would win the tie breaker (division record) against TEN even if they lose to them in week 17. So, if Houston beats Tampa Bay next week I think we are going to Houston unless we win the division.

Edited December 16, 2019 by Chemical

[teef]

they don't have times worked out for these yet...do they?

[billsfanmiami(oh)]

6 minutes ago, teef said:

they don't have times worked out for these yet...do they?

The times are set but they don’t assign the games till after week 17 games end I believe. 

[mannc]

1 hour ago, buffalobillswin said:

I really hope the Bills have earned not playing on Saturday at 4:30 in the playoffs. 
 

I want a Saturday night or Sunday game!

Don’t count on it.

32 minutes ago, CorkScrewHill said:

2nd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out, and Chiefs lose 1;

3rd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out; and Chiefs win out;

5th seed any other scenario.  We cannot be the 4th seed as for us to win the division we would need to win out and the Texans could not catch us in that scenario.

Why would Chiefs be ahead of us?

[MAJBobby]

3 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

NFL   http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture

 

ESPN Playoff Machine   http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

ESPN standings    https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings/_/view/playoff

 

NYT    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html      > 99% to make it.  ????  > 99 LOL 

 

CBS    https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace

• PLAYOFF PICTURE SCENARIOS: WEEK 15

   

  AFC SCENARIOS:		NFC SCENARIOS:
  No remaining AFC clinch scenarios for Week 15.		No remaining NFC clinch scenarios for Week 15.
  AFC CLINCHES:		NFC CLINCHES:
  BALTIMORE clinched a playoff berth (Week 14), the AFC North division title (Week 15) KANSAS CITY clinched the AFC West division title (Week 14) NEW ENGLAND clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) BUFFALO clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)		NEW ORLEANS clinched the NFC South division title (Week 13) SEATTLE clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) SAN FRANCISCO clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) GREEN BAY clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)

  During the regular season, the seeds reflect how the playoffs would stand if the season ended up to that point. The NFL playoffs are not based on a pure bracket system. In the divisional playoffs, the No. 1 seed is assured of playing the lowest-seeded Wild Card survivor. There are no restrictions on intra-division games and the higher seed of any matchup will have home-field advantage.

 

 

AFC
SEED	TEAM	DIVISION	RECORD
1	(y) Baltimore	North	12-2-0
2	(x) New England	East	11-3-0
3	(y) Kansas City	West	10-4-0
4	Houston	South	9-5-0
5	(x) Buffalo	East	10-4-0
6	Pittsburgh	North	8-6-0
STILL ALIVE
SEED	TEAM	DIVISION	RECORD
7	Tennessee	South	8-6-0
8	Indianapolis	South	6-7-0

 

Colts may be eliminated tonight if I heard correctly last night. 

 

With 10 wins the Bills are LOCKED in at the 5 seed.  

 

 

Man that X looks so nice after week 15

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

26 minutes ago, teef said:

they don't have times worked out for these yet...do they?

playoff games?

 

No   BUT I suspect 2 on Saturday 3:30 is and 8"00 ish

 

and 2 on Sunday  12:30 - 1PM  and then 4:30 

 

11 minutes ago, MAJBobby said:

 

Man that X looks so nice after week 15

it sure does