2019 Playoffs. 1st round

[billsfan5121]

8 hours ago, Crayola64 said:

Doesn’t one win only clinch it if it’s against the steelers?  A win against patriots or jets puts us at 10 wins, can’t Steelers and Tennessee get to 11 and knock us out?

The thing that’s probably been answered already is if the titans get to 11, that means they beat Houston twice, which means Houston would be 9-7 at best. That’s why it’s possible for just one win to make it. If Tennessee weren’t playing Houston twice (with Houston and Tennessee both at 5 losses), then we’d need more help.

We can also clinch, if I’m not mistaken, with all three being losses if.....

 

Tennessee loses 2

Oakland loses 1

cleveland loses 1 

 

So at this point, I would (to not worry), root for Baltimore to need week 17 against Cleveland.

 

Tennessee probably loses 2 (Hou, NO, Hou)

 

And Oakland to lose one of I think Jax, Chargers, Broncos (any one works).

 

So, even if we lose out, it’s going to be tough to miss at this point. We stacked enough wins early on to even “back in” to the playoffs.

 

Edit: I think we are above the colts in this scenario as well, even if they win out.

Edited December 10, 2019 by billsfan5121

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

1 hour ago, BuffaloBaumer said:

Just get 5 seed, that is huge. Beat Pittsburgh and they get it no matter what,  correct?

No matter what 

 

 

1 hour ago, rayray808 said:

 

I think after next week it might be easier to figure out potential playoff match ups... as of now, statistically looking strong that we open up against the Texans

that is correct.  based on current estimates 
 

I think it was posted that a few pages back. 
or a different playoff thread 

 

Edited December 10, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

Actually this page 

 

5. Buffalo Bills (9-4)

Chance to make the playoffs: 95.9%
Projected playoff matchup: at Texans

 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001086559/article/2019-nfl-playoffclinching-scenarios-for-week-15

 

2019 NFL playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 15

CLINCHED:

Baltimore Ravens - playoff berth

Kansas City Chiefs - AFC West Division

 

 

BUFFALO BILLS (9-4) (at Pittsburgh (8-5), Sunday, 8:20 PM ET, NBC)

Buffalo clinches playoff berth with:

1) BUF win

 

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (10-3) (at Cincinnati (1-12), Sunday, 1:00 PM ET, CBS)

New England clinches playoff berth with:

NE win or tie

(Unless the NFL makes them forfeit the game)

Edited December 10, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

checking for 

@Ramza86

 

Yup  1 more win 

[Greg S]

With the exception of the Bills game I am really looking forward to watching the Texans/Titans. I don't know if we have the tiebreaker with Houston but we do with Tennessee so..... GO TEXANS!!!

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

1 hour ago, Greg S said:

With the exception of the Bills game I am really looking forward to watching the Texans/Titans. I don't know if we have the tiebreaker with Houston but we do with Tennessee so..... GO TEXANS!!!

well the Bills beat Denver and Denver crushed Houston. 

[MAJBobby]

22 hours ago, rayray808 said:

can the Bills lose to the Steelers, Pats and then beat the Jets and get in?

 

anyone know the exact scenarios based on wins and loses to see who we would play in the playoffs?

yes they win 1 game of the 3 they are in. 

[rayray808]

wait... so Bills win out, and Pats lose out = Bills the 2 seed and Pats out of the playoffs???

[MAJBobby]

Just now, rayray808 said:

wait... so Bills win out, and Pats lose out = Bills the 2 seed and Pats out of the playoffs???

yep. 

[Boatdrinks]

1 hour ago, Greg S said:

With the exception of the Bills game I am really looking forward to watching the Texans/Titans. I don't know if we have the tiebreaker with Houston but we do with Tennessee so..... GO TEXANS!!!

There’s no particular rooting interest for Bills fans there, unless in the doomsday scenario of the Bills finishing 9-7. 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

7 minutes ago, rayray808 said:

wait... so Bills win out, and Pats lose out = Bills the 2 seed and Pats out of the playoffs???

 I don’t think it will go that far.  
 

but THAT would be sweet 

I just ran the machine and the Pats **** get the 5th seed.  

[MAJBobby]

11 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

 I don’t think it will go that far.  
 

but THAT would be sweet 

I just ran the machine and the Pats **** get the 5th seed.  

There is a scenario that keeps them out of the playoffs. Other wise they wouldn’t need this week to clinch a playoff birth 

[MDH]

39 minutes ago, rayray808 said:

wait... so Bills win out, and Pats lose out = Bills the 2 seed and Pats out of the playoffs???

 

No, Bills would need the Chiefs to lose a game to get the 2 seed.

20 minutes ago, MAJBobby said:

There is a scenario that keeps them out of the playoffs. Other wise they wouldn’t need this week to clinch a playoff birth 

 

There obviously is but I can’t find it messing with the playoff machine.

 

edit: Found it. If Pit, Hou, Tenn and NE all finish with 10 wins the Pats are the team that misses out.

Edited December 10, 2019 by MDH

[MAJBobby]

54 minutes ago, MDH said:

 

No, Bills would need the Chiefs to lose a game to get the 2 seed.

 

There obviously is but I can’t find it messing with the playoff machine.

 

edit: Found it. If Pit, Hou, Tenn and NE all finish with 10 wins the Pats are the team that misses out.

so Pitt getting to 10

Tenn and Houston would have to Split and Tenn beat Saints I Think 

NE lose out. 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

2 hours ago, MAJBobby said:

There is a scenario that keeps them out of the playoffs. Other wise they wouldn’t need this week to clinch a playoff birth 

there is always a scenario.  
 

the odds for it to happen have to be like 1%. 
 

1 % is better than 0    ? 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

13 hours ago, MAJBobby said:

so Pitt getting to 10

Tenn and Houston would have to Split and Tenn beat Saints I Think 

NE lose out. 

 

That may happen ...  But I'm a closet Saints fan.  I think Brees wins that game 

14 hours ago, Boatdrinks said:

There’s no particular rooting interest for Bills fans there, unless in the doomsday scenario of the Bills finishing 9-7. 

 

There is if you have a certain opponent you wish the Bills to play in the WC round 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

https://www.buffalorumblings.com/2019/12/8/21002008/how-the-buffalo-bills-can-clinch-a-playoff-spot-in-week-15

 

the meat of the story 

Thanks to the Tennessee Titans’ win (8-5) and the Houston Texans’ loss (8-5) in Week 14, it has set up the AFC South death match Buffalo was hoping for. If the Titans win out, beating the Texans twice in the process, a ten-win Buffalo will pass a seven-loss Houston for the Wild Card spot. If the Texans beat the Titans in one of those games, the ten-win Bills are ahead of Tennessee.

 

Buffalo’s win would also come against the Pittsburgh Steelers, currently 8-5, and Buffalo would hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over them at a hypothetical 10-6.

 

 

IF you want to go even further ....

https://www.buffalorumblings.com/2019/12/8/21002014/how-the-buffalo-bills-can-still-win-the-afc-east-new-england-patriots

How the Buffalo Bills can still win the AFC East

 

We’ve done the math.

If the Bills lose to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 15, the Bills can still win the division if the Patriots lose to the Dolphins in Week 17 and Buffalo wins in Weeks 16 (Patriots) and 17 (New York Jets).

 

The Bills can’t be eliminated from the AFC East race before Week 16, so that game is going to have implications one way or the other when Buffalo travels to Massachusetts.

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

NFL Playoff Projection: Could Deshaun Watson and Texans miss the playoffs

https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl-playoff-projection-could-deshaun-watson-and-texans-miss-the-playoffs-151609349.html

 

The Houston Texans’ loss to the Denver Broncos was shocking because of the way they got dominated. They were down 38-3 at home to a 5-8 Broncos team with rookie quarterback Drew Lock.

 

No matter the margin, any loss to the Broncos was costly. There was no bigger loss by an NFL team in Week 14 as it pertains to the playoff picture. Not even close.

 

The Texans are in danger of losing the AFC South, and even a wild-card spot in a weak conference isn’t assured anymore. The Titans take over the Texans’ spot atop the division in this week’s playoff projection.

 

 

[Rampage]

Titans are playing lights out and I see them winning that division. No one wants to play them in the playoffs(aside from Baltimore obviously) and they’re firing on all cylinders. Each phase is on point.