Adam727 Posted December 3, 2019 Posted December 3, 2019 6 hours ago, Boatdrinks said: I’m not certain what the reason is, but a 3 way tie at 10-6 with the Texans , Bills, and Titans including a Titans sweep of HOU knocks the Bills out in my scenarios on playoff machine( ESPN). It doesn’t give explanations that I know of, and I haven’t reviewed tiebreaking procedures to figure it out. Seems to be one of the few situations the Bills could miss out in. Edit: this is factoring in a Bills loss to PIT Tenn would win the division over Houston due to beating them twice. Houston would get the wildcard against Buffalo because of a better conference record. I think the Steelers and Raiders would both get the wildcard over us at 10-6 also, unless the bills 10th win is against the steelers. Bills have tiebreakers over Tenn & Indy. 1
ganesh Posted December 3, 2019 Posted December 3, 2019 16 hours ago, Scott7975 said: I was just going to post that now Dalton is back in he can do us a favor again this year haha. He already did...He has knocked out a resurgent NY Jets team who were dreaming of a post season after 3 straight *dominating* victories. 1
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Posted December 3, 2019 5 hours ago, Adam727 said: Tenn would win the division over Houston due to beating them twice. Houston would get the wildcard against Buffalo because of a better conference record. I think the Steelers and Raiders would both get the wildcard over us at 10-6 also, unless the bills 10th win is against the steelers. Bills have tiebreakers over Tenn & Indy. to be redundant. I think Houston is the better team. They may split the matchups but take the division. Re Steelers- beat them flat out and Bobs your uncle
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Posted December 3, 2019 Crap. I thought this was the other way around... The Chiefs are playing in New England. I should have known better. The Putz always get these types of match ups on their turf.
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted December 3, 2019 Posted December 3, 2019 There are a couple worst case scenario's where a 3 game slide has us needing a win and some help to make the playoffs in week 17. Would love to beat the Ravens this week to eliminate any such scenario. I have a pretty good feeling about the Pittsburgh game though. I think the switch to prime time actually helps both our offense and defense. Pittsburgh plays like five prime time games a year so I don't see them getting a motivation bump like our guys will. When the game was scheduled for the early 1pm kick off I saw potential for it to be like the Browns game. One we let slip away. 1
Boatdrinks Posted December 3, 2019 Posted December 3, 2019 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: There are a couple worst case scenario's where a 3 game slide has us needing a win and some help to make the playoffs in week 17. Would love to beat the Ravens this week to eliminate any such scenario. I have a pretty good feeling about the Pittsburgh game though. I think the switch to prime time actually helps both our offense and defense. Pittsburgh plays like five prime time games a year so I don't see them getting a motivation bump like our guys will. When the game was scheduled for the early 1pm kick off I saw potential for it to be like the Browns game. One we let slip away. I think both teams will be motivated regardless of the time slot. The prime time thing will just mean a more raucous crowd and tougher sledding for the Bills if anything. It would be great to beat the Ravens, but I actually think the scenario you described needing the week 17 win is a fairly realistic one. They may or may not need help based on the outcomes of games in weeks 14-16. That mostly hinges on the Titans and Raiders. Steelers are well coached , play good defense and can win with a “ caretaker” at QB. Edited December 3, 2019 by Boatdrinks 1
RiotAct Posted December 3, 2019 Posted December 3, 2019 32 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: Crap. I thought this was the other way around... The Chiefs are playing in New England. I should have known better. The Putz always get these types of match ups on their turf. yep. Mahomes gonna have a lot of derrrrpppp moments.
Jamie Nails Posted December 3, 2019 Posted December 3, 2019 So, do we want the titans or raiders this weekend? I’m thinking, without running scenarios, we want the titans. We have the tie breaker and they have a tough last three games.
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Posted December 3, 2019 (edited) On 12/3/2019 at 11:25 AM, RiotAct said: yep. Mahomes gonna have a lot of derrrrpppp moments. eh Maybe. The Pats defense may be good. I just don't buy that they are the best. JMO On 12/3/2019 at 11:34 AM, Jamie Nails said: So, do we want the titans or raiders this weekend? I’m thinking, without running scenarios, we want the titans. We have the tie breaker and they have a tough last three games. Do you want separation or a close race? Pick your poison I guess Shady's AFC guesses (On games I don't deem important to have a real impact I'm just going with who I want to won for no particular reason) Thursday, December 5 MATCHUP HOME team NAT TV Dallas Chicago FOX/NFL Sunday, December 8 MATCHUP Baltimore Buffalo CBS Kansas City New England CBS Denver Houston CBS Indianapolis Tampa Bay CBS Los Angeles Chargers Jacksonville FOX Tennessee Oakland CBS Pittsburgh Arizona CBS Miami New York JETS CBS Cincinnati Cleveland CBS Carolina Atlanta FOX Washington Green Bay FOX Detroit Minnesota FOX San Francisco New Orleans FOX Seattle Los Angeles Rams NBC Monday, December 9 New York Giants Philadelphia ESPN Edited December 5, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost
Franco_92 Posted December 3, 2019 Posted December 3, 2019 1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: Crap. I thought this was the other way around... The Chiefs are playing in New England. I should have known better. The Putz always get these types of match ups on their turf. Not really. it's the same formula that sent them to Watson's house, where they pooped their pants two days ago. 1
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Posted December 3, 2019 39 minutes ago, arcane said: Not really. it's the same formula that sent them to Watson's house, where they pooped their pants two days ago. You call it a "formula" I call it Pats**** favoritism
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Posted December 3, 2019 https://www.forbes.com/sites/vincentfrank/2019/12/03/nfl-playoff-picture-heading-into-week-14/#3b12fd996b48 Buffalo Bills: As one of the most-surprising teams in the NFL, the 9-3 Bills can clinch a spot in the postseason with a win over the Ravens as well as losses by the Texans, Raiders and Colts.
Franco_92 Posted December 3, 2019 Posted December 3, 2019 4 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: You call it a "formula" I call it Pats**** favoritism You're joking right? The rotation is completely set for all teams indefinitely far into the future. You can figure out the Bills 2035 opponents and where each game is, except for 2 of them, and even then you'd know if those games are home/away
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2019 Author Posted December 3, 2019 (edited) 40 minutes ago, arcane said: You're joking right? The rotation is completely set for all teams indefinitely far into the future. You can figure out the Bills 2035 opponents and where each game is, except for 2 of them, and even then you'd know if those games are home/away yes, they rotate divisions and have a formula. BUT each owner does get to appeal the schedule and have it altered Ralph Wilson did it often saying a night game was a burden to his teams fan base. the opponents are set. Not where they play. How many years did Buffalo face the Patriots after a BYE? the formula is supposed to account for it yet 7 out of 10 times it happened. the formula is supposed to keep a team on a 3 game road trip yet it happens. nothing is perfect Edited December 3, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost
Franco_92 Posted December 4, 2019 Posted December 4, 2019 3 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: yes, they rotate divisions and have a formula. BUT each owner does get to appeal the schedule and have it altered Ralph Wilson did it often saying a night game was a burden to his teams fan base. the opponents are set. Not where they play. How many years did Buffalo face the Patriots after a BYE? the formula is supposed to account for it yet 7 out of 10 times it happened. the formula is supposed to keep a team on a 3 game road trip yet it happens. nothing is perfect You were referring to the benefit of the Pats getting a home game against the Chiefs. But if that game had been on the road, the TEXANS game would have been at home, which could have been painted just as difficult. This isn't a schedule advantage. They have to face the 1 seed from the two AFC divisions we don't face, two presumably great teams, one at home, one on the road, every season. We do the same, but split them between 2nd, 3rd, or 4th ranked teams in their division. You weren't talking about bye weeks, and are ignoring the fact that there's no way NE would want to waste a bye week before a team they can historically beat in their sleep over one they could actually use preparation for.
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Posted December 4, 2019 15 minutes ago, arcane said: You were referring to the benefit of the Pats getting a home game against the Chiefs. But if that game had been on the road, the TEXANS game would have been at home, which could have been painted just as difficult. This isn't a schedule advantage. They have to face the 1 seed from the two AFC divisions we don't face, two presumably great teams, one at home, one on the road, every season. We do the same, but split them between 2nd, 3rd, or 4th ranked teams in their division. You weren't talking about bye weeks, and are ignoring the fact that there's no way NE would want to waste a bye week before a team they can historically beat in their sleep over one they could actually use preparation for. yea I did mention that. it just seems to me that the Pats end up with the more beneficial draw. coincidence? Maybe or ....
BillsMafi$ Posted December 4, 2019 Posted December 4, 2019 (edited) Was messing around with the ESPN playoff machine and can see how we miss being 10-6 with the raiders and Steelers being 10-6 as well Edited December 4, 2019 by BillsMafi$
Jamie Nails Posted December 4, 2019 Posted December 4, 2019 15 minutes ago, BillsMafi$ said: Was messing around with the ESPN playoff machine and can see how we miss being 10-6 with the raiders and Steelers being 10-6 as well Raiders have a favorable schedule, but they aren’t winning out. 2
CorkScrewHill Posted December 4, 2019 Posted December 4, 2019 A little forward looking .... but Pittsburgh’s Smith-Schuster appears to be a ways away from returning. https://steelerswire.usatoday.com/2019/12/03/steelers-cardinals-injuries-james-conner-juju-smith-schuster-nfl-week-14/
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 4, 2019 Author Posted December 4, 2019 Start at 2:20 Power Rankings - Wild card contenders to fear https://sports.yahoo.com/video/power-rankings-wild-card-contenders-234230294.html Tank Williams and Chris Simms rank the top NFL teams competing for Wild Card spots that could cause damage in the playoffs I think Tank is a little high on the Titans
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