Man, Great weekend for some Money Line Plays

[aristocrat]

Last ten games pats have been 14 point or more favorites they went under the spread. That’s the play for that game 

[aristocrat]

8 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

Zactly what they said about my Bills/Vikes bet last season

 

Vikings have turned out to be an average team with a lackluster qb. Pats are a really good team I doubt the phins score more than 6

[CaptnCoke11]

12 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

Zactly what they said about my Bills/Vikes bet last season

That line wasn’t +19.5.  It was close but not that high.  Plus This Miami team is dreadfully bad.  

Edited September 12, 2019 by CaptnCoke11

[GoBills808]

2 minutes ago, aristocrat said:

 

Vikings have turned out to be an average team with a lackluster qb. Pats are a really good team I doubt the phins score more than 6

Brady is 0-5 ATS when favored by 14 or more, NFL teams don't generally cover when line is more than 2 touchdowns especially on the road. Phins are a good play here

1 minute ago, CaptnCoke11 said:

That line wasn’t +19.5

I'm not seeing 19.5 anywhere but if you let me know where I'm getting more lol

[GoBills808]

 

Also the Vikings/Packers under looks pretty tempting at 44

[Alphadawg7]

3 hours ago, RyanC883 said:

Thanks!!

 

how does Money Line work?  

 

I just downloaded FanDuel Sports Book.  Often it's like, "bet 25, win 10" or something.  Not sure why betting 25 isn't a 25 win.  

 

Wait!!!  FanDuel has a sports book!?!?!?

[RyanC883]

18 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:

 

Wait!!!  FanDuel has a sports book!?!?!?

 

yep.  look in the App store for fanduel sportsbook.  Right now It only works in certain states, but likely expanding. 

[aristocrat]

i'm taking a stab at the jags money line. they might be able to pull of a win if d watson is hurt

[Alphadawg7]

10 minutes ago, RyanC883 said:

 

yep.  look in the App store for fanduel sportsbook.  Right now It only works in certain states, but likely expanding. 

 

I did and sadly I’m not in one (I’m in CA), but shows legislation is in progress, so hopefully soon!!!!  

 

Thanks

[BillsQuebec]

In the Brady/Belichick era, the Pats have been favored by 18+ points on 5 occasions. They have failed to cover the spread on all of those 5 games...

 

So to those of you who believe the Pats -19 is a slam dunk, you may want to pump the brakes a little bit...

 

My pick of the week goes to the Bears -2 at the Broncos.

 

The rest factor, which is critical in the NFL considering the physical nature of the game, is largely in favor of the Bears here. They are going to benefit from three additional days of rest after playing the Thursday Night game against the Packers last week, while the Broncos lose one day of preparation since they played last Monday. In other words, the Bears will have 4 more days than the Broncos to heal and to game plan for their upcoming meeting. That is huge!

 

Chicago is also coming off a very disappointing home opener where they were repeatedly booed by their home crowd. Playing on the road will relieve some stress; it might actually be a good thing.

 

Prior to last week, FootballGuys.com were ranking Oakland’s defense 32nd (dead last!). The Broncos only managed to score 16 points against them, so how can they expect to generate some offense against the stout Bears defense? They are in for a long day.

 

Meanwhile, Chicago’s offense struggled big time against Green Bay. They probably won’t score a boatload of points, but I feel they are going to be more focused on details and will be able to do enough to win this game.

 

Which team has the best defense? Chicago. Which team has the best offense? Chicago. With a more rested team that I also expect to be very hungry, to me the pick is simple here: Chicago!

 

LEAN: BENGALS -2 VS 49ERS

 

The Bengals lost a game they should have won in a very tough environment. Indeed, they racked up 429 totals yards versus just 233 for the Seahawks. They made 22 first downs compared to just 12 for Seattle. However, 3 lost fumbles cost them the game.

 

Running back Joe Mixon left the game with an ankle injury, but he should be back this week. Andy Dalton looked very sharp with over 400 passing yards despite missing his number one receiver, A.J. Green. John Ross was fantastic with 7 receptions for 158 yards and a couple of TDs.

 

Cincy’s defense was supposed to be bad in 2019, but they looked good last week. They pressured Russell Wilson pretty often. Was it just a flash in the pan? We’ll find out soon.

 

Meanwhile, the Niners won 31-17 in Tampa Bay even though the stats were pretty even. Obviously, the four takeaways helped secure the win.

Jimmy Garoppolo raised many question marks during preseason and he did not necessarily impress in Tampa. He missed several open receivers throughout the game.

San Francisco’s running game did okay, but wasn’t great either. They also lost one of their starters, Tevin Coleman. The former Falcon will be out several weeks with a high-ankle sprain.

 

Considering the game starts at 1 PM Eastern Time, it will feel like 10 AM to 49ers players since they come from the West Coast. That’s another obstacle for them. Also, playing on the road against a non-conference opponent makes it more difficult to find extra motivation (as opposed to the home team that necessarily has the motivation to do well in front of their home crowd, no matter the opposing team).

[apuszczalowski]

23 hours ago, RyanC883 said:

Thanks!!

 

how does Money Line work?  

 

I just downloaded FanDuel Sports Book.  Often it's like, "bet 25, win 10" or something.  Not sure why betting 25 isn't a 25 win.  

Because it's $10 on top of the $25 for a total of $35 I believe.

[plenzmd1]

Might be the kind of weekend to hit one of these today

 

 

[Mark80]

I rarely bet on the underdog with the money line.  I've come to the realization that the odds makers are, indeed, better than I am at knowing what they are talking about.  Give me the -300s / -400s / -500s all day.  Sure, your pockets don't grow as fast, but they grow more consistently.  Few years back I put $50 into an account.  Mostly betting baseball money lines it's now up to over $600.  Is it a crap ton of money, no.  But its growing at about 33-50% per year with my philosophy of cherry picking the best favorites on the money lines and putting 10% of my balance on it.

Edited September 15, 2019 by Mark80

[plenzmd1]

3 minutes ago, Mark80 said:

I rarely bet on the underdog with the money line.  I've come to the realization that the odds makers are, indeed, better than I am at knowing what they are talking about.  Give me the -300s / -400s / -500s all day.  Sure, your pockets don't grow as fast, but they grow more consistently.  Few years back I put $50 into an account.  Mostly betting baseball money lines it's now up to over $600.  Is it a crap ton of money, no.  But its growing at about 33-50% per year with my philosophy of cherry picking the best favorites on the money lines and putting 10% of my balance on it.

anything that works is a great strategy!!!!98% of us shlubs lose money!!!

[Gugny]

6 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said:

anything that works is a great strategy!!!!98% of us shlubs lose money!!!

 

Looks like you haven't picked in the Survivor pool.  Friendly reminder!

[section122]

I took a flyer on the raiders today for fun.  Small bet for +255, actual bet redskins +205 both on the moneyline.  Parlayed both games with the spreads to hedge a bit.

 

Good luck all you degenerates!

[iinii]

On 9/12/2019 at 1:21 PM, RoyBatty is alive said:

they wili need more than one miracle like that last play return from last year, they will need several.  Want to bet them take the 18.5 pts.

 

By the way hope like heck you collect every penny.

- No team in the Super Bowl era has ever been more than an 18-point favorite on the road before the end of September. The largest home underdog in that span was 18 points, done twice (1969 and 1970). Both of those underdogs were shut out and did not cover.

https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/27608395/week-2-nfl-betting-nuggets-know

On 9/13/2019 at 11:30 AM, BillsQuebec said:

In the Brady/Belichick era, the Pats have been favored by 18+ points on 5 occasions. They have failed to cover the spread on all of those 5 games...

 

So to those of you who believe the Pats -19 is a slam dunk, you may want to pump the brakes a little bit...

 

My pick of the week goes to the Bears -2 at the Broncos.

 

The rest factor, which is critical in the NFL considering the physical nature of the game, is largely in favor of the Bears here. They are going to benefit from three additional days of rest after playing the Thursday Night game against the Packers last week, while the Broncos lose one day of preparation since they played last Monday. In other words, the Bears will have 4 more days than the Broncos to heal and to game plan for their upcoming meeting. That is huge!

 

Chicago is also coming off a very disappointing home opener where they were repeatedly booed by their home crowd. Playing on the road will relieve some stress; it might actually be a good thing.

 

Prior to last week, FootballGuys.com were ranking Oakland’s defense 32nd (dead last!). The Broncos only managed to score 16 points against them, so how can they expect to generate some offense against the stout Bears defense? They are in for a long day.

 

Meanwhile, Chicago’s offense struggled big time against Green Bay. They probably won’t score a boatload of points, but I feel they are going to be more focused on details and will be able to do enough to win this game.

 

Which team has the best defense? Chicago. Which team has the best offense? Chicago. With a more rested team that I also expect to be very hungry, to me the pick is simple here: Chicago!

 

LEAN: BENGALS -2 VS 49ERS

 

The Bengals lost a game they should have won in a very tough environment. Indeed, they racked up 429 totals yards versus just 233 for the Seahawks. They made 22 first downs compared to just 12 for Seattle. However, 3 lost fumbles cost them the game.

 

Running back Joe Mixon left the game with an ankle injury, but he should be back this week. Andy Dalton looked very sharp with over 400 passing yards despite missing his number one receiver, A.J. Green. John Ross was fantastic with 7 receptions for 158 yards and a couple of TDs.

 

Cincy’s defense was supposed to be bad in 2019, but they looked good last week. They pressured Russell Wilson pretty often. Was it just a flash in the pan? We’ll find out soon.

 

Meanwhile, the Niners won 31-17 in Tampa Bay even though the stats were pretty even. Obviously, the four takeaways helped secure the win.

Jimmy Garoppolo raised many question marks during preseason and he did not necessarily impress in Tampa. He missed several open receivers throughout the game.

San Francisco’s running game did okay, but wasn’t great either. They also lost one of their starters, Tevin Coleman. The former Falcon will be out several weeks with a high-ankle sprain.

 

Considering the game starts at 1 PM Eastern Time, it will feel like 10 AM to 49ers players since they come from the West Coast. That’s another obstacle for them. Also, playing on the road against a non-conference opponent makes it more difficult to find extra motivation (as opposed to the home team that necessarily has the motivation to do well in front of their home crowd, no matter the opposing team).

The Bears looked like a smart pick before you convinced me. 

[HOUSE]

I can turn $5000 into 5 mil in one hour

 

 

 

Edited September 15, 2019 by HOUSE

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

15 minutes ago, HOUSE said:

I can turn $5000 into 5mil in one hour

Let us guess...just don’t tell your wife?

[billieve420]

1 hour ago, plenzmd1 said:

Might be the kind of weekend to hit one of these today

 

 

 

Still kicking myself for not tailing this play after hearing her parlay.

 

Not sure how I like rooting for the Pats to win for my parlay.

 

Also have money riding on golf tournament.

 

Being in Jersey have access to 3 sportsbooks Pointsbet, Fanduel, and Draft Kings. Pointsbet being my favorite with the number of offers they give out. I have switched from daily fantasy to this full time and close to 10k in profits.