LabattBlue Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 7 hours ago, TigerJ said: As I understand it, setting odds is less a prediction about the teams for which odds are set, and more about Vegas' opinion of the sentiment of the betting public. The goal here is to have roughly half the betting money come in on the under side and half on the over. In essence, Vegas doesn't think the betting public has a real high opinion of the Bills' upcoming season, which should be no surprise. It’s amazing how this concept cannot be grasped by so many here. 1
plenzmd1 Posted May 17, 2019 Posted May 17, 2019 for those so inclined, lines for week 2-17 https://www.vsin.com/odds/cg-technology-nfl-betting-sheets-for-weeks-2-16/
Beast Posted May 17, 2019 Posted May 17, 2019 Betting on a season is foolish. Sure, I feel the Bills will win 7.....as long as they remain healthy at certain positions.
BarleyNY Posted May 17, 2019 Posted May 17, 2019 On 4/30/2019 at 9:15 AM, TigerJ said: As I understand it, setting odds is less a prediction about the teams for which odds are set, and more about Vegas' opinion of the sentiment of the betting public. The goal here is to have roughly half the betting money come in on the under side and half on the over. In essence, Vegas doesn't think the betting public has a real high opinion of the Bills' upcoming season, which should be no surprise. There is an excellent argument against this. Simply put, it’s that there is so much money bet by professional gamblers who look to exploit mistakes that even if the lines are initially inaccurate they quickly become accurate due to those large, unbiased bets. 1
plenzmd1 Posted May 22, 2019 Posted May 22, 2019 BTW, i have a question for folks who have played win totals before( as mentioned I do not)..can you cash the ticket as soon as the bet hits over or the under is guaranteed? That ticket says event date 12/29/19..if the Bills have 9 wins December 14th, can the dude cash the ticket for his Christmas money?
Boca BIlls Posted May 22, 2019 Posted May 22, 2019 5 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said: BTW, i have a question for folks who have played win totals before( as mentioned I do not)..can you cash the ticket as soon as the bet hits over or the under is guaranteed? That ticket says event date 12/29/19..if the Bills have 9 wins December 14th, can the dude cash the ticket for his Christmas money? The second you win, you win. 1
Bill from NYC Posted May 22, 2019 Posted May 22, 2019 A few days ago the NY Post listed the Bills odds of winning a Super Bowl at 100 x 1. There were very few team with bigger odds. The ones I remember were the Bengals and Dolphins but there were a few more.
plenzmd1 Posted July 12, 2019 Posted July 12, 2019 hmm, man the expectations on the Brownies are huge this year. I have no no clue if this works for prop bets like this, but typically outside the Pats if ya fade the public it’s a good idea . 1
LSHMEAB Posted July 12, 2019 Posted July 12, 2019 On 5/22/2019 at 5:32 AM, plenzmd1 said: BTW, i have a question for folks who have played win totals before( as mentioned I do not)..can you cash the ticket as soon as the bet hits over or the under is guaranteed? That ticket says event date 12/29/19..if the Bills have 9 wins December 14th, can the dude cash the ticket for his Christmas money? The correct answer is that you have to wait for the end of the season, even if the bet went over. At least in Vegas. ALL of Vegas. I would assume online books are the same. 1
Ol Dirty B Posted July 13, 2019 Posted July 13, 2019 I think they should cover but I don't bet the Bills. If you're a fan, like all of us here are, youre gonna be swayed by fandom. Just stay away. I have the Ravens at under 8.5. I can't see them winning 9. Their line fluctuates a decent amount.
Zerovoltz Posted July 14, 2019 Posted July 14, 2019 the Broncos under 7.5 is free money. They have a BRUTAL schedule, and a brutal QB.
DuckyBoys Posted July 14, 2019 Posted July 14, 2019 On 4/30/2019 at 4:54 PM, LabattBlue said: It’s amazing how this concept cannot be grasped by so many here. I'm pretty sure a non Bills fan sees 6.5 games as a tough choice. Hard to be objective when its a team you follow and are emotionally involved in
RochesterLifer Posted July 14, 2019 Posted July 14, 2019 I don't bet, too chicken. But wow, the Bills line seems like such easy pickings.
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted July 14, 2019 Posted July 14, 2019 17 hours ago, SoCal Deek said: 7-9 baby! It’s our happy place. ? ...I'd bet Dopey Dickie Jauron has a "7-9" tattoo................
plenzmd1 Posted July 14, 2019 Posted July 14, 2019 43 minutes ago, DuckyBoys said: I'm pretty sure a non Bills fan sees 6.5 games as a tough choice. Hard to be objective when its a team you follow and are emotionally involved in 30 minutes ago, RochesterLifer said: I don't bet, too chicken. But wow, the Bills line seems like such easy pickings. well, the Bills line is now at 7 wins..but standard vig to get that at -110. When it was 6.5, you had to bet $170 to win $100..difference being now at 7 wins you push, paying the vig at and taking 6.5 you win at 7 wins
PromoTheRobot Posted July 14, 2019 Posted July 14, 2019 2 hours ago, RochesterLifer said: I don't bet, too chicken. But wow, the Bills line seems like such easy pickings. And they know it. That's why the payout is so slanted.
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