NickelCity Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 I'm in. I don't gamble but screw it, I'll take the over.
Da webster guy Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 2 hours ago, BuffaloBillies said: The best (for betting) is if your sitting on 6 wins come the last week of the season and the Bills are favored (ideally heavily favored). Then you have the OPTION to hedge... can bet the same amount on the Jets getting points (let's say 7 points). Try to "double-dip"... worst case break even. Example: Bet $1,000 on Bills Over 6.5 wins Won 6 games going into final week vs Jets Bills favored by 7 (at home) against the lowly Jets. Bet $1,000 on Jets (+7) Bills Win by more than 7 = PUSH on Season bets (Net $0) Jets Win the game outright = PUSH on Season bets (Net $0) Bills win by between 1 and 7 points = Win Both Ends ($2,000) Would take the stress out of the last game with only upside possibility. I'd probably hedge $500 in that case instead of the full grand because I'd have to have a guaranteed payout to make up for the fact that I'd be vomiting for a little while after I placed the Jets bet. Speaking of the Jets. They're starting to worry me a little. They have the best middle of the field on defense in the entire league. Adams at safety (elite), CJ Mosley at MLB (elite) and now Quinnen Williams and Leonard Williams in the middle, both of them monsters. I'm far less concerned with LeVeon than the way this defense is shaping up for them.
White Linen Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 (edited) 54 minutes ago, TC in St. Louis said: I think you hit it on the head here. Vegas doesn't care about the Bills. They care about the line, and the money. The general population of this country neither knows nor cares about the Bills. They'll bet the under because we are irrelevant right now. However, when we come out of the gate 4-0 or 5-1, suddenly we'll be the media darlings. Happens every so often. For example the year that Captain Checkdown was jackhammered by the Arizona LB and ruined our team for the year. Who was that QB? Stanford guy. Bill Walsh loved him. We were 4-0 till we went to Arizona. Trent Edwards. It was a Tony Conigliaro type hit. I disagree slightly. If the general population doesn't know or care about the Bills - they're likely not to bet. The people that will bet are the professionals that see a winner (either way) or the fans of that said team. In the end - Vegas does care about the Bills and put the line where it is for a reason. They know the norms of the bettor and who bets. My guess is they set it at 6.5 - know the majority of Bills bets will come from fans of the team and that they'll bet the over. Again, my guess is, they see us winning less than 7 games. Edited April 30, 2019 by White Linen
Reader Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 I think earlier in the off-season the Bills were placed at 6 wins. So we're still undervalued, but the public perception is that we're improving.
McBean Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 Bills won 6 games last year with one offensive player who btw, sat out multiple games due to injury. Again, bet all you have on the Bills over 6.5
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 4 hours ago, McBean said: Everything you have on Browns under and Bills over By Kaelen Jones April 29, 2019 Coming off an encouraging 2018 season and an eventful offseason, the Cleveland Browns have emerged for many as a chic playoff pick in 2019. However, one Las Vegas sportsbook is suggesting to slow down the hype. The Westgate's SuperBook released odds for all 32 NFL teams to reach the postseason. The Browns are not favored to make the playoffs, according to ESPN. In fact, they were given -120 odds to miss the postseason for a 17th straight season. Cleveland has not made the playoffs since 2002. Last year, the Browns posted a 7–8–1, which marked their highest win total since 2014. 1
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 4 hours ago, McBean said: Everything you have on Browns under and Bills over Just bet the Bills and the Over Leave the CLE line alone.
MJS Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 So increase by half a win? I think it was at 6 before.
C.Biscuit97 Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 4 hours ago, McBean said: Everything you have on Browns under and Bills over Don’t talk about it, be about it. Show us your betting slip.
McBean Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 18 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said: Don’t talk about it, be about it. Show us your betting slip. Ok Biscuit.
C.Biscuit97 Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 1 minute ago, McBean said: Ok Biscuit. So you’re not that confident? And I will never bet on the Bills unless they make the SB. Then, I bet on the other team so it’s a win win. 1 1
Bleeding Bills Blue Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 6 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said: So you’re not that confident? And I will never bet on the Bills unless they make the SB. Then, I bet on the other team so it’s a win win. Yeah - I'm with you. Don't bet on your team. 1
The Wiz Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 Where's Joe to tell us we would be at 8.5 if we drafted DK?
C.Biscuit97 Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, dneveu said: Yeah - I'm with you. Don't bet on your team. Before I was too much of a homer and wasn’t objective. Unless it’s the SB, the Bills winning was enough.
McBean Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 36 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said: So you’re not that confident? And I will never bet on the Bills unless they make the SB. Then, I bet on the other team so it’s a win win. I think the Browns hype train is overrated. So I’ll be putting a large wager on the titans +5.5 week 1. Whenever I go to book to place it, I’ll send it to you.
78thealltimegreat Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 This is absolutely stealing money almost like Duke basketball losing more then 3 games they beat the over by 2 games easy
2020 Our Year For Sure Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 I drove to AC and got in on this a couple weeks ago. Go Bills
teef Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 2 hours ago, C.Biscuit97 said: Before I was too much of a homer and wasn’t objective. Unless it’s the SB, the Bills winning was enough. do you receive money every time you type this? 1
Nester Posted April 30, 2019 Posted April 30, 2019 Big odds are the bills taking the AFC east. 12 or 13 to 1 will this the year Brady’s slow start stays slow?
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