LSHMEAB Posted March 31, 2019 Posted March 31, 2019 6 minutes ago, MJS said: Obviously they are making educated guesses, but those guesses aren't based on how they view teams will perform, they are based on how they believe fans will bet. The general fan will not have a good opinion of the Bills, even though the Bills, for those who follow the team, appear to have gotten better and signs point to more than 6 wins. This is different than last year. Most who followed the Bills expected a down year last season. 6 wins was spot on. There are people betting tens of thousands of dollars and it's more than an educated guess. It's based on data and metrics. A lot of the big bettors don't even care much about sports. They care about numbers. That being said, it certainly does NOT mean the Bills plan will fail. We could easily win 10 games. I'm strictly talking about the way these numbers are set. Not the outcome. 1
billsherd Posted March 31, 2019 Posted March 31, 2019 5 hours ago, LSHMEAB said: Someone you know will probably go to Vegas at some point before the season. Give them the cash and tell them what to bet. You get a ticket that you have x amount of time to cash in person or you can mail it in and receive a check(assuming it wins). If you are out of state or out of country do they tax you?
LSHMEAB Posted March 31, 2019 Posted March 31, 2019 13 minutes ago, billsherd said: If you are out of state or out of country do they tax you? Nah. They only tax winnings on wagers that are greater than 300/1 odds. Kind of quirky. They will TRACK anything over 10K, but not tax it. Let's say you win 330 bucks on a 1 dollar bet. Taxed and W2G. Let's say you bet 10K and win 10K. Nada. They'll do what's called a CTR on anything over 10K, but no tax. 1
HOUSE Posted March 31, 2019 Posted March 31, 2019 3 hours ago, 2018 Our Year For Sure said: How does it work? Honest question. 1
Protocal69 Posted March 31, 2019 Posted March 31, 2019 6 hours ago, Pete said: Massachusetts now has sports betting. Last I seen- Vegas had the odds of Buffalo winning SB 100-1 and AFC 65-1. I am not sure what Mass offers. But I would like to get in on those odds before the draft. 6 wins over is a gift! We play Miami twice And the Giants once
PromoTheRobot Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 15 minutes ago, ScottLaw said: ? those assumptions are usually right. Can you tell us how often the Bills were under on wins? I'd love to know. Is it every year?
JESSEFEFFER Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 UB had 6.5 for over/under last year and I was convinced that was way too low. I do not gamble because I really can't afford to lose but I'd feel similarly about this prospect.
Fr. Jerk Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, LEBills said: Hammer the over, we got 6 wins with Peterman, Anderson and Barkley starting 4 games last year lol. When you think of how bad they botched the QB situation and the fact that a player literally quit the team at halftime its kinda amazing they got 6 wins. Edited April 1, 2019 by The Jerk
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klos63 Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 3 hours ago, PromoTheRobot said: Sorry. I feel Vegas under-predicts by the Bills by 2 games. Probably because non-Bills followers assume we suck. I would bet money on the over if they are saying 4 wins. We got six with what roster? I always waste money on the Bills when I go to Vegas, so I'll put something on the over this year. I would expect improvement over last season. The non Bills followers have been correct more often than not. Although we haven't made it too difficult for them. Better days are ahead.
ExWNYer Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 7 hours ago, Virgil said: I mean, if they double dared you; what choice do you have? The smart money says to hold off until they triple dog dare you...
Doc Brown Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 Split the Jets, beat Miami twice, Broncos, Redskins, Bengals, and @Giants. There's your seven wins. Book it.
LABILLBACKER Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 8 hours ago, NewEra said: Perfect!!! Not sure why you guys complain about this. Take advantage of it and make some money Really, profit on their stupidity
Kwai San Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 I had a neighbor who seemed to be in Vegas every year in time to place a bet on the Bills winning the SB. There is a reason they don't win and it is all his fault. He goes to EVERY home game and a few away games. He is a lovable certifiable nut. In short - a Bills fan. God bless him. I say STAY away from the bet.....ya just never know.
Aussie Joe Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 I would put my left nut on them wining more than six games this year... Even Barkley could probably do it..
Niagara Dude Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 17 hours ago, DBilz2500 said: http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/26405507/browns-see-projected-win-total-jump-3-games Bills at 6? Really? What a joke... Maybe because they see that Bills signed a bunch of mediocre guys, talent wins and Beane wasted money . This looks so much like the year Levy went and spent money on average players and it blew up in his face. I would have preferred that they spend for top playmakers. I myself could see them winning around 8 games 1
Nextmanup Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 18 hours ago, LSHMEAB said: Rather than get angry, why not just get a bet down? Because if he bet where his heart is as a Bills fan, he'd be broke in 10 minutes. 1 1 1
FeelingOnYouboty Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 13 hours ago, The Jerk said: When you think of how bad they botched the QB situation and the fact that a player literally quit the team at halftime its kinda amazing they got 6 wins. The Josh Allen effect 2016 at Wyoming 8 wins 4 losses by 3 points 2017 at Wyoming 8 wins in 11 games Kid's a winner
row_33 Posted April 1, 2019 Posted April 1, 2019 1 hour ago, FeelingOnYouboty said: The Josh Allen effect 2016 at Wyoming 8 wins 4 losses by 3 points 2017 at Wyoming 8 wins in 11 games Kid's a winner good reason to have optimism still has to be proven on the field the NFL doesn't reward whim wishes 1
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