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Posted

 

Just now, Golden Goat said:

I keep expecting Montana to break for Tester at some point, but not yet. That would be a helluva steal.

 

Yeah, it's looking unlikely at this point, but would have been nice. 

**************************

 

House Score

r: 194

d:219* 

(22 left)

 

House officially in dem hands. 

 

Now watch how fast the 99% reporting GOP races will get called. 

 

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Posted

Getting ready to pass out for the night. 

 

House Score

r: 194

d:219* 

(22 left)

 

d's with a +1 majority as of this moment. Probably looking at a +5-8 majority by the time everything else is called. Could hit +10/11 but that's not looking likely from what I'm seeing right now (though races are changing by the minute still and several calls remain under review).

 

Night, PPP! :beer: 

 

 

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Posted (edited)
29 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said:

That's because there pry is going to be a recount.  It's the danger of calling a race early.

Edited by Doc Brown
Posted

I have aborted on posting here for awhile. I'm watching Don Lemon right now claim that the 27th district is gerrymandered, lol. That ass didn't say ***** about the 25th for years. In my opinion I think the districts look the best in my lifetime in terms of boundaries. I voted Maxwell and he lost. He would have never had a chance against Louise in that ***** before 2013. Atleast it accurately reflects monroe county.

 

The Republicans are getting killed by a reaction to trump. The president's party usually loses seats in the midterms. Obama was crushed in 2010.

 

 I saw my polling station and I thought, this looks way too busy and didn't like Maxwell's chances. Traditionally, when voter turn out is high, the Democrats do better. 

 

Trump managed to piss off enough people to motivate the democratic base and offend the independents who voted for him in my opinion. 2020 will be interesting.

2 hours ago, LABillzFan said:

 

 

Why are you posting this person's tweets? They're nobody.

Posted
2 minutes ago, Ol Dirty B said:

I have aborted on posting here for awhile. I'm watching Don Lemon right now claim that the 27th district is gerrymandered, lol. That ass didn't say ***** about the 25th for years. In my opinion I think the districts look the best in my lifetime in terms of boundaries. I voted Maxwell and he lost. He would have never had a chance against Louise in that ***** before 2013. Atleast it accurately reflects monroe county.

 

The Republicans are getting killed by a reaction to trump. The president's party usually loses seats in the midterms. Obama was crushed in 2010.

 

 I saw my polling station and I thought, this looks way too busy and didn't like Maxwell's chances. Traditionally, when voter turn out is high, the Democrats do better. 

 

Trump managed to piss off enough people to motivate the democratic base and offend the independents who voted for him in my opinion. 2020 will be interesting.

I have to agree that Trump's crassness and over the top rhetoric cost Republicans the House (but helped the Republicans in the Senate).  I say that because historically when the economy is this good the president' party's house losses are at a minimum or they even win some during the midterms.  Dems won House seats in the '98 midterms and Republicans won in the '02 midterms during Bush Jr's first term.  Meanwhile, we were at the height of the recession during the 2010 midterms.  It also looks like the three Senate and Governor seats in the "blue wall" that Trump broke in 2016 all went to the Democrats.

 

However, it looks like five incumbents Democratic Senators that went for Trump (I'm assuming Arizona and Montana Republican Senator challengers will win) went down tonight as Trump's extremely popular in those states.  He knows this and that's why he held rallies there.  It's going to be an interesting two years.

 

 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Doc Brown said:

I have to agree that Trump's crassness and over the top rhetoric cost Republicans the House (but helped the Republicans in the Senate).  I say that because historically when the economy is this good the president' party's house losses are at a minimum or they even win some during the midterms.  Dems won House seats in the '98 midterms and Republicans won in the '02 midterms during Bush Jr's first term.  Meanwhile, we were at the height of the recession during the 2010 midterms.  It also looks like the three Senate and Governor seats in the "blue wall" that Trump broke in 2016 all went to the Democrats.

 

However, it looks like five incumbents Democratic Senators that went for Trump (I'm assuming Arizona and Montana Republican Senator challengers will win) went down tonight as Trump's extremely popular in those states.  He knows this and that's why he held rallies there.  It's going to be an interesting two years.

 

Don't be so sure about Montana. The outstanding votes are in urban areas.

Posted
3 minutes ago, Golden Goat said:

 

Don't be so sure about Montana. The outstanding votes are in urban areas.

There are urban areas in Montana?

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Posted
Just now, Golden Goat said:

 

I thought about that after I posted it. Should have put it in quotes.

Maybe where the average lot size is only 50,000 square feet.

Posted
4 hours ago, Doc Brown said:

 

Yeah.  The problem may have been Hillary Clinton there Ben.

 

Dems won in PA because of the INSANE partisan redistricting that basically handed 4-5 seats to democrats and made voting republican in the eastern half of the state meaningless. State politics matter 

Posted
17 minutes ago, joesixpack said:

 

Dems won in PA because of the INSANE partisan redistricting that basically handed 4-5 seats to democrats and made voting republican in the eastern half of the state meaningless. State politics matter 

 

The gerrymandered salamander shaped districts were not insane? Good stuff. 

 

The conspiracy echo chamber here thought the Rs would keep their majority in the House despite that huge improbability. But forgive them: They had Hillary for the win as part of the master Bildeberg plan in 2016. 

Posted
31 minutes ago, BeginnersMind said:

 

The gerrymandered salamander shaped districts were not insane? Good stuff. 

 

 

No, they empowered exurban and rural voters, whose votes and voices in the eastern  half of the state are now rendered meaningless. No conspiracy, just simple math.

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Posted

Things look good for Dems in 2020 now. But maybe Trump's luck will hold and the global economy won't have some totally normal hiccup in the next two years. 

Posted
2 hours ago, Ol Dirty B said:

... Why are you posting this person's tweets? They're nobody.

so.... that invalidates what the Dems asked? 

you're an idiot.

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