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Posted

There is absolutely no reason to keep McCoy on this team. 

 

I love McCoy, but it's a disservice to him and the organization to keep him here.   

 

He was brought in here to help us compete on a championship level.   We are the furthest thing from that.  

 

Get any value you can, and let him ride into the sunset of his career with a winning team, that's one piece away from heading to the big dance. 

 

Holding on to him this long was another mistake by this regime.   Just add it up with the rest of the terrible decisions they've made. 

 

#FreeMcCoy

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Posted
5 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

It’s sad because it’s true.  You win by running and stopping the run!!!

You win by scoring points and stopping the run. 

 

Posted
51 minutes ago, TwistofFate said:

You win by scoring points and stopping the run. 

 

 

No.  You win by scoring up front with a relentless passing attack.  Let teams run on you all they want.  Doesn't mater.  2-5 in rushing are 49ers, Cowboys, Panthers Browns.  

 

Patriots, Packers and chiefs aren't in the top 20 against the run.  Rams are 12th.

 

No one cares about the run.

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Posted
7 hours ago, no name said:

trade your best player?

 

seems like a present bills move.

 

smh

Well for a 30 year old running back on a team destined for 3-13 yeah it’s a good move to deal him if the price is right.  

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Posted
6 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

No.  You win by scoring up front with a relentless passing attack.  Let teams run on you all they want.  Doesn't mater.  2-5 in rushing are 49ers, Cowboys, Panthers Browns.  

 

Patriots, Packers and chiefs aren't in the top 20 against the run.  Rams are 12th.

 

No one cares about the run.

Lol, no one cares about stopping the run?? 

 

I can assure you they do. 

 

If they run all over you they control the clock, control the tempo, tire out the defense, and keep your pass happy offense on the sideline.  

 

It's called grinding out a win.   It's what teams who suck attempt to do to keep the game close enough to win by a lucky turnover.  It's been the Bills motto for 20 years. 

 

Stop the run and you end up with a team like us, averaging 12pts a game, and practically a guaranteed win when you play them. 

Posted
1 minute ago, TwistofFate said:

Lol, no one cares about stopping the run?? 

 

I can assure you they do. 

 

If they run all over you they control the clock, control the tempo, tire out the defense, and keep your pass happy offense on the sideline.  

 

It's called grinding out a win.   It's what teams who suck attempt to do to keep the game close enough to win by a lucky turnover.  It's been the Bills motto for 20 years. 

 

Stop the run and you end up with a team like us, averaging 12pts a game, and practically a guaranteed win when you play them. 

 

 

Against the Bills, teams only start running the ball in the second half---so they can get to the bus with the "W" ASAP.

 

The best teams right now don't have "stopping the run" high on their priority list.  

Posted
3 minutes ago, cba fan said:

well then...…...it better turn into a 3rd before they trade him or otherwise no trade.

Source misspelled LeSean.

 

Is it trustworthy?

 

 

Posted (edited)
7 hours ago, simpleman said:

Exactly why would you trade one of your best players for a mid to late round pick? The odds of drafting a starter are less than 50/50 even in the best possible scenario. And given the historic incompetence of our current front office on evaluating offensive talent, it is downright suicide to have to fill the hole you would create.

 

Historic Success Chart

The numbers show us the following outline for finding consistent starters:

1st Round - OL (83%) LB (70%) TE (67%) DB (64%) QB (63%) WR (58%) RB (58%) DL (58%)

2nd Round - OL (70%) LB (55%) TE (50%) WR (49%) DB (46%) QB (27%) DL (26%) RB (25%)

3rd Round - OL (40%) TE (39%) LB (34%) DL (27%) WR (25%) DB (24%) QB (17%) RB (16%)

4th Round - DL (37%) TE (33%) OL (29%) LB (16%) WR(12%) DB (11%) RB (11%) QB (8%)

5th Round - TE (32%) DB (17%) WR (16%) OL (16%) DL (13%) RB (9%) LB (4%) QB (0%)

6th Round - TE (26%) OL (16%) DL (13%) WR (9%) DB (8%) RB (6%) LB (5%) QB (0%)

7th Round - DB (11%) OL (9%) QB (6%) WR (5%) DL (3%) LB (2%) RB (0%) TE (0%)

https://www.arrowheadpride.com/2015/2/20/8072877/what-the-statistics-tell-us-about-the-draft-by-round

 

As I remember, Tom Brady was a 6th rd pick in the 2000 NFL draft. How can there then be 0% chance of drafting a "consistent starter" in the 6th rd?? By only going back to the last decade. Kinda selective though isn't it?

Edited by DefenseWins
Posted
4 hours ago, DefenseWins said:

 

As I remember, Tom Brady was a 6th rd pick in the 2000 NFL draft. How can there then be 0% chance of drafting a "consistent starter" in the 6th rd?? By only going back to the last decade. Kinda selective though isn't it?

 

10 years and 32 (plus comp) picks in each round is quite the sample size. While 1” is kind of arbitrary I would say designing your sample around shoehorning in an extreme outlier is even more “selective”

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Posted

Every time Shady has been off the field this season Ivory & Murphy have stepped up & I believe their combined out put while on the field has been better than Shady's when he has been healthy & in the game . I think they could trade him & not miss out on much the rest of this year !! 

Posted
14 hours ago, simpleman said:

Exactly why would you trade one of your best players for a mid to late round pick? The odds of drafting a starter are less than 50/50 even in the best possible scenario. And given the historic incompetence of our current front office on evaluating offensive talent, it is downright suicide to have to fill the hole you would create.

 

Historic Success Chart

The numbers show us the following outline for finding consistent starters:

1st Round - OL (83%) LB (70%) TE (67%) DB (64%) QB (63%) WR (58%) RB (58%) DL (58%)

2nd Round - OL (70%) LB (55%) TE (50%) WR (49%) DB (46%) QB (27%) DL (26%) RB (25%)

3rd Round - OL (40%) TE (39%) LB (34%) DL (27%) WR (25%) DB (24%) QB (17%) RB (16%)

4th Round - DL (37%) TE (33%) OL (29%) LB (16%) WR(12%) DB (11%) RB (11%) QB (8%)

5th Round - TE (32%) DB (17%) WR (16%) OL (16%) DL (13%) RB (9%) LB (4%) QB (0%)

6th Round - TE (26%) OL (16%) DL (13%) WR (9%) DB (8%) RB (6%) LB (5%) QB (0%)

7th Round - DB (11%) OL (9%) QB (6%) WR (5%) DL (3%) LB (2%) RB (0%) TE (0%)

https://www.arrowheadpride.com/2015/2/20/8072877/what-the-statistics-tell-us-about-the-draft-by-round

While "success" is certainly subjective, those are extremely interesting numbers. It goes a long way (imo) to explaining the losing seasons we have suffered.

 

Thanks very much for this post.

Posted
15 hours ago, simpleman said:

Exactly why would you trade one of your best players for a mid to late round pick? The odds of drafting a starter are less than 50/50 even in the best possible scenario. And given the historic incompetence of our current front office on evaluating offensive talent, it is downright suicide to have to fill the hole you would create.

 

Historic Success Chart

The numbers show us the following outline for finding consistent starters:

1st Round - OL (83%) LB (70%) TE (67%) DB (64%) QB (63%) WR (58%) RB (58%) DL (58%)

2nd Round - OL (70%) LB (55%) TE (50%) WR (49%) DB (46%) QB (27%) DL (26%) RB (25%)

3rd Round - OL (40%) TE (39%) LB (34%) DL (27%) WR (25%) DB (24%) QB (17%) RB (16%)

4th Round - DL (37%) TE (33%) OL (29%) LB (16%) WR(12%) DB (11%) RB (11%) QB (8%)

5th Round - TE (32%) DB (17%) WR (16%) OL (16%) DL (13%) RB (9%) LB (4%) QB (0%)

6th Round - TE (26%) OL (16%) DL (13%) WR (9%) DB (8%) RB (6%) LB (5%) QB (0%)

7th Round - DB (11%) OL (9%) QB (6%) WR (5%) DL (3%) LB (2%) RB (0%) TE (0%)

https://www.arrowheadpride.com/2015/2/20/8072877/what-the-statistics-tell-us-about-the-draft-by-round

 

If you truly .. I won't say "trust" the process ... but "believe" there is a process.. then you're looking beyond this year and likely next .. that means Shady won't be part of the long term solution ... make the move .. based on draft percentages above ... looks like we have a 1 in 3 shot of getting a starting TE (round 4-6) for Shady .. bring it.

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