JM57 Posted October 23, 2018 Posted October 23, 2018 7 minutes ago, tcampbell104 said: that is crazy allen could still turn out to be a good qb Yes and I could win the Mega millions tonight
tcampbell104 Posted October 23, 2018 Posted October 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, JM57 said: Yes and I could win the Mega millions tonight a way way better chance of allen turninng out good
JM57 Posted October 23, 2018 Posted October 23, 2018 25 minutes ago, tcampbell104 said: a way way better chance of allen turninng out good Yeah, I'm not inclined to agree there. The chance was very small to begin with and then they did everything wrong around him.
tcampbell104 Posted October 23, 2018 Posted October 23, 2018 5 minutes ago, JM57 said: Yeah, I'm not inclined to agree there. The chance was very small to begin with and then they did everything wrong around him. i guess we will just have to disagree by the way any ideas on some lucky numbers
JM57 Posted October 23, 2018 Posted October 23, 2018 31 minutes ago, tcampbell104 said: i guess we will just have to disagree by the way any ideas on some lucky numbers Don't pick #17 ?
PetermansRedemption Posted October 23, 2018 Posted October 23, 2018 (edited) 40 minutes ago, JM57 said: Yeah, I'm not inclined to agree there. The chance was very small to begin with and then they did everything wrong around him. Odds of winning the mega millions are 1 in 302,575,350. The odds of me (or you) making the NFL as a good QB are better than those odds. The odds of Josh Allen becoming a good NFL QB are far far better than those odds. The mega millions has percent odds of .000000000330. First round QBs succeed at a rate of slightly less than 50%. We will say 40% and add in the “Allen is a bust waiting to happen factor”, so let’s say Allen has a 1% chance of succeeding. The true odds are exponentially greater, but to appease your hatred of Allen we will call it 1%. You would have to continuously double the odds of hitting the lottery over 21 times to make it more likely to hit than Allen is to succeed. Edited October 23, 2018 by Bills2ref
JM57 Posted October 23, 2018 Posted October 23, 2018 24 minutes ago, Bills2ref said: Odds of winning the mega millions are 1 in 302,575,350. The odds of me (or you) making the NFL as a good QB are better than those odds. The odds of Josh Allen becoming a good NFL QB are far far better than those odds. The mega millions has percent odds of .000000000330. First round QBs succeed at a rate of slightly less than 50%. We will say 40% and add in the “Allen is a bust waiting to happen factor”, so let’s say Allen has a 1% chance of succeeding. The true odds are exponentially greater, but to appease your hatred of Allen we will call it 1%. You would have to continuously double the odds of hitting the lottery over 21 times to make it more likely to hit than Allen is to succeed. When you take something literally that was clearly hyperbole
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