26CornerBlitz Posted October 16, 2018 Author Posted October 16, 2018 11 minutes ago, Happy Gilmore said: If only they had the offensive minds to fix this, which the Bills do not. We'll see once they acquire better personnel.
Happy Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 Just now, 26CornerBlitz said: We'll see once they acquire better personnel. Funny, I was just thinking about this. Would you trust this group with more money to spend on FAs given their track record thus far? Assuming Daboll will still be around in the off-season. I *want* to be optimistic, but I'm very leery about their prospects of fixing the offense. If you can't make due with a thin budget, why would you do better with a large budget?
26CornerBlitz Posted October 16, 2018 Author Posted October 16, 2018 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Happy Gilmore said: Funny, I was just thinking about this. Would you trust this group with more money to spend on FAs given their track record thus far? Assuming Daboll will still be around in the off-season. I *want* to be optimistic, but I'm very leery about their prospects of fixing the offense. If you can't make due with a thin budget, why would you do better with a large budget? I'm admittedly skeptical, but what choice do we have but to go along for the ride. Edited October 16, 2018 by 26CornerBlitz
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said: I'm admittedly skeptical, but what choice do we have but to go along for the ride. Well there's the "complain incessantly" method. 1
dave mcbride Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 27 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said: The D numbers are truly great given the really bad start, but this offensive performance is criminal. Say what you will about talent etc., but when you're the second worst offense in the league GOING BACK TO 1986 (!!), management (front office and coaching) has seriously screwed up. No rebuilding year should ever be that dismal, especially in a year when points are being scored at a record pace.
26CornerBlitz Posted October 16, 2018 Author Posted October 16, 2018 Just now, dave mcbride said: The D numbers are truly great given the really bad start, but this offensive performance is criminal. Say what you will about talent etc., but when you're the second worst offense in the league GOING BACK TO 1986 (!!), management (front office and coaching) has seriously screwed up. No rebuilding year should ever be that dismal, especially in a year when points are being scored at a record pace. Oh it's bad, but I'm certainly not surprised when you consider all factors.
Doc Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 3 hours ago, Misterbluesky said: Please sign Jordan Phillips to a semi long term deal.3 yrs @ 3 mill per? I seriously doubt he accepts that low a deal.
bouds Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 Tyrod with this D, 4-2 not out of the question.
26CornerBlitz Posted October 16, 2018 Author Posted October 16, 2018 Week 6 DVOA Ratings | Football Outsiders We have to talk about the insane split right now between the Buffalo Bills offense and the Buffalo Bills defense. The Buffalo Bills defense right now is third in DVOA, narrowly behind Baltimore. The Bills are even better against the pass, second behind Chicago. The offense, on the other hand, is the worst in the league. But this is not a run of the mill worst of the league. We've had plenty of teams before that were run-of-the-mill bad on offense and very good on defense. The Bills are in another galaxy compared to the rest of the offense-fortified NFL of 2018. Right now, the average team is gaining 5.7 yards per play. Arizona is 31st at 4.4 yards per play. Buffalo is way down at 3.7 yards per play. It's even worse if we look at net yards per pass attempt. The NFL average is 6.6, and Arizona is 31st at 5.1. Buffalo is way down with 3.8 net yards per pass attempt. The Bills lead the league with nine interceptions and are dead last with only three passing touchdowns. (Somehow they are not in last place in total offensive touchdowns; Buffalo has seven and Tennessee has only six.) Put it all together and normalize for the overall offensive environment of the 2018 season, and Buffalo now has the second-worst offense we've ever tracked through six games. Now, we could compare Buffalo to other teams that have had a high ranking in offensive DVOA and a really low ranking in defensive DVOA. For example, last year's Arizona Cardinals were 30th on offense and fourth on defense. However, what really matters here is the rating, not the ranking. The Bills are so, so far behind everyone else in offensive DVOA that it's not enough just to say that they rank dead last. So I've put together this historical table of similar teams through six games. These are teams that had a bottom-five offensive DVOA but a strong defensive DVOA, with the biggest gap between the two, looking at the actual rating rather than just the ranking. You'll notice that the only team with a bigger gap was the team that's ahead of Buffalo (or should I say behind?) for worst offense through six games: the 2004 Miami Dolphins. That team had just four offensive touchdowns through six games. But they also only allowed seven offensive touchdowns through six games. The 2004 Dolphins had four different turnovers returned for touchdowns just in their first six games of the season! So the 2004 Dolphins were like this year's Bills only even more extreme. They were No. 1 in defense through six games as well as dead last in offense. Is there hope for Buffalo? If Josh Allen is injured and they have to play Nathan Peterman, it would seem not. But maybe veteran Derek Anderson can rescue the Bills from historically awful offensive efficiency. The 2004 Miami Dolphins, at least, didn't suffer with an offense this bad for the whole year. They beat the St. Louis Rams 31-14 in their very next game. Eventually, as you can see in the table, their offense regressed towards the mean a bit. Unfortunately, so did their defense. Most of the teams on this table were bad on offense all year long, even if things got a little better than they were in the first six weeks. The 2015 Broncos are really the exception.
26CornerBlitz Posted October 17, 2018 Author Posted October 17, 2018 Debrief: Reasons to be optimistic about every single NFL team Buffalo Bills: Buffalo's defense has held three of its last four opponents under 300 yards, with defensive end Jerry Hughes, defensive tackle Kyle Williams and breakout linebacker Matt Milano all playing well. LeSean McCoy's return to form gives the Bills a path to stay competitive if they can get anything out of their quarterbacks. Big if.
Doc Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 The defense should only get better once they settle on a #2 CB. 1
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 This defense has a perfect combination of young and old players all over the roster. Two very young and talented linebackers and one old as dirt vet still playing with everything he has. Same with the d-line. One young DT and one very old but still good. Veteran safeties and very young CBs. It seems like the perfect recipe for this season.
dave mcbride Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 9 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said: Also, Jerry Hughes' 90.5 rating as a pass rusher makes him the third best pass rusher in the league according to their metric (behind Aaron Donald and Fletcher Cox).
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