I Bet $5,000 on Minnesota. Should I Be Worried?

[keepthefaith]

You're safe.  Even with a late TD in mop up time, the Bills won't cover 17. 

[whatdrought]

Anyone whose been a Bills fan for any amount of time knows this is the exact kind of game that the Bills randomly win. I hate to see anyone loose money, but that seems like a silly bet. 

[BuffaloRush]

27 minutes ago, keepthefaith said:

You're safe.  Even with a late TD in mop up time, the Bills won't cover 17. 

 

The way I was thinking, based how the Bills played the past 2 weeks, I don’t see them scoring more than 6.  That means Minnesota has to score about 24 points which I think they can do easily.  I am predicting a 30-6 Vikings win

[ALLEN1QB]

I learned my lesson a long time ago never bet for or against the bills because they will kill you every time 

[mrags]

I don’t belive a word of this. And I’ll gonone further and ask if anyone else is really just hoping we win just so this guy can get killed. Which would make the whole story true.

 

But I’m betting against it. How about $5 

[JohnC]

1 hour ago, RobbRiddick said:

 

The ironic thing here is that I once paid a woman 5k to do that very thing to me.

In order to get your money's worth it had to be a very long squeeze. 

[Augie]

3 hours ago, plenzmd1 said:

man, a classic trap game for the Vikings.. Pack last week, Rams on Thursday..75% of the public money on the Vikings..i hope you got 2X on your money to be laying 17 into ever classic indicator that the Bills cover this easily

 

BTW do you live near Albany, have another screen name that involves a QB...i dunno, like @BringBackFergy ..and like to watch people head explode?

 

I see @BringBackFergy laughed, but I didn’t see a denial. You may be on to something!  

[LabattBlue]

Ranks right up there in the history of TSW LAMP's.

[Alphadawg7]

2 hours ago, BuffaloRush said:

I did it.  I had the chance to bet a lot of money on the game and I did it.  Honestly I was really torn and I hate betting against the Bills but I had to do it.  I got a very attractive offer from a local sports book that I couldn’t pass up.

 

But I haven’t told anyone.  Not my boss, not my wife, not my parents etc.  Just this forum.  My wife especially would kill me if she knew I had $5,000 riding on football.

 

Since I made this bet though, I have been very nervous.  My stomach feels very uncomfortable and queesy.  I have not been able to sleep at night and have been dog tired all day.  

 

But really I have nothing to be worried about right?  The Vikings are one The the NFL’s best teams and the Bills are not.  I figure that the defense will hold the Bills to FG’s and the MInnesota’s offense will score at will against our porous defense.  So I shouldn’t be worried right?

 

I mean I would feel better if it was just picking one team to win but they have to cover 17 points.  That one might be tough and i am sweating it out.  

 

Hopefully I will have some nice cash next week and can put this one behind me.  

 

I would love to say I like this bet...but if you want honest feed back, I unfortunately don't like this particular bet.  Not to be a Debby downer, but like others have said, 17 points is a ton to cover and compounding that further, Minnesotas D hasn't been as good as their reputation this year giving up 20 a game.  So while I expect Minnesota to score 30+, I can see the Bills break 20 points too, especially with the potential of a late game score.  

 

More importantly, our defense looked like a different animal in the 2nd half once McD took over, so while I expect Minnesota to still score, asking them to make up a 17 spread is a lot.  One thing I hate about betting these big spreads is late game scores that often occur in large lead games.  In a game where one team is up big late, they often play softer D and pull starters.  So if Minny is up in the final minute or 2 say by 21, it wouldn't surprise me to see the Bills make a late score to kill the spread against soft D and some backups because Bills will keep attacking to get Allen more reps and 2 min offense experience.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Augie]

3 minutes ago, LabattBlue said:

Ranks right up there in the history of TSW LAMP's.

 

Except it gets a pass because it’s so funny. I hope....

Edited September 21, 2018 by Augie

[LSHMEAB]

1 hour ago, gomper said:

I for one am with you on this one. I was in your shoes before SB 36. I bet our mortgage payment and some bill money and put 1,000 on the Pats +12 1/2. Placed the bet the morning of the game. Of course I didn't tell her. I went to a friend's house to watch. I didn't feel safe until towards the end of the 3rd. It was a wild ride. 

 

Good luck. That being said you should have taken the over. The don't call it a "back door" cover for nothing. 

You missed out on the moneyline! It was probably around +400. 

 

But a win is a win. That was a crazy two year stretch with two really unlikely teams winning the SuperBowl. Rams followed by Pats. That's when the worst NFL teams went from like 1000/1 to 150/1. Vegas doesn't like to pay out those kind of odds.

Edited September 21, 2018 by LSHMEAB

[lookylookyherecomescookie]

1 hour ago, BuffaloRush said:

 

No the odds were very attractive

It originates in poker I believe, but applies here also.  "If you don't know who the sucker is, it's you."

[Steptide]

5 grand? Geez louise. I wish I had that kind of money to burn

[transplantbillsfan]

Are you being serious?

 

This is just a hypothetical, right?

 

Personally, I think betting $5,000 on just about anything is kinda dumb.  But I'm not a gambler.

 

But in terms of this game, isn't the spread like 16.5 points?

 

So you just bet $5,000 that the Bills would actually get worse and lose by even more to the  Vikings than the Chargers?

 

Yes, I think it was a stupid bet if it was real. 

 

McDermott should be calling the defensive plays (even if he says he's sharing those duties with Frasier), so our defense shouldn't be the sieve it was for the first 3 halves of football this season.

 

Allen showed his teammates last week he's resilient and I think that gives the rest of the team some confidence.

 

And shuffling Bodine in for Groy will hopefully prove to be an upgrade.

 

 

It was a shaky bet, at best.  I think you should have bet on your favorite team.  And that's not the homer in me talking.

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

EAGAN, Minn. -- Minnesota Vikingsrunning back Dalvin Cook and defensive end Everson Griffen have officially been ruled out for Sunday's home game against the Buffalo Bills, coach Mike Zimmer announced Friday.

 

[Beast]

Vegas doesn’t set a spread so you can win easy money so, no matter what, it will take luck to win that.

 

 

[Guest K-GunJimKelly12]

1 minute ago, ShadyBillsFan said:

EAGAN, Minn. -- Minnesota Vikingsrunning back Dalvin Cook and defensive end Everson Griffen have officially been ruled out for Sunday's home game against the Buffalo Bills, coach Mike Zimmer announced Friday.

 

That is bad for my fantasy team, probably worse for the original poster though.

[Foxx]

2 minutes ago, ShadyBillsFan said:

EAGAN, Minn. -- Minnesota Vikingsrunning back Dalvin Cook and defensive end Everson Griffen have officially been ruled out for Sunday's home game against the Buffalo Bills, coach Mike Zimmer announced Friday.

 

link

[JPP]

Stupid bet especially laying down $5K thats making you sh*t your pants after the fact.....

[billsredneck1]

3 hours ago, BuffaloRush said:

I did it.  I had the chance to bet a lot of money on the game and I did it.  Honestly I was really torn and I hate betting against the Bills but I had to do it.  I got a very attractive offer from a local sports book that I couldn’t pass up.

 

But I haven’t told anyone.  Not my boss, not my wife, not my parents etc.  Just this forum.  My wife especially would kill me if she knew I had $5,000 riding on football.

 

Since I made this bet though, I have been very nervous.  My stomach feels very uncomfortable and queesy.  I have not been able to sleep at night and have been dog tired all day.  

 

But really I have nothing to be worried about right?  The Vikings are one The the NFL’s best teams and the Bills are not.  I figure that the defense will hold the Bills to FG’s and the MInnesota’s offense will score at will against our porous defense.  So I shouldn’t be worried right?

 

I mean I would feel better if it was just picking one team to win but they have to cover 17 points.  That one might be tough and i am sweating it out.  

 

Hopefully I will have some nice cash next week and can put this one behind me.  

hah! have fun admitting to your wife you have a problem and need help! enjoy the meetings and therapy. i don't know if you'll need a 2nd job to make the money up ,but you may to win your wife back. never ever ever ever bet on the bills. good luck to ya ....might wanna go to church before the game.?