plenzmd1 Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 On 10/13/2018 at 11:47 AM, plenzmd1 said: Tomorrow I am riding the Bills Moneyline again..+340. Profitable bet so far, no reason to abandon it now. Like the Chiefs +145, and 1/3 unit bet on the 49 ers +325 Expand Urghhhhh live by the moneyline, die by the moneyline. 3 losses here for me, winners if yabtake the points. All of them hem tied with under two minutes to go. Oh well, onto next week.
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 What’s the line with Josh out? 26?
GoBills808 Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 On 10/14/2018 at 12:02 PM, BringBackFergy said: My daughter’s modified field hockey team is 4-1-1. This Tuesday they are home against a team that is 2-4 (currently on a three game losing streak). Bovada has the over/under at 1 1/2 goals. I’m taking the overs. Expand Moneyline? On 10/16/2018 at 7:48 AM, plenzmd1 said: Urghhhhh live by the moneyline, die by the moneyline. 3 losses here for me, winners if yabtake the points. All of them hem tied with under two minutes to go. Oh well, onto next week. Expand Bills 3-3 ATS w/ some big lines tells me take them this week at +7.5
BringBackFergy Posted October 16, 2018 Posted October 16, 2018 On 10/16/2018 at 9:22 PM, GoBills808 said: Moneyline? Expand +950 Pepperidge Farm Goldfish crackers 1
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 (edited) On 10/16/2018 at 9:22 PM, GoBills808 said: Moneyline? Bills 3-3 ATS w/ some big lines tells me take them this week at +7.5 Expand .500. As I’ve seen for decades the problem is knowing which way to swing week to week. Edited October 17, 2018 by ShadyBillsFan
Ol Dirty B Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 On 10/16/2018 at 9:22 PM, GoBills808 said: Moneyline? Bills 3-3 ATS w/ some big lines tells me take them this week at +7.5 Expand I'm not sure why? Could you explain that logic to me? They covered 17, 10, and damn, I don't remember the Titans line. They've failed to cover 7.5, 10, and I'm guessing the LA game which I don't remember the spread also. I just don't see any real great way to think they'll cover. Indy puts up points, and has a below average defense but a good pass rush. I don't think the Bills match up well with them. I'm going to wait if it goes up. It opened at 6.5. I like them at 10.5.
GoBills808 Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 (edited) On 10/17/2018 at 12:57 AM, Ol Dirty B said: I'm not sure why? Could you explain that logic to me? They covered 17, 10, and damn, I don't remember the Titans line. They've failed to cover 7.5, 10, and I'm guessing the LA game which I don't remember the spread also. I just don't see any real great way to think they'll cover. Indy puts up points, and has a below average defense but a good pass rush. I don't think the Bills match up well with them. I'm going to wait if it goes up. It opened at 6.5. I like them at 10.5. Expand There’s opportunity when you get a team with as much disagreement between public/sharp money as the Bills this year, so when they’re getting over a TD to a beat up Indy w/ defense playing like they are I’m jumping on it. Colts haven’t won a home game this season, 1-4 ats last 5 home games, and Bills have covered 3/4 times as 5+pt dogs this year. Hammer it if you got it imo. Edited October 17, 2018 by GoBills808 3/4 not 3/3...pretty sure 1
Ol Dirty B Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 On 10/17/2018 at 1:55 AM, GoBills808 said: There’s opportunity when you get a team with as much disagreement between public/sharp money as the Bills this year, so when they’re getting over a TD to a beat up Indy w/ defense playing like they are I’m jumping on it. Colts haven’t won a home game this season, 1-4 ats last 5 home games, and Bills have covered all 3 times as 5+pt dogs this year. Hammer it if you got it imo. Expand They didnt cover the 10 they were getting at green bay or the 7.5 or so they were getting at the Ravens. They aren't 3-0 ats getting 5 or more or am I misunderstanding you? You have a point, that's the only reason I ask because getting that many points vs a 1-5 team with this defense is usually something I'd jump on.
LSHMEAB Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 At this point, there is not a huge difference between Peterman, Allen, and Anderson. The line is pretty much the same. I don't really think Allen's absence will affect the team.
GoBills808 Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 On 10/17/2018 at 1:58 AM, Ol Dirty B said: They didnt cover the 10 they were getting at green bay or the 7.5 or so they were getting at the Ravens. They aren't 3-0 ats getting 5 or more or am I misunderstanding you? You have a point, that's the only reason I ask because getting that many points vs a 1-5 team with this defense is usually something I'd jump on. Expand Yeh that's wrong, thinking last 4 games not all year. Was +16 Bills cover, -10 Packers cover, +6 Bills cover, +10 Bills cover iirc. I hate betting my teams but Indy doesn't deserve to be laying 7.5, they're just not that strong. 1
youngjebrey Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 On 10/17/2018 at 1:58 AM, LSHMEAB said: At this point, there is not a huge difference between Peterman, Allen, and Anderson. The line is pretty much the same. I don't really think Allen's absence will affect the team. Expand It most certainly will if peterman starts. Peterman actually gives points to the other team. May as well give Indy +7 to start with if he plays
Ol Dirty B Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 (edited) On 10/17/2018 at 2:12 AM, GoBills808 said: Yeh that's wrong, thinking last 4 games not all year. Was +16 Bills cover, -10 Packers cover, +6 Bills cover, +10 Bills cover iirc. I hate betting my teams but Indy doesn't deserve to be laying 7.5, they're just not that strong. Expand Thanks, you definitely have me thinking about it. Your reasoning is good, but like you, I also hate betting my teams. On 10/17/2018 at 2:14 AM, youngjebrey said: It most certainly will if peterman starts. Peterman actually gives points to the other team. May as well give Indy +7 to start with if he plays Expand The public perception of Peterman being announced starter will tilt that line in my opinion. I see it going to 10.5 if he is announced a starter in the next few days. Which is crazy, but I think the public starts laying money down on the Colts immediately if that is announced. I'm not an expert on this though. I dabble but I wouldn't consider myself a wiseguy or anything. Edited October 17, 2018 by Ol Dirty B
LSHMEAB Posted October 17, 2018 Posted October 17, 2018 On 10/17/2018 at 2:14 AM, youngjebrey said: It most certainly will if peterman starts. Peterman actually gives points to the other team. May as well give Indy +7 to start with if he plays Expand I agree that Peterman is a turnover machine unlike the league has ever seen. Just pointing out that Allen, AT THIS POINT, doesn't really contribute much to the offense. Don't see the line being affected as much as you may think.
plenzmd1 Posted October 21, 2018 Posted October 21, 2018 (edited) +250 at Bovada..this can be a swing game for the year. If Anderson comes out and has a decent game, and Bills win with the D having another strong game..the days of seeing better than 2X on your money will be long gone( except for next week, and ain't no way I betting Bills money line next week). So the question is all Anderson...and how much of your bankroll do you want to lay today. I have had a decent year so far, up a little under 30% of my initial bankroll.i So while i really like the game, not going too crazy today... am going to put most my profit on the Bills money line today. To me, Anderson is either decent or pretty good and Bills win a close game..or he and the offense are hot garbage and they get beat by 20. Also, like the Brownies today +160. Edited October 21, 2018 by plenzmd1
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 21, 2018 Posted October 21, 2018 On 10/17/2018 at 2:16 AM, Ol Dirty B said: Thanks, you definitely have me thinking about it. Your reasoning is good, but like you, I also hate betting my teams. The public perception of Peterman being announced starter will tilt that line in my opinion. I see it going to 10.5 if he is announced a starter in the next few days. Which is crazy, but I think the public starts laying money down on the Colts immediately if that is announced. I'm not an expert on this though. I dabble but I wouldn't consider myself a wiseguy or anything. Expand Im an expert on betting the bills .... I wouldve took the colts to cover 16 points .... No way this bills team looks decent with anderson or peterman under center against indy or ne england... Just easy money 1
Ol Dirty B Posted October 21, 2018 Posted October 21, 2018 On 10/21/2018 at 9:05 PM, ChattanoogaBills said: Im an expert on betting the bills .... I wouldve took the colts to cover 16 points .... No way this bills team looks decent with anderson or peterman under center against indy or ne england... Just easy money Expand I didnt touch it.
plenzmd1 Posted October 21, 2018 Posted October 21, 2018 On 10/21/2018 at 9:05 PM, ChattanoogaBills said: Im an expert on betting the bills .... I wouldve took the colts to cover 16 points .... No way this bills team looks decent with anderson or peterman under center against indy or ne england... Just easy money Expand you are an expert betting the Bills..especially after the game is over!? I am a freaking hundred millionare if i get to bet games after they are finished! Have some stones and post before the game..not after
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 21, 2018 Posted October 21, 2018 (edited) My parlay today was miami +3... New England -2.... Indy -7.... Carolina +5. Of course the fish screwed me on that... But my teaser hit i had miami +15 ... New England+10.... Indy +5 ...Carolina+17... Easy money On 10/21/2018 at 9:33 PM, plenzmd1 said: you are an expert betting the Bills..especially after the game is over!? I am a freaking hundred millionare if i get to bet games after they are finished! Have some stones and post before the game..not after Expand Ok no problem... I just started posting in here... But yeah if i was making it up i would ve said i hit the parlay instead.... Matter of fact i jumped on my friends late game parlay. And its. Balt -2 1/2... Dallas -1 1/2... Rams -8 1/2 and kc/cinncy game over 56 1/2. He put up 50 and i threw 15 on it.... That will 650 if it hits. P.s. all i won was 100 on that teaser so minus the 15 for the 2nd parlay i'll get $85 tuesday. Edited October 21, 2018 by ChattanoogaBills
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