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Posted
10 minutes ago, RyanC883 said:

ESPN=the worst major sports network.  A bunch of morons.  

 

Of course, unless they talk good about the Bills and then we all say how smart that one guy is at ESPN. 

Posted

They know nothing and always pick us to be bad. They have done it for like 18 straight years and never get it right. Wait, we made the playoffs only once during that time? Ummmm

Posted
13 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

That is fine....just stand by your rankings when the bills do better

 

when the Bills break into the top 20 we can celebrate

 

Posted
35 minutes ago, CountDorkula said:

 

Of course, unless they talk good about the Bills and then we all say how smart that one guy is at ESPN. 

 

that guy would be fired immediately! 

Posted
44 minutes ago, Fadingpain said:

It's not "lazy journalism."

 

All these people can do is analyze past metrics and make speculations about the future, which is very hard to do.

 

Further, there is always a lot of ups and downs in the league from 1 year to the next.

 

After 3 or 4 weeks, we'll know who the good teams are, who the bad teams are, who's greatly improved, who's a lot worse, etc.

 

And then it will be much easier to make rankings for 2018.

 

 

This was an ESPN ranking, not 538. Not all of sports reporting is based on metrics, and I doubt these rankings are. Based on past metrics, I don't think we would come out 32 for defense. These are mostly written for provocation and in any case I walked right into it. We'll see how the season goes.

Posted (edited)

On paper it's easy to see how someone would say this.  Also, given that we have young players that are learning it is quite clear that big plays are going to happen against the defense.  For instance, suppose Edmunds takes off and plays well.  You have to hope Milano does too.  To me, in his second year, he's been more hesitant and lost at times than Edmunds.

 

Then there are issues at CB opposite White that might limit what Frasier can do schematically.

 

Offensively, it's all about the line and I think this is one of the worse one in the league.  You are not going very far with terrible offensive line play I don't care who you are.

Edited by NewEraBills
  • Like (+1) 1
Posted

All these preseason rankings are great!   Pushing the spreads out for us all to make more money when they make the playoffs.   Get your bets on now. 

Posted (edited)

Bills:  Projected wins:  6.3 (Ranked 32)

Jets:  Projected wins:  6 (Ranked 31)

Browns:  Projected wins:  6 (Ranked 30)

 

So the Bills have more projected wins but they aren't better than the Jets despite playing more or less the same schedule?  What?

 

I mean, I don't think we are going to be good... but ranked 32nd overall is kind of surprising.

Edited by berg1029
Posted
12 minutes ago, SF Bills Fan said:

I get the offense, but the D ranking is silly

The Bills Defesne last year was:

 

26th in YGP

20th in yards per play

30th in 1st down per game

18th in 3rd down %

18th in Pts per game.

 

The defense may be worse without getting as many turnovers as they did last year

Posted

2 questions:

 

1. Does anyone think that ESPN has ever once ranked an NHL, NBA, MLB, or NFL team that made the playoffs the previous year as last overall when making predictions the following year?  The only one I can think of as a possibility is the Florida Marlins a while back when they had an all out purge.  We lost Preston Brown, Eric Wood and Tyrod Taylor.  This is just ridiculous and based on nothing.

 

2.  If last year's roster played for another franchise, let's call it the Titans for argument's sake, had identical 2017 results and made identical offseason moves to us, would they get moved to 32 by ESPN?  That is highly doubtful to me.  Their rankings are uniform dependent.  It's the Bills so 32.  Titans, move them to 22.  Steelers, they'd be ranked 8.  Jets?  14.  Cards? 26.  Pats?  Next 9 Super Bowls are in the bag.

  • Like (+1) 1
Posted
6 minutes ago, berg1029 said:

Bills:  Projected wins:  6.3 (Ranked 32)

Jets:  Projected wins:  6 (Ranked 31)

Browns:  Projected wins:  6 (Ranked 30)

 

So the Bills have more projected wins but they aren't better than the Jets despite playing more or less the same schedule?  What?

 

I mean, I don't think we are going to be good... but ranked 32nd overall is kind of surprising.

 

That's the part I don't get.  If you are the worse team in the league, you're not going to win 6 games.

Posted
4 minutes ago, CountDorkula said:

The Bills Defesne last year was:

 

26th in YGP

20th in yards per play

30th in 1st down per game

18th in 3rd down %

18th in Pts per game.

 

The defense may be worse without getting as many turnovers as they did last year

Losing Preston Brown for Edmunds has moved us down past roughly one third of the league aggregate?  

7 minutes ago, berg1029 said:

Bills:  Projected wins:  6.3 (Ranked 32)

Jets:  Projected wins:  6 (Ranked 31)

Browns:  Projected wins:  6 (Ranked 30)

 

So the Bills have more projected wins but they aren't better than the Jets despite playing more or less the same schedule?  What?

 

I mean, I don't think we are going to be good... but ranked 32nd overall is kind of surprising.

I find it interesting that they project the worst records to be 6-10.  Are the best 10-6?

Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, NewEraBills said:

 

That's the part I don't get.  If you are the worse team in the league, you're not going to win 6 games.

 

I've taken it as just meaning that the parity in the league is better than usual.  Looking at the list of teams, it's hard to find the equivalent of the Browns from last year.  There are no clear cut losers this year

Edited by berg1029
Posted
16 minutes ago, NewEraBills said:

 

That's the part I don't get.  If you are the worse team in the league, you're not going to win 6 games.

 

special teams are a hidden variable, Bills haven't bothered with ST for a long time now

 

Posted
3 minutes ago, row_33 said:

 

special teams are a hidden variable, Bills haven't bothered with ST for a long time now

 

McD loves special teams. He kept at least three guys just for special teams that aren't kickers or holders, Holmes, Jones and Lacey, who weren't needed at their regular positions. 

Posted

Somehow, a playoff team from last year, losing their QB who led a feeble passing game...is now worse than 0-16 Cleveland?   Maybe it's the O-line mess that has as much to do with that ranking as anything.  The QB is a big ?? but if they can limit turnovers it's not going to be a complete disaster.  I guess the pundits don't think Peterman or Allen can play at all.

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