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Posted

I think we all know that betting on sports, betting on casino games is rough. It is why we call it gambling.

 

Think about it. If $10 million is bet at Saratoga on Wednesday, approx $2 million will be lost to the house(track)

and governments(state,county, city) That is $8 million returned to the public in winning bets. Las Vegas would

not exist if SOME people didn't win. The problem is most players beat themselves. If you are not psycologically

equipped to lose money that you need, then stop.

 

To me betting on pro football gives you a chance, with a bankroll, luck, research and thus knowing what you are 

doing. Not knowing any college coaches or athletes, I would not touch college sports with a 10 foot pole.

There are two NFL basic facts to know. Favorites at 7 points or more win 70% of the time, and favorites 10 points

or better win 80% of the time. Factor in injuries, home bias, style of play, etc. can increase those percentages,

and ways of betting whether it be spreads, totals, money lines, parlays, ot teasers can also increase the %.

If you bet against the Cleveland Browns in 2017 on the money line 16 times., you know how you would have made out. 

There is a old saying-you get beat a football game, but you can't beat (all) football games. Do we have enough

discipline to bet one game a week or maybe one or two a month. I don't think so. We crave action, thus beating

our selves, and we bet with our hearts, not our heads. Pats vs. Bills. We love the Bills, but against the Pats?  

Posted
6 hours ago, Foreigner said:

I think we all know that betting on sports, betting on casino games is rough. It is why we call it gambling.

 

Think about it. If $10 million is bet at Saratoga on Wednesday, approx $2 million will be lost to the house(track)

and governments(state,county, city) That is $8 million returned to the public in winning bets. Las Vegas would

not exist if SOME people didn't win. The problem is most players beat themselves. If you are not psycologically

equipped to lose money that you need, then stop.

 

To me betting on pro football gives you a chance, with a bankroll, luck, research and thus knowing what you are 

doing. Not knowing any college coaches or athletes, I would not touch college sports with a 10 foot pole.

There are two NFL basic facts to know. Favorites at 7 points or more win 70% of the time, and favorites 10 points

or better win 80% of the time. Factor in injuries, home bias, style of play, etc. can increase those percentages,

and ways of betting whether it be spreads, totals, money lines, parlays, ot teasers can also increase the %.

If you bet against the Cleveland Browns in 2017 on the money line 16 times., you know how you would have made out. 

There is a old saying-you get beat a football game, but you can't beat (all) football games. Do we have enough

discipline to bet one game a week or maybe one or two a month. I don't think so. We crave action, thus beating

our selves, and we bet with our hearts, not our heads. Pats vs. Bills. We love the Bills, but against the Pats?  

 

I don’t gamble. I work too hard for my money to give it away.

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