What I Don't Understand About Fan Reaction to Allen

[Nihilarian]

1 minute ago, Dr. K said:

And he can't hit the broad side of a barn.

 

The one thing I would think we would have figured out over the last twenty seasons of QB play in Buffalo, given Losman, Fitz, EJ, Tyrod, etc., is that ACCURACY is vastly more important to successful QB play than arm strength or height or escapability. The Bills drafted the one QB of those touted for the first round who has the most trouble with accuracy. 

 

If he is successful, I will come here and say I was wrong.  

 

For the love of god stop making idiotic comments about this young man. Nobody can properly evaluate an NFL career from watching only two seasons of college tape. 

 

The kid improved from the end of the college season to the Senior Bowl where the level of competition was equal to his level. To the combine and his pro day as he had the scouts in awe with his passing. 

 

Watch him yourself and listen to what the top scouts are saying. There were real reasons why this FO passed on Rosen over Allen. 

 

 

[Over 29 years of fanhood]

28 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

The comparisons to EJ are pretty comical.........EJ could only dream of having arm talent like Allen.

 

 

 

 

 

not trying to fan any flames here, and I’m willing to give the kid a shot...  but the EJ comparison is valid, because: 

 

(1) Nix said almost verbatim about EJ what Beane said about Allen “all the prospects had issues, and we think his are easiest to fix”  EJs issue was inaccuracy and that regime thought they could fix that. This is the identical, except the short game touch pass accuracy is significantly worse with Allen at this point in their careers. 

 

Further more: 

 

(1) the inaccuracy belief is based on analysis of his play, not his stats from all those weighing in- they just reference completion as a top line stat to explain- But there is significant correlation with few outliers that college completion % will exceed NFL completion %?

 

(2) innacuraurate QBs have consistently been coaching and GM career killers.  

 

So now we are betting on Allen being a statistical anomaly, and a front office with the audacity to belive they can fix what many experts say can’t be fixed. 

 

I get where folks are disappointed 

 

[Thurmal34]

There are no actual results to back up the guy’s “arm” or “talent” or “athleticism”. Where’s the evidence? Where’s the proof?

 

EJ 2.0.

 

Beane got seduced and it will set the Bills back until 2021 at the earliest.

[Blokestradamus]

1 minute ago, Thurmal34 said:

There are no actual results to back up the guy’s “arm” or “talent” or “athleticism”. Where’s the evidence? Where’s the proof?

 

EJ 2.0.

 

Beane got seduced and it will set the Bills back until 2021 at the earliest.

 

Even as a long-time disliker of Josh Allen's game, the athleticism isn't mythical. He's not a blazing runner but he's incredibly well balanced and agile.

[Thurmal34]

If it translates to actual on field results, I’m all for it. Unfortunately for the Bills however, that has not yet been the case. 

[Canadian Bills Fan]

23 minutes ago, Rosen-not-Chosen said:

 

Then you have to seriously question their talent evaluation process, as well as question Pegula's leadership skills as the owner.  Pegula has done nothing but whiff on hiring of coaches & GM's since he bought the Buffalo teams.  This pick is likely an epic fail in terms of this franchise's history.

 

 

My God you are depressing.

 

 

So hiring a coach who, in his first year, took the Bills to the playoffs and ended an 18 year drought was a whiff?

 

Oh and then the GM who was able to flip Tyrods entire salary and bonus, and did the same with Glenn. Oh yeah...big swing and a miss there

 

And in terms of the Allen pick being an epic fail in the franchise history, you need to calm down and breathe. 

 

 

You are clearly bitter the Bills didn't draft Rosen. I wanted Rosen too but you don't see me creating a new profile and in every single post, rip our team for picking the wrong guy and essentially saying the sky is falling and we are all doomed.

 

 

You have every right to hate this pick but maybe you should mix in some other content in your posts instead of just going on an anti-Allen crusade 

 

 

[BullBuchanan]

5 hours ago, greeneblitz said:

As usual at draft time it becomes political, if you like a guy you must therefore must destroy every other possible adversary, can't believe that it's a bunch of actual grown men and women that act this way. Now with social media people get so tied up debating they think they're part of the actual process lol, like mad at the GM for not listening to their hour or two of youtube and WGR "draft research"

...and you are????? I think we should go with the whole room of professional scouts that do this for a living.

 

Are all the people that work in your profession highly skilled and excellent at their profession beyond rebuke? I know the ones that occupy my space aren't.

[Rocbillsfan1]

5 hours ago, greeneblitz said:

As usual at draft time it becomes political, if you like a guy you must therefore must destroy every other possible adversary, can't believe that it's a bunch of actual grown men and women that act this way. Now with social media people get so tied up debating they think they're part of the actual process lol, like mad at the GM for not listening to their hour or two of youtube and WGR "draft research"

...and you are????? I think we should go with the whole room of professional scouts that do this for a living.

It has nothing to do with politics it has to do with him being a terrible Qb. I would have been fine with just about any other qb selected in the draft. I don’t get why people don’t understand that people have very legit reasons to dislike Allen. 

[Over 29 years of fanhood]

3 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

Orlovsky laid it out: Allen's weakness is he needs to learn to play QB

So there you have it, Bill: the Bills traded up for the #7 overall pick and used it on a guy who Dan Orlovsky tags as needing to learn to play QB

 

Question for anyone:  Orlovsky said that Daboll should employ spread offense concepts to help Allen out.  But I thought Allen did not play in a spread offense?

 

 

Correct was pro style under center. My guess is not having to drop can allow you to better focus on your footwork, but I just made that up. 

 

if he can learn to be accurate, he should be able to fire the ball in there with that arm and have success even if he never learns to throw with anticipation. 

Edited April 27, 2018 by Over 29 years of fanhood

[LABILLBACKER]

6 hours ago, Bill from NYC said:

I have been on this wonderful board for many, many years. Now, I am reading these posts that are absolutely hating the Allen pick and it is hard to understand why. Almost every season, I was on this board blasting yet another idiotic first round pick by the Bills. For instance:  A #8 (in a stacked draft) on an undersized Donte Whitner? How about a 1st on a half dead Willis McGahee? In 2008 we had a very poor OL. It was awful. We drafted Leotis McKelvin, passing up both Ryan Clady and Branden Albert.

 

I could go on and on but my point is that fans were generally supportive of these clearly stupid picks. Now, we finally use resources on a big, strong quarterback and most people seem to hate the kid. Why? Because he said stupid things when he was a toddler? Because he went to a small school?

 

After what seemed like forever, we took a chance on solidifying the most important position on the field. We moved up to make sure we landed a qb with a cannon arm. What is SO freaking bad?

 

I for one am glad that we did something smart (for a change) in round 1, and welcome this young man to Buffalo.

 

GO BILLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

16 yrs old is hardly a toddler....the reason people are mad is because 80% of Bills fans wanted either Darnold,  Mayfield or Rosen. The late tweet stuff just was the cherry on the cake. We'll see???

[ndirish1978]

5 hours ago, T-Bomb said:

 

And fans like you are simply useless tbh...

 

No matter what dumbass FO this organization hires, you just sit there with your thumb up your ass, drinking the KoolAid, assuming the FO can do no wrong, because they are "your Bills".  Whatever colossal draft mistake they make, you'll support it in lemming-like fashion,  It's pathetic.

 

Loser fans deserve a loser franchise I guess...

 

Hi T-Bomb. So turns out your big theory about our trade up was just a bunch of hot air. 

[Mat68]

This was no reach.  In a draft with alot of elite talent at Qb Allen was considered by some as the best.  Everyone who hates him as a prospect see the potential in him and admit he has the highest ceiling.   Buffalo did not reach for a player.  Buffalo did not over spend for player last night.  Allen is the most talented Qb buffalo has had in 20 years plus.  Allen may already have the best arm in the NFL at 21.  He is a late bloomer.  Wanted to play football in college.  0 Division 1 offers.  Went JR college.  Still wanted to play division 1.  Went to the worst college in the country because it was his only offer.  After his first game there was buzz about this kid out of nowhere in Wyoming.  If he declared last year he would have been a top 10 pick.  Embrace the ride.  If Allen gets to even half of his potential Buffalo has a hell of a QB for many years.  

[ctk232]

6 hours ago, Bill from NYC said:

I have been on this wonderful board for many, many years. Now, I am reading these posts that are absolutely hating the Allen pick and it is hard to understand why. Almost every season, I was on this board blasting yet another idiotic first round pick by the Bills. For instance:  A #8 (in a stacked draft) on an undersized Donte Whitner? How about a 1st on a half dead Willis McGahee? In 2008 we had a very poor OL. It was awful. We drafted Leotis McKelvin, passing up both Ryan Clady and Branden Albert.

 

I could go on and on but my point is that fans were generally supportive of these clearly stupid picks. Now, we finally use resources on a big, strong quarterback and most people seem to hate the kid. Why? Because he said stupid things when he was a toddler? Because he went to a small school?

 

After what seemed like forever, we took a chance on solidifying the most important position on the field. We moved up to make sure we landed a qb with a cannon arm. What is SO freaking bad?

 

I for one am glad that we did something smart (for a change) in round 1, and welcome this young man to Buffalo.

 

GO BILLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Its not the choice of allen that gets me. Its what was given up to get him. As far as we know, all of these QBs could be complete busts - goes for any player. The draft is a crapshoot of probablity and always has been. The issue with this pick was that we gave up both 2nd rd picks to move up 5 spots. Rebuilding key positional needs for the future was put off for moving up 5 spots for a guy that may have very well fallen all the way to 12. Look at Rosen. No player is worth three picks in the top 50, four if we kept 22 and didnt give up the 3rd. But hey, nothing we can change at this point. Just hate seeing all these picks go when we could rebuild our defense, or WR corps and OL. Which we desperately need and now cant do.

[Teddy KGB]

Ej Manuel was good in the Senior Bowl too.  

 

Run it back ! 

[Green Lightning]

5 hours ago, TheTruthHurts said:

He's a fine prospect. But I'm tired of our franchise QB struggling to process information. This goes back to Rob Johnson. Johnson, Losman, Manuel, and Allen are all the same QB. Strong arm, athletic QB's that don't process the game fast enough. The accuracy isn't even my concern. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yep, and we just did it again. What could go wrong?

[BullBuchanan]

5 hours ago, Xwnyer said:

Because we are becoming very polarized and will hate every top pick.   This GM and coach seem to be making moves that they think will make this team better.  I am ok with it since they made good picks last year and played well above the talent level.   But the “fans” will find every reason they can to hate the pick things like the owner liked the guy, he made some stupid tweets (yet they love the ones from the idiot in White House) etc etc etc.   as I predicted in. A thread I started months ago This would happen

 

You know Beane wasn't the GM last year right?

[HappyDays]

3 hours ago, mjt328 said:

Is it because of his arm strength, and the fact he can throw an 80-yard bomb? 

 

Arm strength is NOT just about 80 yard bombs. It's about beating defenders on tight window throws. If you're gonna get excited about Josh Allen that's why. He has a howitzer arm and very little football training in life. If we can help him put the rest of it together he will be great but it's a project.

[SoTier]

6 hours ago, Bill from NYC said:

I have been on this wonderful board for many, many years. Now, I am reading these posts that are absolutely hating the Allen pick and it is hard to understand why. Almost every season, I was on this board blasting yet another idiotic first round pick by the Bills. For instance:  A #8 (in a stacked draft) on an undersized Donte Whitner? How about a 1st on a half dead Willis McGahee? In 2008 we had a very poor OL. It was awful. We drafted Leotis McKelvin, passing up both Ryan Clady and Branden Albert.

 

I could go on and on but my point is that fans were generally supportive of these clearly stupid picks. Now, we finally use resources on a big, strong quarterback and most people seem to hate the kid. Why? Because he said stupid things when he was a toddler? Because he went to a small school?

 

After what seemed like forever, we took a chance on solidifying the most important position on the field. We moved up to make sure we landed a qb with a cannon arm. What is SO freaking bad?

 

I for one am glad that we did something smart (for a change) in round 1, and welcome this young man to Buffalo.

 

GO BILLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

Apparently your "many years" don't include the JP Losman and EJ Manuel eras.

[BADOLBILZ]

36 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:

 

 

not trying to fan any flames here, and I’m willing to give the kid a shot...  but the EJ comparison is valid, because: 

 

(1) Nix said almost verbatim about EJ what Beane said about Allen “all the prospects had issues, and we think his are easiest to fix”  EJs issue was inaccuracy and that regime thought they could fix that. This is the identical, except the short game touch pass accuracy is significantly worse with Allen at this point in their careers. 

 

Further more: 

 

(1) the inaccuracy belief is based on analysis of his play, not his stats from all those weighing in- they just reference completion as a top line stat to explain- But there is significant correlation with few outliers that college completion % will exceed NFL completion %?

 

(2) innacuraurate QBs have consistently been coaching and GM career killers.  

 

So now we are betting on Allen being a statistical anomaly, and a front office with the audacity to belive they can fix what many experts say can’t be fixed. 

 

I get where folks are disappointed 

 

 

 

My assessment of EJ coming out was that he was a very long term project.........like the 5 year kind.

 

WRT muscle memory he was an incredibly SLOW learner.........he started for 4 years at FSU and progress with regard to footwork was very incremental.     He was all arms and legs.    He had to abbreviate his throwing motion to try to control the ball better and repeating footwork was difficult with long gangly legs.    His deep throws in particular often resembled shanked punts.     

 

Allen is a MUCH more coordinated athlete.........his throwing motion is natural.........this dude is really impressive on the hoof and he's had far less time at it than EJ.........who believe it or not was a very elite QB prospect in HS who got a ton of instruction at major camps etc..

 

 

[Billsflyer12]

6 hours ago, Bill from NYC said:

I have been on this wonderful board for many, many years. Now, I am reading these posts that are absolutely hating the Allen pick and it is hard to understand why. Almost every season, I was on this board blasting yet another idiotic first round pick by the Bills. For instance:  A #8 (in a stacked draft) on an undersized Donte Whitner? How about a 1st on a half dead Willis McGahee? In 2008 we had a very poor OL. It was awful. We drafted Leotis McKelvin, passing up both Ryan Clady and Branden Albert.

 

I could go on and on but my point is that fans were generally supportive of these clearly stupid picks. Now, we finally use resources on a big, strong quarterback and most people seem to hate the kid. Why? Because he said stupid things when he was a toddler? Because he went to a small school?

 

After what seemed like forever, we took a chance on solidifying the most important position on the field. We moved up to make sure we landed a qb with a cannon arm. What is SO freaking bad?

 

I for one am glad that we did something smart (for a change) in round 1, and welcome this young man to Buffalo.

 

GO BILLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Because there is not a single stat or game that says he will be a good NFL QB.  Maybe he will be the first in the history of the league that can overcome that.