How many Franchise quarterbacks with come from this draft?

[Hebert19]

Btw franchise means long term starter with multiple pro bowls for the same of this poll.

 

I say 2...And that's it.  I from the big 4 or 5 depending who you ask and one from later in draft like lauretta or Rudolph.  

 

Just because there are a lot of quarterbacks doesn't mean they are franchise. 

Edited April 20, 2018 by Hebert19

[BuffAlone]

  On 4/20/2018 at 10:24 PM, Hebert19 said:

Btw franchise means long term starter with multiple pro bowls for the same of this poll.

 

I say 2...And that's it.  I from the big 4 or 5 depending who you ask and one from later in draft like lauretta or Rudolph.  

 

Just because there are a lot of quarterbacks doesn't mean they are franchise. 

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Rosen, and either Darnold or Mayfield. That's about it IMO at least.

[jr1]

Darnold and Baker

[Dadonkadonk]

Two. If the criteria is multiple pro bowls.

Allen and Rosen.

If the criteria is SB wins then one. Allen and Bills 2021.

[26CornerBlitz]

Rosen and Darnold.

[mattstev]

I'll go high, I think this is going to be a special draft like 2004. I think we could get 4, it just most likely wont be all the top 4.

[John from Riverside]

I am thinking 2 franchise guys (by the definition of super star carry your team types)

 

and 2 solid starters

[NewEra]

I’ll take a stab at 3.  Rosen; Darnold and Mayfield.  

[Doc Brown]

Two and one of the two won't be drafted in the 1st round.

[FrankoElTanko]

  On 4/20/2018 at 10:42 PM, NewEra said:

I’ll take a stab at 3.  Rosen; Darnold and Mayfield.  

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Me too. I think/hope (for our sake, if we take him) that Allen is productive however... I dunno

[MJS]

My guess is Mayfield, Rosen, and some other random QB that is taken outside the 1st round.

[billspro]

I think there will be at least four. 

 

I believe 3 of the top 5 will pan out as franchise guys. So out of Rosen, Darnold, Allen, Mayfield, and Jackson, three will become good and two will fail. I think Rosen, Darnold, and Mayfield (unless he goes to the Jets) will become franchise guys. I also think another franchise QB will come from White, Lauletta, and Rudolph out of the second day. There may even be another sleeper from the rest of the field like Woodside or Litton that becomes a franchise guy as well.  

 

I am predicting a 60% success rate in round 1, 30 % in round 2, 12.5% success rate for the rest of the prospects. 

[reddogblitz]

1 or less -  I'm not sold on any of these guys.

[Midwest1981]

2004 produced 3 (Eli, Rivers, and Big Ben) and 2012 somewhat anonymously produced 3 (Luck- when healthy, Wilson, and Cousins). And then 2004’s Schaub was similar to 2012’s Tannehill in that both haven’t/didn’t become franchise QB’s but still experienced some success. So there’s a precedent for 3 franchise guys and one other still reasonably success QB. Shoot, by that standard 1983 produced 3 franchise QB’s (Elway, Kelly, and Marino) with Ken O’Brien as that class’ Schaub/Tannehill.

 

I’ll say that’s what this class produces, too, with placement still critical in determining who emerges and who underwhelms/disappoints.

Edited April 20, 2018 by Midwest1981

[White Linen]

2

[ALLEN1QB]

4 will be in HOF some day.

[Formerly Allan in MD]

Matters not as long as we get one.  And ours doesn't necessarily have to be the starter early on.

[BigDingus]

I honestly believe 3.

 

Just like the 2004 draft all over again. 

 

Only this time, I hope the Bills get the future HOFer instead of the JP Losman...

 

 

 

[Thurman#1]

  On 4/20/2018 at 11:29 PM, billspro said:

I think there will be at least four. 

 

I believe 3 of the top 5 will pan out as franchise guys. So out of Rosen, Darnold, Allen, Mayfield, and Jackson, three will become good and two will fail. I think Rosen, Darnold, and Mayfield (unless he goes to the Jets) will become franchise guys. I also think another franchise QB will come from White, Lauletta, and Rudolph out of the second day. There may even be another sleeper from the rest of the field like Woodside or Litton that becomes a franchise guy as well.  

 

I am predicting a 60% success rate in round 1, 30 % in round 2, 12.5% success rate for the rest of the prospects. 

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Nice post and good point. I go back and forth between three and four, but not all of the big four. I have a good feeling (guess) about Mayfield. Rosen if he stays healthy, but that's a big if. 

 

It's all guesswork but yours is thoughtful and smart.

[nedboy7]

What are the winning lotto numbers?