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Posted
6 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

You would be sitting at 5. That's right after 4. Who could jump you from that strategic position? The Browns and Giants have 1,2 and 4. A move down to only 5 is far more enticing than anything else that can be offered. 

 

Always something. And if Rosen baker sam go 123 I want nothing to do with 5. Nobody’s making the deal up cause no way to know who’s there

Posted
2 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:

 

Carson Wentz didn’t start and win a Super Bowl. My language was very clear. 

 

My point on citing history is there there is very little precedent  that expensively moving up to select one guy is how you build a championship team. 

 

AND there are many examples of where not doing that has led to building a championship team.

 

Against: Ben, Flacco, Wilson, Brady, Brees, Foles

For: Eli

Of course far more teams have drafted their QB with a single pick than an expensive move up. The Bills have been waiting for 22 years for the good fortune that never came. It would be great if a QB would just fall into their lap outside the top ten a la Roethlisberger or Rodgers. They can either wait some more or go make their own luck. It doesn't seem they are interested in waiting any longer. We will see. 

Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, kdiggz said:

also, for those in the "we need to get higher to get OUR QB" camp, this just made the value of 2 and 4 cheaper.  if you tell the Giants that the Broncos are willing to do the trade for 12 and 22 straight up then it doesn't really make much sense to trade 12, 22, 53, 56, 65, next year's 1st to get only a few picks higher if you are happy with the talent that will be available at 5

True, in theory.  What we won't know, until draft night, is if the 3/4 QB is one the Bills value enough to trade up for at any spot in the top 10.  It could be that Beane only values, say,  Darnold and Allen for trade up into the top 5 or 10 purposes and doesn't want to burn any picks for the other two no matter how cheap.

 

i don't think Giants will let go of two.  I think they want Barkley or Darnold.  

 

 

Edited by purple haze
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Posted
2 hours ago, The Frankish Reich said:

The Broncos are in 100% win now mode. Could they use a LeSean McCoy? A Kelvin Benjamin? A Jerry Hughes? Yes, yes, and yes!  Package a pick or two and a player and get it done. 

Get what done?

to get who?

what if the top 4 QBs are taken?

then what?  

Trade a kings ransom for Lamar or Mason?

 

HOLD!

 

someone will fall. 

Posted

We have to proceed as if picks 1-4 aren't available. That is the most likely scenario right now.

Allen, Barkley, Darnold, Chubb are likely gone by 4. At this point, Elway is deciding whether he wants to draft a guard at 5 or move down and get picks.

Posted
1 minute ago, horned dogs said:

We have to proceed as if picks 1-4 aren't available. That is the most likely scenario right now.

Allen, Barkley, Darnold, Chubb are likely gone by 4. At this point, Elway is deciding whether he wants to draft a guard at 5 or move down and get picks.

 

It tells me something if he’s concluded Keenum is his guy. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:

 

It tells me something if he’s concluded Keenum is his guy. 

He could draft Rosen/Mayfield, maybe he doesn't have them rated that high or he thinks Keenum is good. Who knows it sounds like he's weighing the pick vs value.

Posted
4 minutes ago, horned dogs said:

We have to proceed as if picks 1-4 aren't available. That is the most likely scenario right now.

Allen, Barkley, Darnold, Chubb are likely gone by 4. At this point, Elway is deciding whether he wants to draft a guard at 5 or move down and get picks.

 

I was talking with a good friend today who is a draft freak, discussing how inaccurate these mocks are, year after year. 

We forget that these teams have wildly different draft boards, each with different priorities. 

Every mock has a QB rush early, some with up to 4 going in the top 5! That would be unprecedented, but it could happen. 

Someone is going to slide... 

Posted
1 minute ago, TheElectricCompany said:

 

I was talking with a good friend today who is a draft freak, discussing how inaccurate these mocks are, year after year. 

We forget that these teams have wildly different draft boards, each with different priorities. 

Every mock has a QB rush early, some with up to 4 going in the top 5! That would be unprecedented, but it could happen. 

Someone is going to slide... 

Yeah and I'd like to be at the new #1, Denver, and get my pick of who I want.

Posted
2 hours ago, BillsFan17 said:

Go get it, no excuses, go get it. Then if you want to jump to two, do it.

 

I would respectfully disagree that we should trade to 5 now.

 

What if the Giant's pick isn't for sale, what if they want Barkley or Chubb and won't trade out?  Even if the Giant's pick is for sale, I see no chance Gettleman trades out until draft night before he sees what he can get for it.  That pick will be worth more on draft night than it is today. 

 

What if the Bills only have one or two QBs in this draft that they feel strongly about and they are both gone by pick 3? 

 

I don't think Beane should trade to 5 now.  Beane needs to wait until draft night to see what happens.  No point in trading to 5 now when there is no guarantee you can trade higher or that the QB(s) you are targeting will even be there.  Now you've wasted draft capital and come away without your QB.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Inigo Montoya said:

 

I would respectfully disagree that we should trade to 5 now.

 

What if the Giant's pick isn't for sale, what if they want Barkley or Chubb and won't trade out?  Even if the Giant's pick is for sale, I see no chance Gettleman trades out until draft night before he sees what he can get for it.  That pick will be worth more on draft night than it is today. 

 

What if the Bills only have one or two QBs in this draft that they feel strongly about and they are both gone by pick 3? 

 

I don't think Beane should trade to 5 now.  Beane needs to wait until draft night to see what happens.  No point in trading to 5 now when there is no guarantee you can trade higher or that the QB(s) you are targeting will even be there.  Now you've wasted draft capital and come away without your QB.

I'm not so sure. The cost for pick #5 could go up if the Giants don't take a QB and don't trade. With likely two of the top QBs still on the board, there may be another team involved. It comes down to cost imo. If the Bills can move to 5 for a decent price, it may be prudent to get there. If the Giants stay put, Beane may not need to do much else. He could get to 4 easily if that were to come in play. What's the worst case scenario? You're still getting an elite non QB at 5 in all likelihood . There are worse things if everything goes off the rails. Worse would be sitting back at 12 far out of the mix at the top of the draft, waiting for tidbits to fall from the big dogs. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

I'm not so sure. The cost for pick #5 could go up if the Giants don't take a QB and don't trade. With likely two of the top QBs still on the board, there may be another team involved. It comes down to cost imo. If the Bills can move to 5 for a decent price, it may be prudent to get there. If the Giants stay put, Beane may not need to do much else. He could get to 4 easily if that were to come in play. What's the worst case scenario? You're still getting an elite non QB at 5 in all likelihood . There are worse things if everything goes off the rails. Worse would be sitting back at 12 far out of the mix at the top of the draft, waiting for tidbits to fall from the big dogs. 

 

Fair points Boatdrinks...

 

I think we'll just have to agree to disagree.  There is still a chance that the Bills QB(s) will be gone by 3.  I'd rather have picks 12 and 22 than pick 5.  It would probably cost us some of our 2nd and 3rd rounders to move up too.  If we can't get our elite QB I'd rather have all of those draft picks to fill the holes on this roster. 

Posted (edited)
24 minutes ago, Inigo Montoya said:

 

I would respectfully disagree that we should trade to 5 now.

 

What if the Giant's pick isn't for sale, what if they want Barkley or Chubb and won't trade out?  Even if the Giant's pick is for sale, I see no chance Gettleman trades out until draft night before he sees what he can get for it.  That pick will be worth more on draft night than it is today. 

 

What if the Bills only have one or two QBs in this draft that they feel strongly about and they are both gone by pick 3? 

 

I don't think Beane should trade to 5 now.  Beane needs to wait until draft night to see what happens.  No point in trading to 5 now when there is no guarantee you can trade higher or that the QB(s) you are targeting will even be there.  Now you've wasted draft capital and come away without your QB.

Then you still get one of the big four at pick number five.

 

The bills didn't put their hair in a ponytail to go home alone. They moved to up 12 for a reason, they have been heavily discussed in moving up.

 

If you get locked out at five there is, again as aforementioned you'll still get one of the big four.

 

I understand the ideology behind the fear of getting stuck at five, however, much like the Jets trading to three above us, you cant continuously allow teams to leapfrog you and shut you out.

 

Moreover, if the Giants do pass on a QB, as the other poster described above, the Denver 5th overall pricetag then skyrockets. The Giants also stand to reason that at five they can still get one of Chubb, or Barkley, or Nelson, or heck, maybe the QB that trickles down could be the guy they want and snatch him up. Either way two to five is not a bad move for the giants by any stretch.

 

You need to be ahead of the game here. Go get the fifth overall.

Edited by BillsFan17
Added Nelson to the players the Giants could take at five.
Posted
13 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

I'm not so sure. The cost for pick #5 could go up if the Giants don't take a QB and don't trade. With likely two of the top QBs still on the board, there may be another team involved. It comes down to cost imo. If the Bills can move to 5 for a decent price, it may be prudent to get there. If the Giants stay put, Beane may not need to do much else. He could get to 4 easily if that were to come in play. What's the worst case scenario? You're still getting an elite non QB at 5 in all likelihood . There are worse things if everything goes off the rails. Worse would be sitting back at 12 far out of the mix at the top of the draft, waiting for tidbits to fall from the big dogs. 

think of the top 5 picks like a commodity.

 

the more that are available, the cheaper they become. however, much like a commodity, the more scarce they become. the more expensive to obtain one will become.

 

if 5 goes to another team that is in the market for a QB, say the Phish  then 1, 2 and 4 just became more expensive than before 5 went up for sale.

 

imo, Beane has a tight window to maximize out value here. glad i am not a GM, he will be earning his keep.

Posted
23 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

I'm not so sure. The cost for pick #5 could go up if the Giants don't take a QB and don't trade. With likely two of the top QBs still on the board, there may be another team involved. It comes down to cost imo. If the Bills can move to 5 for a decent price, it may be prudent to get there. If the Giants stay put, Beane may not need to do much else. He could get to 4 easily if that were to come in play. What's the worst case scenario? You're still getting an elite non QB at 5 in all likelihood . There are worse things if everything goes off the rails. Worse would be sitting back at 12 far out of the mix at the top of the draft, waiting for tidbits to fall from the big dogs. 

The worst that can happen if you move to 5 now is that all four QBs go in the top four and you get your choice of Barkley or Chubb at 5.  Both are elite.  Not an awful worst case scenario.

Posted
1 minute ago, gtu100 said:

The worst that can happen if you move to 5 now is that all four QBs go in the top four and you get your choice of Barkley or Chubb at 5.  Both are elite.  Not an awful worst case scenario.

Depends on the cost to get 5, but I largely agree.  As well, if you get to 5 maybe 2 becomes available contingent on who the Browns take.  

Posted
13 minutes ago, gtu100 said:

The worst that can happen if you move to 5 now is that all four QBs go in the top four and you get your choice of Barkley or Chubb at 5.  Both are elite.  Not an awful worst case scenario.

I think burning all that draft capital for Barkley would be a complete disaster.

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Posted (edited)

Anyone else listen to Gettleman and think the Giants are not in good hands? No wonder Panther fans were annoyed Beane got away. 

 

I'd die laughing if the Giants stayed at 2 for a RB and either turned down draft capital to fill their holes or chose not to take a QB. 

Edited by Captain Murica
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