Flip Johnson Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 (edited) Are we entirely sure Josh Allen won't be available at #12? Let's say we can't or don't get up to #2 and QBs go 1,2,3 - Darnold/Browns, Rosen/Giants, Mayfield/Jets. Who would pick a QB next? #4 - Browns - would have just picked a QB #5 - Broncos - already have Keenum, think they are a contender now. #6 - Colts - have Luck #7 - Bucs - have Winston #8 - Bears - have Trubisky #9 - SF - have Garropolo #10 - Oakland - have Carr #11 - Miami - maybe Miami would consider a QB Obviously other teams are in the mix and could leapfrog into that position. But it is possible that a) the Giants don't take a QB and b) no QBs are drafted between 4 and 11. If the Bills are set on Josh Rosen, none of that helps. But I suspect that they may be interested in both Allen and Rosen. Beane has the liberty to go slow and continue to evaluate because he has the ammo to get up into the top 5, but the possibility exists that a guy they like falls to him. Everyone seems to want Beane to give away the farm to get to #2. He may do that, but this is a case where patience could be rewarded. The Bears last year gave away a fortune to move up from #3 to #2 to get a player they could have stayed put for. The Jets may have just done the same thing if the guy they want is Mayfield. Beane may get his guy by staying put or making a smaller draft day trade and still keep all or most of the war chest. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000922017/article/bucky-brooks-mock-draft-30-new-york-jets-land-josh-rosen Edited March 20, 2018 by Flip Johnson additional comment 2
Chuck Wagon Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 (edited) It's more likely Baker is available at 12 than Allen IMO. Also, teams behind us who may be interested in QB (Arizona, Baltimore, Chargers) know we are the hurdle that needs to be jumped. Edited March 20, 2018 by Chuck Wagon
Sky Diver Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 (edited) It's a deep draft for QBs, which is good for us. There are good prospects outside of Darnold, Rosen and Mayfield. I don't understand the panic. Edited March 20, 2018 by Sky Diver
mrags Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 I want Allen the most of the bunch, I think. But he won’t be there most likely because other teams know the Bills are in need of a QB and if they want to get their guy before we pick they will move up ahead of us. In a perfect world tho, he would be available for the same reasons you say. I also believe the Giants take Barkley at 2 or the Browns will forst overall and then take QB at 4. Ill say this, if we get to 8 or so and the QB they want (no matter who it is) is still there, I expect us to move up no matter what the cost. Hopefully it’s just a swap of picks and giving up something like a 2nd or 3rd at that point but who knows 1 1
Will-GM-for-food Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 Could the Jets be targeting Allen? Sure they moved up due to the threat of Buf leapfrogging them, but it could have also been strongly motivated by the many rumors out there of Buf LOVING Allen and NY doesn't want to miss out on him
billspro Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 I don't want Allen on the Bills. It would not surprise me at all if he fell in the draft. I would pass on him at 12 still. 3
yungmack Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 Browns, Jets, Denver and possibly Miami are all in the market for Qbs. There's even a chance the Giants take one. My guess - and that's all it is - is 3 are gone when Bills pick so it's just a matter of which 3 are taken. The top 4 seem to be Darnold, Rosen, Mayfield and Allen so one of them should be there at 12. Then there's Jackson, Rudolph and all the rest. A 12th for one of the top 4 seems okay but for the rest, I'm not so sure.
FearLess Price Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 No. God no. I wouldnt even take Allen at 22. 1 1
T-Bomb Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 1 hour ago, Sky Diver said: It's a deep draft for QBs, which is good for us. There are good prospects outside of Darnold, Rosen and Mayfield. I don't understand the panic. Darnold, Rosen, Mayfield = Manning, Rivers, Roethlisberger We don't want another JP Losman! Have to trade up!
CajunBillsBacker Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 Careful what you request. There are posters here who would choose testicular cancer over drafting Allen. 1
Flip Johnson Posted March 20, 2018 Author Posted March 20, 2018 (edited) I'm not making a request or saying that it is a good idea. I am not a professional QB evaluator. It is possible that the Bills want Allen and won't need to move to get him. Edited March 20, 2018 by Flip Johnson
BadtasteinQBs Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 22 minutes ago, Jay_Fixit said: We should all hope the Jets take Allen at 3. This is my dream scenario... Jets take Allen and Miami takes Rudolph lol
frogger Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 Allen scares me, all of that arm talent and numbers that bad...I get it, he can throw through a wall, but all the highlights show him throwing to stationary receivers, it looks like he misses his first read and then runs around till someone is open. I get the argument that he didn't have superior talent around him, but nor was he playing against superior talent. Our WRs/TE might be the NFL version of the Wyoming receivers. I would rather get the ILB (if available).
Brand J Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 1 hour ago, mrags said: I want Allen the most of the bunch, I think. But he won’t be there most likely because other teams know the Bills are in need of a QB and if they want to get their guy before we pick they will move up ahead of us. In a perfect world tho, he would be available for the same reasons you say. I also believe the Giants take Barkley at 2 or the Browns will forst overall and then take QB at 4. Ill say this, if we get to 8 or so and the QB they want (no matter who it is) is still there, I expect us to move up no matter what the cost. Hopefully it’s just a swap of picks and giving up something like a 2nd or 3rd at that point but who knows This isn't an attempt to be snarky, I'm just curious... Why do you value Allen? Against power five teams, he was 48 of 96 for 427 yards, with one touchdown and eight interceptions. He only had two games over 300 yards passing in his entire collegiate career. One of those was against a school named Gardner Webb and the other took three overtimes. His career completion percentage is 56.2, despite having one of the lowest drop rates among this year's QBs. He had 44 TDs in his career, to go with 21 INTs. To put that into perspective, Baker Mayfield had 41 TD passes this year alone. Aside from his prototypical size and cannon arm, what do you see in Allen that makes you believe he'd be a standout QB? I just don't see it. 2
mrags Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 22 minutes ago, JayBaller10 said: This isn't an attempt to be snarky, I'm just curious... Why do you value Allen? Against power five teams, he was 48 of 96 for 427 yards, with one touchdown and eight interceptions. He only had two games over 300 yards passing in his entire collegiate career. One of those was against a school named Gardner Webb and the other took three overtimes. His career completion percentage is 56.2, despite having one of the lowest drop rates among this year's QBs. He had 44 TDs in his career, to go with 21 INTs. To put that into perspective, Baker Mayfield had 41 TD passes this year alone. Aside from his prototypical size and cannon arm, what do you see in Allen that makes you believe he'd be a standout QB? I just don't see it. Let me say this to start. I don’t follow college football other than watching highlights or once draft time rolls around. With that being said I like big strong armed QBs. I don’t like California QBs even though Allen is from California. He’s also not from southern cal. Grew up in a small town. He grew up as a farmer. But let’s get back to football. Hes big. Tall. Mobile enough. Has a super strong arm and a razor sharp release. While i I used to agree with all the flaws you speak of. I watched him a little bit and I think some of those things can and will be coached. I understand that he hasn’t done a whole lot against some really weak opponents. But I also look at the quality of team mates he had. He played for Wyoming. It’s not like this kid was around NFL caliber players like other QBs in Southern California teams, Oklahoma, etc. I will admit, the completion % scares me a little bit but I feel that can be fixed with nfl quality players around him and some coaching. With all that said, I really like Mayfield, although I feel he’s a little short. But his attitude and fire makes me want him a lot. I also really like Rosen (even tho I’m not a fan of SCal QBs) a lot. I would be happy with either of these 2 as well. I don’t want Darnold at all and would absolutely hate Jackson. I admittedly don’t know anything about Rudolph hows that?
SouthNYfan Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 2 hours ago, Chuck Wagon said: It's more likely Baker is available at 12 than Allen IMO. Also, teams behind us who may be interested in QB (Arizona, Baltimore, Chargers) know we are the hurdle that needs to be jumped. Miami likes Baker. I don't think he will get by Miami. The other teams can still jump too, as you said. Allen won't make it past the top 6.
cashdude Posted March 20, 2018 Posted March 20, 2018 40 minutes ago, JayBaller10 said: This isn't an attempt to be snarky, I'm just curious... Why do you value Allen? Against power five teams, he was 48 of 96 for 427 yards, with one touchdown and eight interceptions. He only had two games over 300 yards passing in his entire collegiate career. One of those was against a school named Gardner Webb and the other took three overtimes. His career completion percentage is 56.2, despite having one of the lowest drop rates among this year's QBs. He had 44 TDs in his career, to go with 21 INTs. To put that into perspective, Baker Mayfield had 41 TD passes this year alone. Aside from his prototypical size and cannon arm, what do you see in Allen that makes you believe he'd be a standout QB? I just don't see it. Here is some stats that show stats aren't always accurate: Tom Brady Passing Passing Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate Career Michigan 395 638 61.9 4773 7.5 7.2 30 17 134.9 1996 Michigan Big Ten QB 2 3 5 60.0 26 5.2 -3.8 0 1 63.7 1997 Michigan Big Ten QB 4 12 15 80.0 103 6.9 6.9 0 0 137.7 1998 Michigan Big Ten QB 12 200 323 61.9 2427 7.5 7.0 14 10 133.1 1999 Michigan Big Ten QB 11 180 295 61.0 2217 7.5 7.7 16 6 138.0 Dan Marino Passing Passing Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate Career Pitt 693 1204 57.6 8597 7.1 5.9 79 69 127.7 *1979 Pitt Ind QB 12 130 222 58.6 1680 7.6 6.6 10 9 128.9 *1980 Pitt Ind QB 12 116 224 51.8 1609 7.2 5.7 15 14 121.7 *1981 Pitt Ind QB 12 226 380 59.5 2876 7.6 6.8 37 23 143.1 *1982 Pitt Ind QB 12 221 378 58.5 2432 6.4 4.6 17 23 115.2 Jim Kelly Passing Passing Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate Career Miami (FL) 376 676 55.6 5228 7.7 6.8 33 28 128.4 1979 Miami (FL) Ind QB 11 48 104 46.2 721 6.9 5.3 5 6 108.7 1980 Miami (FL) Ind QB 11 109 206 52.9 1519 7.4 6.9 11 7 125.7 1981 Miami (FL) Ind QB 11 168 285 58.9 2403 8.4 7.2 14 14 136.2 1982 Miami (FL) Ind QB 11 51 81 63.0 585 7.2 7.4 3 1 133.4 Joe Montana Passing Passing Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate Career Notre Dame 268 515 52.0 4121 8.0 6.8 25 25 125.6 1975 Notre Dame Ind QB 7 28 66 42.4 507 7.7 3.4 4 8 102.7 1977 Notre Dame Ind QB 9 99 189 52.4 1604 8.5 7.7 11 8 134.4 1978 Notre Dame Ind QB 11 141 260 54.2 2010 7.7 6.9 10 9 124.9 You guys would be puking at the thought of drafting one of these losers...who suck so bad. 2
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