Pine Barrens Mafia Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 13 hours ago, Doc Brown said: I'm a stats guy and Nate Silver had a good track record in predictions the previous two elections. He was really worried Trump would win. He only had Hillary as a 2 to 1 shot which scared the hell out of me as every other polling forecaster had Hillary at a 98% shot. Plus, there was just this feeling I had that Hillary/Kaine was probably the dullest ticket in my lifetime. And therein lies the problem with those who worship at the altar of statistics. Analytics is like a religion any more. In some circumstances, it just doesn't work.
Foxx Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 (edited) 17 hours ago, Doc Brown said: I'm a stats guy and Nate Silver had a good track record in predictions the previous two elections. He was really worried Trump would win. He only had Hillary as a 2 to 1 shot which scared the hell out of me as every other polling forecaster had Hillary at a 98% shot. Plus, there was just this feeling I had that Hillary/Kaine was probably the dullest ticket in my lifetime. ... you probably weren't around for Dukakis/Bentsen against Bush/Quayle then. dull and duller. the shame is that one of the dull/dullers had to win. Edited July 9, 2018 by Foxx
DC Tom Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 37 minutes ago, Foxx said: you probably weren't around for Dukakis/Bentsen against Bush/Quayle then. dull and duller. the shame is that one of the dull/dullers had to win. Quayle wasn't dull...he was always good for a quote. Hell, he got in to a fight with Murphy Brown...and lost. 1
row_33 Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 (edited) 11 minutes ago, DC Tom said: Quayle wasn't dull...he was always good for a quote. Hell, he got in to a fight with Murphy Brown...and lost. who is Murphy Brown, a Democrat Congressman? Edited July 9, 2018 by row_33
GG Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, DC Tom said: Quayle wasn't dull...he was always good for a quote. Hell, he got in to a fight with Murphy Brown...and lost. Even though he was 100% right in retrospect.
DC Tom Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, row_33 said: who is Murphy Brown, a Democrat Congressman? https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0094514/ Specifically, not with the show, not with Candice Bergen...but with the character herself.
row_33 Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 12 minutes ago, DC Tom said: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0094514/ Specifically, not with the show, not with Candice Bergen...but with the character herself. missed that show, that must have been something
Deranged Rhino Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 Want more Trump? This is how you get more Trump.
TakeYouToTasker Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said: Want more Trump? This is how you get more Trump. That's absolutely disgusting. Abortion, even if you believe it a necessary thing, should not be celebrated as a good thing. It should be stigmatized, and viewed as incredibly shameful by those who think it should be legal; except in edge cases like rape, incest, or when the life of the mother is threatened, and even then, it should be viewed through the same tragic lens as an animal chewing off it's own leg to escape a trap. This woman is everything that is wrong with this debate. Truly sickening. Edited July 9, 2018 by TakeYouToTasker 3
row_33 Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 18 hours ago, Doc Brown said: I'm a stats guy and Nate Silver had a good track record in predictions the previous two elections. He was really worried Trump would win. He only had Hillary as a 2 to 1 shot which scared the hell out of me as every other polling forecaster had Hillary at a 98% shot. Plus, there was just this feeling I had that Hillary/Kaine was probably the dullest ticket in my lifetime. he totally fluked out on the number of states Obama won that wasn't an accomplishment
Doc Brown Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, row_33 said: he totally fluked out on the number of states Obama won that wasn't an accomplishment Two elections in a row?
Foxx Posted July 9, 2018 Posted July 9, 2018 13 minutes ago, row_33 said: he totally fluked out on the number of states Obama won that wasn't an accomplishment he's probably a fink as well.
3rdnlng Posted July 9, 2018 Author Posted July 9, 2018 27 minutes ago, Foxx said: he's probably a fink as well. Get out!
row_33 Posted July 12, 2018 Posted July 12, 2018 On 7/9/2018 at 3:15 PM, Doc Brown said: Two elections in a row? He got all the states right for Trump? thats your claim?????! are you sure??!!!
Doc Brown Posted July 13, 2018 Posted July 13, 2018 41 minutes ago, row_33 said: He got all the states right for Trump? thats your claim?????! are you sure??!!! No. God himself couldn't of done that with all the undecideds in the polling. DR either. He did get right 49 of 50 right in '08. 50 of 50 in '12. 1
DC Tom Posted July 18, 2018 Posted July 18, 2018 20 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said: Holy ****...that's real! 1
Deranged Rhino Posted July 18, 2018 Posted July 18, 2018 8 minutes ago, DC Tom said: Holy ****...that's real! And magnificent.
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