Arians: Best QB Class In 15-20 Years

[Dr. Who]

1 hour ago, JohnC said:

My fear of a player like Josh Allen is that he fits in with the Blake Bortles syndrome. If you break down the parts he has them in spades, at least on the physical side. But when you watch him play there is a disconnect between the physical talents and production. 

 

When evaluating a specimen such as Allen the best approach is to forget about the tape measure and watch the tape. Trust your eyes! Then come to an evaluation. He's a player I am very much wary of. 

The sum is less than the parts.  It might change, but odds are against it.

[GunnerBill]

1 minute ago, thenorthremembers said:

 

I don't disagree he plays very well outside the pocket.  My argument is against those who say a majority of his throws come from outside the pocket, which isnt true.  I misunderstood what you were saying, my apologies.

 

That's okay. I 100% agree with you on the Manziel comparison.  It is laughable in my opinion. 

22 minutes ago, Buffalo30 said:

I disagree with this part. Rudolph doesn't have much experience throwing it to covered players.  He's had a some throws that were contested but most of the players he was throwing to in that system were wide open by several yards.  I've seen plenty of his games and seen this in all of them.  I think he needs burners that can separate.  Big bodies are for the QBs that have perfect placement and can throw the back shoulder throw and the fade very well...I think Rudolph would need great route running wideouts and guys that can fly.  Not saying he wouldn't benefit from time to time from a large receiver but I think he'd utilize the faster wide receiver more.

 

I know he throws to open guys a lot... combination of good system, good talent and bad defense in the conference.  I disagree with you about who big body receivers are for I suppose.  Carolina have always gone big for Cam Newton who I would not describe as anything like a "precision passer" or having "perfect placement," we saw what having a DeAndre Hopkins has done for numerous Quarterbacks in Houston who have hardly been synonymous with "accuracy."  I think big guys with big catch radius help a guy like Rudolph, especially because one of the weaknesses you see when you really break down the tape is a tendency to get a bit high on his throws under pressure.  

[mabden]

9 hours ago, Jamie Muellers Ghost said:

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2018/02/01/bruce-arians-believes-college-qb-crop-may-be-best-in-the-last-15-or-20-years/

Bruce Arians believes college QB crop may be “best in the last 15 or 20 years”

 

Supposedly one of the best quarterback draft classes of all time in 1983:

 

Elway 1st overall - went to the Super Bowl 3 times, winning twice at the end of his career behind a great running game and stellar defense.

Blackledge 7th - never really made the Chiefs better, considered one of the Chiefs biggest busts

Eason 15th - went to one Superbowl with NE, but crapped his pants in front of the 86' Bears defense and was never the same

Kelly 14th - well you all know his story, took the Bills to 4 Super Bowls, no wins

O'Brien 24th -had a decent career in New York

Marino 27th  - took the Dolphins to one Super Bowl in his rookie year, lost and never returned despite a HoF career

 

Elway, Marino & Kelly were the only QBs to earn Hall of Fame honor.

 

Regardless of what anyone says about any quarterback of any year, you never know how they will pan out.  One of my favorite QBs was Jim Plunkette.  Drafted by NE, rookie of the year, but NE never really improved so they traded him to the Raiders and he went on to win 2 Super Bowls (again with Marcus Allen and a terrific defense) 

 

Anyway, there are a lot of quality QBs in this years draft.  Speculating on how their careers will go is just that pure speculation.

Edited February 1, 2018 by mabden

[26CornerBlitz]

1 minute ago, mabden said:

Supposedly one of the best quarterback draft classes of all time in 1983: Elway, O'Brien, Marino, Kelly, Eason, Blackledge

 

Elway 1st overall - went to the Super Bowl 3 times, winning twice at the end of his career behind a great running game and stellar defense.

 

Blackledge 7th - never really made the Chiefs better, considered one of the Chiefs biggest busts

 

Eason 15th - went to one Superbowl with NE, but crapped his pants in front of the 86' Bears defense and was never the same

 

Kelly 14th - well you all know his story, took the Bills to 4 Super Bowls, no wins

 

O'Brien 24th -had a decent career in New York

 

Marino 27th  - took the Dolphins to one Super Bowl in his rookie year, lost and never returned despite a HoF career

 

Elway, Marino & Kelly were the only QBs to earn Hall of Fame honor.

 

Regardless of what anyone says about any quarterback of any year, you never know how they will pan out.  One of my favorite QBs was Jim Plunkette.  Drafted by NE, rookie of the year, but NE never really improved so they traded him to the Raiders and went on to win 2 Super Bowls (again with Marcus Allen and a terrific defense) 

 

Anyway, there are a lot of quality QBs in this years draft.  Speculating on how their careers will go is just that pure speculation.

 

Plunkett was actually traded by the Patriots to the 49ers who eventually released him.  Thereafter he was signed by the Raiders where he sat on the bench for a couple of seasons.

[BuffaloFan68]

In my opinion, this will be the best QB class ever to-date.  I know some of the top projections may be a bust but there is usually one or 2 diamonds in the rough that come out of nowhere (Tom Brady like) that can balance it out.  I'm looking forward to seeing the following get drafted:  

Rudolph

Rosen

Darnold

Mayfield

White

Lauletta

Allen

Jackson 

Let's Go Buffalo!!!!!

[Mat68]

2 hours ago, MrEpsYtown said:

 

I mean I know we are all experts here, but I trust Arians' judgement. His big mistake was Logan Thomas, but I mean it was the fourth round. 

 

Allen, Darnold, Rosen all have the potential to be big time franchise quarterbacks. Rosen kind of reminds me of Eli, Darnold reminds me of Rivers, Allen could possibly be Big Ben with development.

 

Mayfield and Jackson could be big time players if put in the right system and an offense that will fit their abilities. I don't like Rudolph, but I could see him being a Joe Flacco type. Falk could be something and then you have those Senior Bowl guys with the athletic ability like White and Lauletta. You have Litton,  Ferguson, Benkert etc. Heck you even have Kyle Allen, Houston QB and former five star recruit as a possible UDFA with loads of arm talent. There is high level potential and possible solid starters in this draft class. 

 

 

 

I think Rosen is that guy. I think he's an elite talent but nobody is talking about him right now. If his last name were Manning, he'd be guaranteed to be the first pick in the draft. I also think Darnold and Allen have elite potential, while Mayfield and Jackson could be really special in the right spot. We need that franchise changing guy. Anything short of that and we are just spinning wheels. I gotta try to trade up for Rosen. 

The best drop back pocket passer in the draft is Rosen.  I think his off the field stuff is over blown.  The headlines he made during the offseason came from a place of empathy for his teammates and other athletes.  Very smart guy.  My greatest concern with him is going to be longevity and ability to absorb punishment of a NFL season.  If he doesnt get hurt I think he easily becomes the best Qb in this class.  

 

Some think this class is poor because there is not the 100% sure thing.  There have been 2 Qbs in 35 years that are that.  Elway and Luck are were the only ones.  This class has 4 legit top 10 caliber qbs.  Most classes have 1 or 2 first rd quality Qbs.  It would not be to crazy to see 6 first rd Qbs this year.  The Bills haven't had a potential franchise Qb since Bledsoe and Losman.  Imo they need figure out which guy they like best and try to go get them.  This draft is the difference of Beane and Mcdermott being in Buffalo for 10 plus years or 3.

[FearLess Price]

Most years there is usually 1 or 2 solid QB prospects that could pan out.

 

This year we have 3 or 4 that could pan out and 2 or 3 that could succeed after a year or two holding the clipboard, and 2 of them could start day one (Rosen, Mayfield). Thats it.

 

[The Now Moment]

35 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

That's okay. I 100% agree with you on the Manziel comparison.  It is laughable in my opinion. 

 

I know he throws to open guys a lot... combination of good system, good talent and bad defense in the conference.  I disagree with you about who big body receivers are for I suppose.  Carolina have always gone big for Cam Newton who I would not describe as anything like a "precision passer" or having "perfect placement," we saw what having a DeAndre Hopkins has done for numerous Quarterbacks in Houston who have hardly been synonymous with "accuracy."  I think big guys with big catch radius help a guy like Rudolph, especially because one of the weaknesses you see when you really break down the tape is a tendency to get a bit high on his throws under pressure.  

Actually, they got rid of Benjamin in Carolina and brought in faster receivers and Mccaffrey to get more speed and help Cam out because he couldn't throw into the tight windows with the big guys.  Hopkins is 6'1" 214...I don't consider that big by any regard.  Speed guys are needed to get open for players like Rudolph in my opinion.

[GunnerBill]

5 minutes ago, Buffalo30 said:

Actually, they got rid of Benjamin in Carolina and brought in faster receivers and Mccaffrey to get more speed and help Cam out because he couldn't throw into the tight windows with the big guys.  Hopkins is 6'1" 214...I don't consider that big by any regard.  Speed guys are needed to get open for players like Rudolph in my opinion.

 

And the transition to speed, YAC guys for Cam has failed.  Big targets with big catch radius' for guys who want to throw down the field but have a tendency to get a little bit high.  I stand by my view if I was drafting Rudolph I'd be going big on the outside and at tight end.  

[BuffaLoko]

9 hours ago, Jamie Muellers Ghost said:

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2018/02/01/bruce-arians-believes-college-qb-crop-may-be-best-in-the-last-15-or-20-years/

 

Bruce Arians believes college QB crop may be “best in the last 15 or 20 years”

Posted by Curtis Crabtree on February 1, 2018, 1:03 AM EST

 

Bruce Arians may not be coaching the Arizona Cardinals anymore, but that doesn’t mean he’s not still invested in the game he coached for 42 years.

 

In an interview with Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com at the Waste Management Open on Wednesday, Arians spoke glowingly about the group of college quarterbacks eligible to be drafted in April.

 

“Oh, I think it’s outstanding,” Arians said. “Maybe the best in 15 or 20 years. The number of quality guys with height, stature, arms, statistics… I really wish I had the chance to meet each and every one and do all the evaluations but I think right now you could be sitting at 14 and get a quarterback. People are going to start trading up and everything but there’s enough quality guys to go around for everybody.

 

Arians’ former team needs a quarterback following the retirement of Carson Palmer after the season. They will certainly be one of the teams pouring time into evaluations of all of the quarterbacks available in the class.

 

Arians said there’s a lot of quarterbacks that have made an impression on him from this year’s crop.

 

“Talent-wise, I mean, Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, (Josh) Allen,” he said. “Baker (Mayfield) has that charisma. I love Lamar Jackson. I think he’s got an unbelievable skill set. Mason Rudolph beat my (Virginia Tech) Hokies with that deep ball and he may have the best deep ball of all of them. You could go on and on.”

Easy...this will translate in Zona NOT picking a QB in the 1st! .. they got to play the contrarian to their former coach!

[racketmaster]

I agree with Arians in that there seems to be a higher than normal amount of quarterbacks coming out this year that have NFL physical traits and abilities. There will be at least 4 first round quarterbacks taken and probably 6. Plus, there are a few guys projected in the early to middle rounds that have a chance to be the next Kirk Cousins. 

[Mat68]

6 minutes ago, Buffalo30 said:

Actually, they got rid of Benjamin in Carolina and brought in faster receivers and Mccaffrey to get more speed and help Cam out because he couldn't throw into the tight windows with the big guys.  Hopkins is 6'1" 214...I don't consider that big by any regard.  Speed guys are needed to get open for players like Rudolph in my opinion.

I believe that was more a change in philosophy from Beane and Gettleman to there current GM.  Beane seems to have the Parcells philosophy there is a finite amount of large men in the world so try to get as many as you can.  You cant teach size or speed.  Everyone in the NFL is fast not every is big and fast.   Hopkins has the largest hands in the league and has made the most contested catches since entering the league.  He plays much larger than his frame.  

[racketmaster]

4 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

And the transition to speed, YAC guys for Cam has failed.  Big targets with big catch radius' for guys who want to throw down the field but have a tendency to get a little bit high.  I stand by my view if I was drafting Rudolph I'd be going big on the outside and at tight end.  

Seems to make sense. Rudolph reminds me a little of Matt Ryan (Smart and all the intangibles but somewhat limited in terms of mobility and arm talent). And the Falcons have put some bigger wrs on the outside in Julio and Sanu that have a good catch radius. 

[klos63]

6 hours ago, Bad Things said:

The "Waste Management Open"?  

Sponsorship ruins the name, but it's a fun tournament to attend.

[yungmack]

9 hours ago, pi2000 said:

I think this class sucks.   A bunch of JP Losmans, Johnny Manziels, Tim Tebows, Brandon Weeden's and Ryan Mallett's.

Could you post your QB evaluation history?

4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

I think it is probably somewhere close to 2004.  What I would say is different is that the 2004 guys were not as contrasting in style.  Yes Big Ben is different to Eli and Rivers is maybe a bit in between the two but there were all in essence pocket guys. The college game has changed and I think a lot of the evaluation of these guys is going to involve looking at system fits and what you need to put around them to let them have success early.  

 

If I am drafting Josh Rosen I want to make sure my offensive line is really sound and I have speed on the outside.  If I am drafting Sam Darnold I want to make sure that I have a running game that can take the pressure off him to throw every down in his rookie year and receivers that can get separation.  If I draft Baker Mayfield I want to ensure I have an offensive coordinator with experience working with a Quarterback who does much of his best work out of the pocket and receivers who can get YAC. If Rudolph I want big guys on the outside and a run game that can be varied and dynamic.  

 

 

A sane evaluation. What's this place coming to?

[SaviorPeterman]

I like Arians as a coach but he's clueless about this draft class.

 

Sources I trust pretty much believe it's a two man show between Darnold and Rosen, with the rest of the class being the same old story we've seen in recent yaers with a lot of overhyped boom or bust type of guys (i.e. Mayfield, Allen, etc) that will teams will reach for in the 1st round or might not be drafted until round 3 or later.

 

Don't get me wrong though, there are certainly some potential steals and sleepers like Nathan Peterman, especially a guy like Tanner Lee who many scouts and GM's are already enamored with given he has all the prototypical NFL QB traits these guys covet.

[yungmack]

1 hour ago, MrEpsYtown said:

 

I appreciate that. I see a kid who got asked some tough questions and responded honestly. He may be a jerk, or it may be something the media is saying because they don't like his opinions. Everything that has come out of that actual locker room has been positive. I think he is an extremely intelligent guy and is standing up for those less fortunate than him. I loved this quote from Jim Mora, who was his coach. This was after Rosen made comments about college taking advantage of athletes etc.: 

 

"Well, I think it's important to know this about Josh Rosen: He's very, very well respected by his coaches and his teammates because we see on a daily basis his commitment, his work ethic, his attitude, his passion for football. We also know that he's an incredibly intelligent young man that does have opinions. Often times those opinions are conveyed to others because he is trying to bring attention to some that are maybe less fortunate or have less than he does. At times that maybe he feels are taken advantage of. The message to Josh is that it's OK to have opinions. As a 20-year-old, you're going to have opinions now that maybe you don't have when you're 22, 23, 30, 50, 60 that are maybe different than when you were 13, 14, 15, 16, 17. But when you express those opinions in a public forum - and he expressed those opinions way back in the spring. This is not a recent interview. But when you express opinions, you create perceptions. You create controversy. There are those who agree with you and those who won't agree with you. And you have to be willing to live with the consequences."

 

Now I would recommend reading this interview with Bleacher Report where he made some of those comments: 

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2722587-josh-rosen-qa-ucla-qb-on-injuries-ncaa-and-post-nfl-goal-to-own-the-world 

 

Here is another interview where the interviewer brings up Trump for some reason: 

https://www.theplayerstribune.com/josh-rosen-conor-mcdermott-ucla/?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Sept 30 AM&utm_content=Sept 30 AM+CID_cf5de8385d01b4393dd30813efc2329e&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=Everything Under the Sun

 

He was asked about Trump and said this: 

"Well, I think it’s no secret that I’m not a large fan of Donald Trump — from a policy standpoint and from a human-being standpoint. I think it’s cowardly to run a campaign based on demagoguery and bigotry, and to incite fear so you can rally support for personal gain. He’s feeding off of racial tension and a lack of religious understanding, and a lack of sympathy and empathy for people who are different from him. I think it’s sad that he’s not even trying to understand important issues and propose legitimate policies to make the country a better place. It seems like he just wants to be president … so he can be president. There’s so much I don’t like. I don’t like his policy positions, and I really don’t like him making racially charged statements to people who don’t know better or understand what it’s like to come from poverty or different backgrounds."

 

BTW, the other guy in that interview is Conor McDermott, who is on our team and loves Rosen. We have Rosen's teammate at left tackle for two years in our building, so if we want to know what teammates think of Rosen, we can just ask Conor. (I also think he is in the mix at RT this year)

 

I see Rosen as a really intelligent guy who is a little misunderstood (because the general public is really dumb). I think the bad teammate stuff and doesn't love football stuff is nonsense. He's the guy IMO. 

Great post. Prepare to be hammered by a subset of members who disdain facts and operate from rage and emotions.

[grb]

13 minutes ago, SaviorPeterman said:

I like Arians as a coach but he's clueless about this draft class.

 

Sources I trust pretty much believe it's a two man show between Darnold and Rosen, with the rest of the class being the same old story we've seen in recent yaers with a lot of overhyped boom or bust type of guys (i.e. Mayfield, Allen, etc) that will teams will reach for in the 1st round or might not be drafted until round 3 or later.

 

Don't get me wrong though, there are certainly some potential steals and sleepers like Nathan Peterman, especially a guy like Tanner Lee who many scouts and GM's are already enamored with given he has all the prototypical NFL QB traits these guys covet.

 

SaviorPeterman used to mention his imaginary sources once every four-score posts. Then it was after a couple of dozen; now it seems every other one.

The illness is progressing at an alarming rate.......

 

Edited February 1, 2018 by grb

[billsredneck1]

2 hours ago, MrEpsYtown said:

 

I appreciate that. I see a kid who got asked some tough questions and responded honestly. He may be a jerk, or it may be something the media is saying because they don't like his opinions. Everything that has come out of that actual locker room has been positive. I think he is an extremely intelligent guy and is standing up for those less fortunate than him. I loved this quote from Jim Mora, who was his coach. This was after Rosen made comments about college taking advantage of athletes etc.: 

 

"Well, I think it's important to know this about Josh Rosen: He's very, very well respected by his coaches and his teammates because we see on a daily basis his commitment, his work ethic, his attitude, his passion for football. We also know that he's an incredibly intelligent young man that does have opinions. Often times those opinions are conveyed to others because he is trying to bring attention to some that are maybe less fortunate or have less than he does. At times that maybe he feels are taken advantage of. The message to Josh is that it's OK to have opinions. As a 20-year-old, you're going to have opinions now that maybe you don't have when you're 22, 23, 30, 50, 60 that are maybe different than when you were 13, 14, 15, 16, 17. But when you express those opinions in a public forum - and he expressed those opinions way back in the spring. This is not a recent interview. But when you express opinions, you create perceptions. You create controversy. There are those who agree with you and those who won't agree with you. And you have to be willing to live with the consequences."

 

Now I would recommend reading this interview with Bleacher Report where he made some of those comments: 

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2722587-josh-rosen-qa-ucla-qb-on-injuries-ncaa-and-post-nfl-goal-to-own-the-world 

 

Here is another interview where the interviewer brings up Trump for some reason: 

https://www.theplayerstribune.com/josh-rosen-conor-mcdermott-ucla/?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Sept 30 AM&utm_content=Sept 30 AM+CID_cf5de8385d01b4393dd30813efc2329e&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=Everything Under the Sun

 

He was asked about Trump and said this: 

"Well, I think it’s no secret that I’m not a large fan of Donald Trump — from a policy standpoint and from a human-being standpoint. I think it’s cowardly to run a campaign based on demagoguery and bigotry, and to incite fear so you can rally support for personal gain. He’s feeding off of racial tension and a lack of religious understanding, and a lack of sympathy and empathy for people who are different from him. I think it’s sad that he’s not even trying to understand important issues and propose legitimate policies to make the country a better place. It seems like he just wants to be president … so he can be president. There’s so much I don’t like. I don’t like his policy positions, and I really don’t like him making racially charged statements to people who don’t know better or understand what it’s like to come from poverty or different backgrounds."

 

BTW, the other guy in that interview is Conor McDermott, who is on our team and loves Rosen. We have Rosen's teammate at left tackle for two years in our building, so if we want to know what teammates think of Rosen, we can just ask Conor. (I also think he is in the mix at RT this year)

 

I see Rosen as a really intelligent guy who is a little misunderstood (because the general public is really dumb). I think the bad teammate stuff and doesn't love football stuff is nonsense. He's the guy IMO. 

now i don't want him. nyc is the perfect place for him.

[Doc Brown]

5 hours ago, ShadyBillsFan said:

2018 minis 2004  ...........   14 years....   isn't that less than 15? 

Yeah and he said best class in 15 to 20 years which disqualifies 2004's class.  Get your darn math straight Arians and don't throw out blanket statements  .