Buffalo_Stampede Posted December 11, 2017 Posted December 11, 2017 2 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said: So my weekend is basically rooting for the Bills and Browns to win. When is the last time the Bills and Browns won on the same day?
eball Posted December 11, 2017 Posted December 11, 2017 It certainly gets interesting for Buffalo if they can beat the Fish twice (a big if, in my opinion), even assuming Baltimore wins out.
26CornerBlitz Posted December 11, 2017 Author Posted December 11, 2017 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/nfl-playoff-machine.html
Buffalo_Stampede Posted December 11, 2017 Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, eball said: It certainly gets interesting for Buffalo if they can beat the Fish twice (a big if, in my opinion), even assuming Baltimore wins out. Tennessee can be caught also. @SF is a tough game with Jimmy G. Then they play 2 division leaders, Rams and Jags.
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted December 11, 2017 Posted December 11, 2017 2 hours ago, eball said: It certainly gets interesting for Buffalo if they can beat the Fish twice (a big if, in my opinion), even assuming Baltimore wins out. I just pray that we win next week so we can be in it the final week. Would be great to play a meaningful game on the last day of the season.
Albwan Posted December 11, 2017 Posted December 11, 2017 ravens are a pretty good team, dont see them losing 2 more games. They went toe to toe with the steelers.
26CornerBlitz Posted December 11, 2017 Author Posted December 11, 2017 3 minutes ago, Albwan said: ravens are a pretty good team, dont see them losing 2 more games. They went toe to toe with the steelers. They typically do as bitter division rivals.
MDH Posted December 12, 2017 Posted December 12, 2017 On 12/11/2017 at 9:07 AM, 26CornerBlitz said: Based on that article it appears that Bills most likely way to get into the playoffs is to end up tied with the Chargers and Titans at 9-7 which means that the Bills probably want the Chiefs to win this weekend despite it killing the draft pick we get from them. It seems unlikely that the Bills would end up tied at 9-7 with only the Chiefs which is what they'd need in order to win the tiebreaker with the Chiefs. Any 3 way tie that includes the Chiefs and the Chiefs make the playoffs. 1
Boatdrinks Posted December 12, 2017 Posted December 12, 2017 2 hours ago, MDH said: Based on that article it appears that Bills most likely way to get into the playoffs is to end up tied with the Chargers and Titans at 9-7 which means that the Bills probably want the Chiefs to win this weekend despite it killing the draft pick we get from them. It seems unlikely that the Bills would end up tied at 9-7 with only the Chiefs which is what they'd need in order to win the tiebreaker with the Chiefs. Any 3 way tie that includes the Chiefs and the Chiefs make the playoffs. That's pretty much it in a nutshell. If you want the Chargers to beat the Chiefs, then you are hoping TEN implodes down the stretch going 0-3 and dropping out at 8-8. While they have a tough schedule , it seems less likely than a 1-3 finish with their last 2 vs division leading Rams and Jaguars.
boyst Posted December 14, 2017 Posted December 14, 2017 I'm getting into the playoffs and losing is pointless
26CornerBlitz Posted December 16, 2017 Author Posted December 16, 2017 538 Sports NFL Playoff Predictor: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2017-nfl-predictions/
The Frankish Reich Posted December 16, 2017 Posted December 16, 2017 Beat Miami tomorrow: playoff chances 31% Lose to Miami tomorrow: it's over. 2% Beat Miami twice, lose to the Pats: 52% chance of making it (better than I expected! this is what we realistically should be focused on) Win all 3: 89% chance All from fivethirtyeight, still the best projection system out there. You can also (like the NYT) play around with what other teams do, but since that's outside our control, I thought it would make sense to focus on the Bills themselves.
DaBillsFanSince1973 Posted December 16, 2017 Posted December 16, 2017 (edited) 13 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said: Beat Miami tomorrow: playoff chances 31% Lose to Miami tomorrow: it's over. 2% Beat Miami twice, lose to the Pats: 52% chance of making it (better than I expected! this is what we realistically should be focused on) Win all 3: 89% chance All from fivethirtyeight, still the best projection system out there. You can also (like the NYT) play around with what other teams do, but since that's outside our control, I thought it would make sense to focus on the Bills themselves. if they lose, throw the 2% out and move on to next season with the hopes of making the postseason in 2018. of course it'll be like that of the past when some will still cling on to hoping other teams fail but it wont make anymore difference then in the past. this is absolutely a must win and frankly they need all three to have the best shot. that 14% chance isn't anything to get all giddy about, is it Edited December 16, 2017 by DaBillsFanSince1973
The Frankish Reich Posted December 16, 2017 Posted December 16, 2017 The realist in me says we split with Miami, lose to the Pats, and end up watching again at 8-8. But the fan in me says: this is completely within our reach. We're not asking for the impossible - beating the Pats in Foxboro. Just beating the Dolphins twice. And beating them tomorrow leaves them effectively out of contention, so we'd have something to play for in the final week while they're just playing out the string. In other words: it's do-able, and it's not an incredible long shot. (but yes, we are the Bills ...)
RiotAct Posted December 16, 2017 Posted December 16, 2017 Didn’t 538 predict that the 2016 Presidential election would be really, really close? I think they had Hilary winning, but not by much
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