RiotAct Posted November 26, 2017 Posted November 26, 2017 11 minutes ago, fridge said: Thats pretty low considering we're in 6th. Just goes to show how impossible the playoffs can be when you play the Patriots twice per year. makes sense when you consider the Ravens and Titans’ creampuff schedules the rest of the way
eball Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 NYT Playoff Machine update: If Bills go 9-7 with losses only in the two Pats*** games, playoff odds are at 65%. If they go 10-6 (beating Pats*** at home) odds jump to 97% 8-8 (any way you slice it) and the odds are under 10% Bottom line -- the importance of a W this week is significant, but not crucial. The Colts and Fish twice are must wins.
JMF2006 Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 Well if the Texans win tonight and the Bills beat the Colts and Miami twice they could still lose twice to the cheatriots and have a 70% chance of a wildcard.
Bills13131313 Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 What if we were to end up with a tie with Baltimore and the Chiefs? Assuming the chargers win the division (which all of a sudden is very possible) Who does the tiebreaker go to?
sir andrew Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 4 hours ago, JMF2006 said: Well if the Texans win tonight and the Bills beat the Colts and Miami twice they could still lose twice to the cheatriots and have a 70% chance of a wildcard. This. It really looks like Baltimore's going to be the main team to beat for the Wild Card. They have a soft schedule as well.
D. L. Hot-Flamethrower Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 Don't forget about Tennessee, I think it's possible that their spot is in play. Will likely finish with 2 losses and could easily lose one of next 3 to finish 2-3 and 9-7.
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 ESPN Machine - ranked by defense alone NE won't win another game.
ndirish1978 Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 We are at about 60% if we sweep the fish and beat the colts ( I think we drop 1 of those 3). Need the Ravens to lose to the steelers and at least 2 other teams.
Boatdrinks Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 3 minutes ago, ndirish1978 said: We are at about 60% if we sweep the fish and beat the colts ( I think we drop 1 of those 3). Need the Ravens to lose to the steelers and at least 2 other teams. Is that definite? Is there no way the Bills can win a TB vs BAL if they are both 9-7 and the Bills lose both games to NE? With so many games left to be played, that seems unlikely as it will probably be one of the farther down the list tiebreakers. Likely based on some percentage that can't be calculated at this point.
ndirish1978 Posted November 27, 2017 Posted November 27, 2017 1 minute ago, Boatdrinks said: Is that definite? Is there no way the Bills can win a TB vs BAL if they are both 9-7 and the Bills lose both games to NE? With so many games left to be played, that seems unlikely as it will probably be one of the farther down the list tiebreakers. Likely based on some percentage that can't be calculated at this point. The ravens are 5-5, I said they need to lose to the steelers and TWO other teams. That would put them at 8-8.
JMF2006 Posted November 28, 2017 Posted November 28, 2017 21 hours ago, Bills13131313 said: What if we were to end up with a tie with Baltimore and the Chiefs? Assuming the chargers win the division (which all of a sudden is very possible) Who does the tiebreaker go to? The Bills would hold the tie breaker over the Chiefs based on head to head. Right now Baltimore holds the tie breaker over the Bills based on conference record 5-3 vs 4-3 http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture
JMF2006 Posted November 28, 2017 Posted November 28, 2017 11 minutes ago, ShadyBillsFan said: doomed yet again. Meaningful games in December....who'd of thunk it
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 28, 2017 Posted November 28, 2017 (edited) 23 minutes ago, JMF2006 said: Meaningful games in December....who'd of thunk it 3 of the next 5 @ home. New Years eve in Miami. Maybe the Fins will have checked out by then. Protect Our Turf Edited November 28, 2017 by ShadyBillsFan 1
BuffaloHokie13 Posted November 29, 2017 Posted November 29, 2017 If we can take care of business and beat the Colts & sweep Miami then we need one of the following to happen Titans lose one of their west coast road trips (@Cardinals or @ 49ers), Lose to the Rams, and Lose to the Jaguars OR Ravens Lose to Detroit, @Pittsburgh, and Cincy OR both.
billsredneck1 Posted November 29, 2017 Posted November 29, 2017 On 11/27/2017 at 3:24 PM, ndirish1978 said: We are at about 60% if we sweep the fish and beat the colts ( I think we drop 1 of those 3). Need the Ravens to lose to the steelers and at least 2 other teams. i'm hoping detroit(no.1) because they are still in it...pittsburgh(no.2) and a dirty hit from cincy's burfict on flacco for (no.3)...and i don't think indy will be a pushover either. here's to hoping for 8-8 for baltimore. i also think the bolts are going to win the west. if we somehow get lucky and get one of those pats games, we will make it. 10-6 is very much a possibility. more koolaid please
The Frankish Reich Posted December 3, 2017 Posted December 3, 2017 14 % chance. That's where we are after the loss to the Pats + the Ravens win. 1
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