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Anybody else concerned about the Tampa game?


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2008: started: 5-1, finished: 7-9

2011: started 4-1, finished 6-10

2012: started 2-1, finished 6-10

2016: started 4-2, finished 7-9

 

I'm not buying into this team, just because they are currently 3-2. If you want to, proceed with caution.

 

My hope for this team heading into the season was that they were a better team in November and December than they are pre-Halloween. There are just way too many seasons over the last decade where we've gotten off to a nice start only to look like a totally inept, bad football team down the stretch. I hope this yr. is different, but for that to happen this offense is going to have to play a lot better than they have.

 

This is my thought as well, I keep pointing to the magic 6-4 number. The Bills have never had that record or better through 10 games since the start of the drought in 2000.

 

If we can somehow get there (or better) we might have a real shot, but I still think these next few weeks are the worst possible matchups for the Bills against two desperate teams that many had pegged as SB contenders in their respective conferences.

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it's going to be tough when your QB cant throw for more than 180 yards / game. It just is the reality.

 

Buffalo # 1 in points allowed by defense and # 4 in interceptions. What more can the D do?

 

I read somewhere they had negative net yards on the last 2 possessions last week. That's horrible.

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This should be a 24-14 Bills win. It will be a good test of Mcdermotts "stay humble" mantra. Buffalos biggest obstacle will be not taking Tampa lightly. I think Mcdermott has this teams attention. Im looking for a solid 60 minute effort.

it's going to be tough when your QB cant throw for more than 180 yards / game. It just is the reality.

 

Buffalo # 1 in points allowed by defense and # 4 in interceptions. What more can the D do?

 

I read somewhere they had negative net yards on the last 2 possessions last week. That's horrible.

We did play the #1, 2, 4, and 10 defenses in the first five games. Tampas 31. That should make a difference.

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We've seen the Bills in this spot before, coming off a bye week or facing a reeling opponent in which fans and pundits believe they should be able to take care of business.

 

Looking at the numbers the Bucs defense is terrible currently ranked 31st overall in terms of yards allowed so there is one advantage for the Bills to exploit.

 

Conversely they are currently ranked #4 overall in total offense which on paper is the best the Bills have faced all season and should be a good test to see McD and Frasier's defense can hold up.

 

Personally I believe this is a must win game for the Bills. Some will claim it's not especially since it's another non conference opponent but a loss would no doubt ramp up the criticism of the bills being pretenders. I also believe this is quite possibly Taylor's biggest game of his NFL career and he cannot afford to come out of the bye week struggling and posting pedestrian numbers again against this defense.

I'm not as concerned...here's why:

 

If you want to look at the numbers to form conclusions, take into consideration their opponent so far. The Bucs have averaged 419 yards per game over their last 3, which would rank them #1 in YPG. But their opponents were the Giants, Patriots*, and Cardinals, none of which possess a top 20 defense in YPG (Cards are 21st, but the Giants, and especially the Pats*, are terrible defensively).

 

Against the Bears and Vikings, both teams with good defenses, the Bucs offense averaged 326.5 YPG, which would rank #18th overall. The Bills defense gives up about 322 YPG, but they're very "bend, don't break". PPG is what matters, and the Bills are tops.

 

The Bucs are not good at running the football, whereas the Bills D is top 10 against the run. Tampa does rank #2 in passing, but again, their average was inflated drastically over the last 3 games against poor/terrible defenses.

 

On paper, this should be a very close game. I see the Bucs finishing with around 345-350 total yards, and the Bills around 335-340 total yards (hopefully Matthews plays, and the WRs step up).

 

Where the Bills have a nice advantage is defending the red zone. The Bucs defense allows TDs in the red zone nearly twice as much as the Bills. Unless the Bills have a rough day with turnover differential and crucial penalties, this should be the key on Sunday.

 

23-19 Bills

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This should be a 24-14 Bills win. It will be a good test of Mcdermotts "stay humble" mantra. Buffalos biggest obstacle will be not taking Tampa lightly. I think Mcdermott has this teams attention. Im looking for a solid 60 minute effort.

 

We did play the #1, 2, 4, and 10 defenses in the first five games. Tampas 31. That should make a difference.

 

A home game coming off a bye should result in a win. I agree Tampa D is bad : 22nd in points allowed.

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Concerned. There it is. I knew you couldnt contain yourself long. God youve spent months trying to blend in on different Bills forums. Doesnt it get tiring?

concerned!

 

this guy is solid. get ready for a million threads shocking similar to this.

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