Magox Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 It's not the be-all-end-all stat that paints the entire picture but it certainly isn't a meaningless one either. It is yet another metric that can helps teams prepare for their opponents offense and to help offenses/QB's diagnose if they are making their reads quick enough. It should be treated like most other stats, just another metric that helps paint a picture.
thebandit27 Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 Amendola played and had 6 catches for 100 yards on 7 targets vs the Chiefs last Thursday. Right, and they had the lead when he left with a concussion in the 3rd quarter...after which time they were outscored 21-3.
NewMexBills Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 I thought it was encouraging to see TYGOD play well after coming off concussion & having minimal time with new receivers, yes it was against the Jets but still positive in the most part & gives me a little more hope this season may NOT turn into a huge mess! Lets just see on the road against a more quality opponent. LETS WIN
reddogblitz Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 and only has 1 season with Hogan. Didn't seem to slow him up much last year.
thebandit27 Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 Didn't seem to slow him up much last year. I would suspect that had as much to do with having all of Edelman, Amendola, Malcolm Mitchell, and Martellus Bennett on the field as well. Right now, Brady is down to Hogan, Cooks, Dwayne Allen, and a bunch of question marks. If Amendola comes back healthy and Gronk can regain his form from the days of yore (as opposed to looking old and slow like he did in week 1), then I suspect you'll see the passing game pick up right where they left off in 2016.
Kelly the Dog Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 I think maybe TT can't throw to TEs can now be officially debunked. Since week 14 of last year, Charles Clay has more TDs than anyone in the league. And he dropped one last week. https://twitter.com/buffalobillspr/status/908345335935913990
JohnBonhamRocks Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 I think maybe TT can't throw to TEs can now be officially debunked. Since week 14 of last year, Charles Clay has more TDs than anyone in the league. And he dropped one last week. https://twitter.com/buffalobillspr/status/908345335935913990 I'd like to hear KellytheDog's unique perspective on "unleashing"
BringBackOrton Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 (edited) I think maybe TT can't throw to TEs can now be officially debunked. Since week 14 of last year, Charles Clay has more TDs than anyone in the league. And he dropped one last week. https://twitter.com/buffalobillspr/status/908345335935913990 Since Charles Clay's last TD, he has tied for the most TD's scored by any Bill not named Tyrod in history. Weird stats. Edited September 14, 2017 by jmc12290
Kelly the Dog Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 (edited) I'd like to hear KellytheDog's unique perspective on "unleashing" I think that for the most part McD and Rico had the child leash still on TT last week, knowing the Jets couldn't score, TT was coming off his bumpusofthenogginous, hadn't thrown much to top three hideouts in camp much, etc. This week they will probably give him a little more rope but not really unleash him. Edited September 14, 2017 by Kelly the Dog
Bangarang Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 I think that for the most part McD and Rico had the child leash still on TT last week, knowing the Jets couldn't score, TT was coming off his bumpusofthenogginous, hadn't thrown much to top three hideouts in camp much, etc. This week they will probably give him a little more rope but not really unleash him. I think the notion of McD holding things back whether it's on offense or defense simply because we played the Jets is ridiculous.
Kelly the Dog Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 I think the notion of McD holding things back whether it's on offense or defense simply because we played the Jets is ridiculous.We clearly did not try to take chances on offense. Did not throw outside. Did not look downfield. Extremely conservative offense and play calling. The game plan is to win. The Jets have literally no skill players. The game played out exactly as most expected it to so there was no reason to open it up more. I think that's almost inarguable.
Bangarang Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 We clearly did not try to take chances on offense. Did not throw outside. Did not look downfield. Extremely conservative offense and play calling. The game plan is to win. The Jets have literally no skill players. The game played out exactly as most expected it to so there was no reason to open it up more. I think that's almost inarguable. We ran the ball at will and once we got ahead things got vanilla to try and kill clock. I don't think the idea going into the game was to hold things back. If that wasn't your point then that's my mistake.
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 (edited) We clearly did not try to take chances on offense. Did not throw outside. Did not look downfield. Extremely conservative offense and play calling. The game plan is to win. The Jets have literally no skill players. The game played out exactly as most expected it to so there was no reason to open it up more. I think that's almost inarguable. ....add up all of the NEWNESS from FO to Administration to personnel gurus to coaching staff to schemes to players coupled with this being GAME ONE against a FORMIDABLE opponent (?)......anybody expecting Air Coryell?..... Edited September 14, 2017 by OldTimeAFLGuy
Kelly the Dog Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 We ran the ball at will and once we got ahead things got vanilla to try and kill clock. I don't think the idea going into the game was to hold things back. If that wasn't your point then that's my mistake.There is not much difference between holding things back and playing extremely conservative. McCoy even said after the game they had a bunch of plays designed to throw to him out of the backfield they practiced for the game and then didn't use. They didn't roll out, bootleg or design run Tyrod hardly at all. Or throw deep. Those are his strengths. They held back because the game wasn't ever much in doubt regardless of the score. ....add up all of the NEWNESS from FO to Administration to personnel gurus to coaching staff to schemes to players coupled with this being GAME ONE against a FORMIDABLE opponent (?)......anybody expecting Air Coryell?..... I didn't criticize the strategy at all. It worked. But you're right, that was another reason WHY they held him back.
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 There is not much difference between holding things back and playing extremely conservative. McCoy even said after the game they had a bunch of plays designed to throw to him out of the backfield they practiced for the game and then didn't use. They didn't roll out, bootleg or design run Tyrod hardly at all. Or throw deep. Those are his strengths. They held back because the game wasn't ever much in doubt regardless of the score. I didn't criticize the strategy at all. It worked. But you're right, that was another reason WHY they held him back. ...NO WAY was I criticizing you bud.....we're in agreement.....even though the Jets were an "arduous task", we stayed vanilla.......
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 No. It's not meaningless. It's like at least 6% meaningful, unlike the preseason everyone was whining about, which was ZERO percent meaningful. Let's see how meaningful they are Sunday at 5 pm. He made improvements. Was it him or the Jets? Winks
GoBills808 Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 Just a note for people who don't know - DVOA isn't very helpful until after Week 4, which is when they start adjusting for strength of opponent. The first 4 weeks they keep everything equal. That being said, it does at least tell us that in a vacuum and adjusting for game situation Tyrod Taylor played like the 10th most efficient QB in Week 1. That is only for passing, no rushes are included. Let's hope it keeps up! Football is a game in which nearly every action requires the work of two or more teammates -- in fact, usually 11 teammates all working in unison. Unfortunately, when it comes to individual player ratings, we are still far from the point at which we can determine the value of a player independent from the performance of his teammates. That means that when we say, "In 2014, Marshawn Lynch had a DVOA of 23.1%, what we are really saying is “In 2014, Marshawn Lynch, playing in Darrell Bevell’s offensive system with the Seattle offensive line blocking for him and Russell Wilson selling the keeper when necessary, had a DVOA of 23.1%."
HappyDays Posted September 14, 2017 Author Posted September 14, 2017 Football is a game in which nearly every action requires the work of two or more teammates -- in fact, usually 11 teammates all working in unison. Unfortunately, when it comes to individual player ratings, we are still far from the point at which we can determine the value of a player independent from the performance of his teammates. That means that when we say, "In 2014, Marshawn Lynch had a DVOA of 23.1%, what we are really saying is In 2014, Marshawn Lynch, playing in Darrell Bevells offensive system with the Seattle offensive line blocking for him and Russell Wilson selling the keeper when necessary, had a DVOA of 23.1%." But this is true for every stat! Passer rating isn't measuring how good the QB is, it's a measure of how good the passing offense is in a particular offensive system with particular players. I've seen that disclaimer before and I don't put any stock in it. DVOA is still the best measurement IMO because it controls for many factors that no other stat does. Down and distance, current score, strength of opponent... There is no other stat like it.
GoBills808 Posted September 14, 2017 Posted September 14, 2017 DVOA is still the best measurement IMO because it controls for many factors that no other stat does. Down and distance, current score, strength of opponent... There is no other stat like it. http://www.footballperspective.com/correlating-passing-stats-with-wins/
HappyDays Posted September 14, 2017 Author Posted September 14, 2017 (edited) http://www.footballperspective.com/correlating-passing-stats-with-wins/ I have no clue what I'm supposed to glean from this, since they didn't consider DVOA at all. Are you trying to tell me NY/A is a better stat? I don't necessarily disagree with that, it's not a stat I've looked into very closely but it is pretty straightforward. In 2015 Tyrod ranked 9th in adjusted NY/A and in 2016 he ranked 18th. That is actually pretty close to both his passer rating and DVOA rankings in the same years. Edited September 14, 2017 by HappyDays
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