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Cold weather teams play better in cold weather


Turnovers being an important key to who wins and loses, and halftime adjustments, are not myths.

Interceptions are important. Fumbles are luck.


you also have the

 

"Pin them deep crowd" on punts on the other side of the 50 (though I think that crowd is getting less and less)

Down, distance, game situation, and opponent all play a factor here. In general most NFL coaches are risk averse and yards/first downs don't come as easily as they do in college.

But in general I agree with your point. NFL coaches should take a few more chances. It really isn't even that much a risk on say third and two to go for it twice. The probability of getting two yards in two plays in the NFL must be greater than 70%.

Posted

Interceptions are important. Fumbles are luck. .

 

Well, which team recovers a fumble is usually luck.

 

Being good at forcing fumbles, or being a ballcarrier with bad ball-security habits who fumbles more? Not so much.

Posted

 

Well, which team recovers a fumble is usually luck.

 

Being good at forcing fumbles, or being a ballcarrier with bad ball-security habits who fumbles more? Not so much.

Good teams don't fumble, right? That was Belichick's theory too. But when he was in Cleveland one of his little known young staffers..... a certain Jim Schwartz did a research project going back a number of year that proved no correlation between bad teams and fumbling. Fumbles are luck.

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