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Posted

We play some tough teams but to think we habe a chance against a team like Atlanta or ne or Denver is tough. As is both are very good teams.

Denver isn't what they have been, I don't think. QB situation is not good. Very beatable playing in Buffalo.

Posted

90% likely we'll go 0-2 vs the Patriots, though, so at least that part's true.

Patriots have no tape on the New Bills.

We have the advantage, and yes i am serious.

Posted (edited)

On average there are 5 new playoff teams every year, so I don't think we can blame the Bills' schedule for the lack of playoff appearances.

 

 

 

 

According to NFL Media research, at least four new teams have made the playoffs every year since the NFL adopted the 12-team format back in 1990.

Over the past 10 seasons, that average has climbed to more than five teams per season, with the Steelers, Ravens, Cowboys, Lionsand Cardinals all making the leap after missing the playoffs in 2013.

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000482717/article/which-five-new-teams-will-make-the-playoffs-in-2015

SOS is meaningless with such high year-to-year variability in playoff teams.

Edited by Fingon
Posted (edited)

I look at the QB, head coach and organization. Looking at the schedule it's legitimately tough because most have a combination of those 3 - which make me a little more concerned about the toss up games. I also usually have more than 2 should win games in mind - so for me there's a little more probably should lose games and a bit more toss up games than a typical year for me.

 

 

 

Probably should lose - Panthers, Broncos, Falcons, Bucs, Raiders, Patriots (2)

 

Toss ups - Bengals, Saints, Chargers, Chiefs, Dolphins (2), Colts

 

Should win - Jets (2)

Edited by Triple Threat
Posted

I look at the QB, head coach and organization. Looking at the schedule it's legitimately tough because most have a combination of those 3 - which make me a little more concerned about the toss up games. I also usually have more than 2 should win games in mind.

 

 

 

Probably should lose - Panthers, Broncos, Falcons, Bucs, Raiders, Patriots (2)

 

Toss ups - Bengals, Saints, Chargers, Chiefs, Dolphins (2), Colts

 

Should win - Jets (2)

Giving Denver way too much credit here.

Posted

Patriots have no tape on the New Bills.

We have the advantage, and yes i am serious.

We have had new schemes to face them like 70% of the last decade

Posted

Giving Denver way too much credit here.

 

Maybe so - then I'd suppose you'd put them in the "toss up" column. It just seems like less - should win games this year, is my point.

Posted

We have had new schemes to face them like 70% of the last decade

I like your sense of humor.

and it is too true.

But you must agree with me at least 30%. Patriots can look at Dennison and Sean + Frazier. but no one really knows how this quite overturned Team will play.

I suspect they might expect the worst fear will be D line till proven other wise

19-0 Baby. Just like the Senator always said.

And as we always will Mead !

Go Bills !

Posted

I think you're nuts. This schedule is brutal. They're starting the year 0-2 with NE games. We can't count on AJ Green leaving the game in the 1st again when we play CIN. Not only are we playing the defending champions twice, but we're also playing the runner up. Every single team, except the Jets, has a better QB than we do.

 

I look at this schedule and the only two "should win," games are against the Jets.

 

I'ts brutal.

Obviously you don't get the point. Look no further back than last year. I'm sure you would have said 0-2 against the Pats and 2-0 against the Jets in 2016 as well. But the fact Brady was suspended wasn't entirely settled yet. How about losing to the Jets and beating the Cardinals. 95% of the board would have predicted the opposite.

The stats prove there is no correlation. Injuries, free agency, draft, home/away, time between games, and season ending scenarios all play a bigger factor than the prior years record.

 

So, lets just play the games and see what happens without Rex.

Posted

 

Maybe so - then I'd suppose you'd put them in the "toss up" column. It just seems like less - should win games this year, is my point.

I do not think this upcoming season is predictable T T.

 

Crapshoot.

Obviously you don't get the point. Look no further back than last year. I'm sure you would have said 0-2 against the Pats and 2-0 against the Jets in 2016 as well. But the fact Brady was suspended wasn't entirely settled yet. How about losing to the Jets and beating the Cardinals. 95% of the board would have predicted the opposite.

The stats prove there is no correlation. Injuries, free agency, draft, home/away, time between games, and season ending scenarios all play a bigger factor than the prior years record.

 

So, lets just play the games and see what happens without Rex.

No Rex = Hope

Posted

I do not think this upcoming season is predictable T T.

 

Crapshoot.

No Rex = Hope

 

I agree it's tough to predict but there's some real professional QB's and Head coaches in there that make me a bit more concerned than most years.

Posted (edited)

 

https://www.buffalor...n-metric-stupid

"The correlation coefficient between a team’s preseason strength of schedule and their eventual winning percentage is -0.0861. If you want mathematical proof that the slate for a team going into a season has almost nothing to do with how the season will turn out, well, there you go."

Meaning there is absolutely NO---let me say that again for all thsoe "off season schedule readers" out there---NO!!! correlation to a "tough" schedule before the season starts to a tough schedule when the season is playing out.

In fact, if anything, it shows there might be a correlation to it being the OPPOSITE----teams with alledgedly hard schedules end up with easier schedules than thought, and vise versa

So let's stop talking about the how "tough" the schedule looks because as I have been saying for years, it's BS, and analytics just proved it.

 

 

So if analytics are so super awesome, why do teams fail in the NFL Draft?

 

Analytics is just another fancy application like what the sharps used to do when they published gambling books on how to win at X, Y, or Z. It STILL does not guarantee jack and it doesn't guarantee our schedule is EASIER either... it's just a trend and nothing more.

Edited by BmoreBills
Posted

19-0 Baby. Just like the Senator always said.

Ummm, he lied...... :(

 

 

I do not think this upcoming season is predictable T T.

 

Crapshoot.

No Rex = Hope

Amen!!!

Posted

Ummm, he lied...... :(

 

 

 

Amen!!!

His intentions have forever been true

i think you're joking.

; )

this time i am only half joking.

grasping at any precipice worth grappling perhaps? sure

Posted

I think you're nuts. This schedule is brutal. They're starting the year 0-2 with NE games. We can't count on AJ Green leaving the game in the 1st again when we play CIN. Not only are we playing the defending champions twice, but we're also playing the runner up. Every single team, except the Jets, has a better QB than we do.

 

I look at this schedule and the only two "should win," games are against the Jets.

 

I'ts brutal.

 

 

Math.

 

The end.

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