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Posted (edited)

More of an unknown at this point than demonstrably true/false.

That's what I mean. False premise.

 

I think you can make a good argument that this was a shrewd move by the Bills, albeit one that is small.

 

I bet they are really high on JW, wanted to find a way to get him more carries, knew that it wouldn't happen if they resigned MG or tendered him for a 2nd. So they dangled him for a fifth and got the Pats to bite.

 

This is obviously speculation but I think very possible.

Edited by dubs
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Posted

Lost Gilmore, Brown, Woods, MG. We got two fullbacks, a safety, and a kicker. The CB tandom is one of the worst in the NFL right now, and the WR group outside of Watkins is a bottom tier group. The depth is worse.

 

You also have to factor in the coaching and scheme changes. Buffalo is going through a transition, the Cheats are building on an already solid foundation.

 

The Bills, with or without MG, were already competing for a WC spot, not the division title. The Cheats have the division in the bag so long as Br*dy is upright.

Posted

I would have liked to see MG stay. I would have liked to see Higan stay. But losing them is not that big a deal. Backup RBs are relatively easy to find, as is a 3/4 string WR. The Bills are no different than any other team, they assign value to positions and players. Then they make decisions.

When you are able to strip the emotion out of it , that's what you are left with.

Posted

Yep, way more excited to see what that 5th rnd pick will bring than keeping the most efficient back in the NFL last year. Yep

 

Define "efficient" please? Yards per carry? Yards after contact?

 

Mike is a simple 1 cut runner and hes going to play the L Blount role for New England. AKA rack up short yardage touchdowns and gain tons of yards on teams they blow out.

Posted

That's what I mean. False premise.

 

I think you can make a good argument that this was a shrewd move by the Bills, albeit one that is small.

 

I bet they are really high on JW, wanted to find a way to get him more carries, knew that it wouldn't happen if they resigned MG or tendered him for a 2nd. So they dangled him for a fifth and got the Pats to bite.

 

This is obviously speculation but I think very possible.

Gotcha. Yeah if that was their thought process it makes sense. I hope the faith in JWill is well founded though.

Posted

Looked at the bios for the 3 backups now in the roster. They all seem to be north-south guys, reasonably fast, can grind out tough yards. If the coaches see 1-2 of them as adequate talent then understandable why they would not go over a certain price point for MG.

Posted

I don't get it. We just let a reasonably priced productive player go for a late 5th round pick. I don't see how this makes us better.

It doesn't. Esp for an offense that is so run heavy. MG should be very happy though. He'll win a SB ring and play a nice part in it, and be part of the reason NE beats up on the Bills, again.

Posted

If Mike G was such a steal why did it take so long to get an offer? Why only one team?

Probably a function of the attitude towards the position in general around the league. Ex-starters still looking for work too.

Posted

Again, a team that didn't need him at all. He was cut before coming to BUF? Had you heard of him? Did you think that a converted RB from FLA state would rip off 7 TDs in 7 games? There are guys out there waiting for their shot. The funny thing is, if the Bills had cut McCoy, you'd likely being saying " no big deal , we have MG"... that's a much bigger pair of shoes to fill

I get that. McCoy is a special talent, I think the extension was unnecessary and is the reason they are not keeping MG. MG led the league in multiple measurements and if it was that easy McCoy would have led some of those. Lets not pretend that Gillislies production was just a fluke. He produced at the same pace in 2015. Maybe the system here helped him thrive but the guy has done nothing but produce and the best coach in the game wants him as a #1.

Posted

Yep, way more excited to see what that 5th rnd pick will bring than keeping the most efficient back in the NFL last year. Yep

Most efficient backs in the NFL for the past few years (going by YPA):

Thomas Rawls/Karlos Williams

Justin Forsett

Andre Ellington

Adrian Peterson

 

I'll give you AP but aside from that it's mostly backups with around 100 attempts. There is no correlation to having the highest YPA. Once you set a minimum of about 200 attempts that's when you see what players are really made of.

 

Not that this will convince you on your little crusade but I promise having the highest YPA when you're a backup is not a huge deal.

Posted

I don't get it. We just let a reasonably priced productive player go for a late 5th round pick. I don't see how this makes us better.

 

It doesn't.

 

It just isn't a make-or-break move in terms of beating the P*ts for the division. It's also not as if TD Mike's production cannot be replaced for cheaper.

Posted

Yes, there are a lot of differing opinions on this move, I do believe we need heat maps to clear things up.

 

 

The blue-ish area beneath "3rd and 2 or less" clearly indicates that Tyrod stuggles in high leverage situations.

Posted

I get that. McCoy is a special talent, I think the extension was unnecessary and is the reason they are not keeping MG. MG led the league in multiple measurements and if it was that easy McCoy would have led some of those. Lets not pretend that Gillislies production was just a fluke. He produced at the same pace in 2015. Maybe the system here helped him thrive but the guy has done nothing but produce and the best coach in the game wants him as a #1.

 

He played in five games in 2015. Five.

Posted

 

Define "efficient" please? Yards per carry? Yards after contact?

 

Mike is a simple 1 cut runner and hes going to play the L Blount role for New England. AKA rack up short yardage touchdowns and gain tons of yards on teams they blow out.

 

MG led the league in multiple categories and efficiency metrics like dvoa etc. He wasn t near the top, he was the top. Obviously BB was impressed.

 

He played in five games in 2015. Five.

I know that. My point was his ypc and td% was the same.

Posted

The real issue here is that the original glorious thread was locked before we could get it to 200 pages. We should get this one up to 100 and then merge them.

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