Tiberius Posted April 18, 2017 Author Share Posted April 18, 2017 Oh no! He's using money! Those nasty old Democrats will stoop to anything! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TakeYouToTasker Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) You said he will lose the runoff by a wide margin. I disagree. I think he might win today outright. Failing that, I think he will win in June. Is that ok with you? Have I clarified it enough? Is it *enough reason* to disagree with your precious position? Jesus, this !@#$ing place! Awfully sensitive today, aren't we? Responses like this to a reasonable opposing position are what's wrong with this place. IE. Your reply, quoted above, is the problem with the discourse. That said, the guy, despite raising $8m, is only polling at 42%. Those numbers would have to be off by a full 9% in order to achieve what you feel will happen. There's a reason serious people don't try to feel there way through difficult problems. The likelihood, given historical norms in a largely Republican district, is that Ossoff won't reach a majority, and will lose by 10-15% in June. I'm sorry that's so hard for you. Edited April 18, 2017 by TakeYouToTasker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted April 18, 2017 Author Share Posted April 18, 2017 [This is an automated response.] You're not trying to make a point, you're just a jerk. Created by DC Tom-bot, beta version 0.9. Eat sh it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cugalabanza Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Awfully sensitive today, aren't we? Responses like this to a reasonable opposing position are what's wrong with this place. IE. Your reply, quoted above, is the problem with the discourse. That said, the guy, despite raising $8m, is only polling at 42%. Those numbers would have to be off by a full 9% in order to achieve what you feel will happen. There's a reason serious people don't try to feel there way through difficult problems. The likelihood, given historical norms in a largely Republican district, is that Ossoff won't reach a majority, and will lose by 10-15% in June. I'm sorry that's so hard for you. You have comprehension problems. You have misrepresented what I've said. Also, you are a condescending !@#$. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TakeYouToTasker Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) You have comprehension problems. You have misrepresented what I've said. Also, you are a condescending !@#$. LMAO... Do you understand the meaning of the words you chose to type? I didn't misrepresent anything. You said you think he'll win the majority of the vote today. I said he'd have overcome polling data by a full 9%, with is well outside the traditional margins of error, which makes your feelings, which is all they are, because they aren't supported by data, unlikely to manifest themselves. You said you think, failing his ability to win against an entire field, that he'll win in June. Again, this is unsupported. This is a district that has gone heavily for traditional Republicans, and any left leaning opponent will have to battle a united Republican opposition in June. If you take this as condescension, you're dangerously fragile. Edited April 18, 2017 by TakeYouToTasker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted April 18, 2017 Author Share Posted April 18, 2017 You have comprehension problems. You have misrepresented what I've said. Also, you are a condescending !@#$. Tasker will do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cugalabanza Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 LMAO... Do you understand the meaning of the words you chose to type? I didn't misrepresent anything. You said you think he'll win the majority of the vote today. I said he'd have overcome polling data by a full 9%, with is well outside the traditional margins of error, which makes your feelings, which is all they are, because they aren't supported by data, unlikely to manifest themselves. No, you insufferable twat. I said "I think there's a slight chance he even gets the 50% today." It's funny how you talk about precision in words typed and about feelings. It's clear to me that you are projecting. You've shown yourself to be careless with words and their meanings and the fact that you are always looking for a fight indicates that you have some emotional problems as well. What are you really afraid of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TakeYouToTasker Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) No, you insufferable twat. I said "I think there's a slight chance he even gets the 50% today." It's funny how you talk about precision in words typed and about feelings. It's clear to me that you are projecting. You've shown yourself to be careless with words and their meanings and the fact that you are always looking for a fight indicates that you have some emotional problems as well. What are you really afraid of? /sigh... Again, I'm not the one escalating this into a "fight". I've done nothing but try to engage you, and you've responded by being a complete piece of ****. I told you that Ossoff would lose in a runoff. You countered that you didn't necessarily think there would be a runoff. I then replied that position was unsupported by data. This indicates that you opposed my position, feeling that he could win today. I didn't misrepresent anything. Own your words. You also said that you though he'd win in June were he not able to obtain a majority vote today. I then countered that was also an unsupported position, which it is. Listen, you're entitled to whatever poor opinions you'd like to hold. This is still America, and as far as I know, that's still your right. But don't delude yourself into thinking that I'm the bad guy here. You've done nothing but escalate your rhetoric in ever post you've made. Stop being a dick head. Edited April 18, 2017 by TakeYouToTasker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magox Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 My guess, which I've proven to be horrible when it comes to political forecasts would be that the Democrat's best hope of winning would be today. The energy is with them and this dude seems to be very well funded. If he doesn't win it tonight, my guess is that money will pour in for the Repub and there he/she would most likely win in a run off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TakeYouToTasker Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 My guess, which I've proven to be horrible when it comes to political forecasts would be that the Democrat's best hope of winning would be today. The energy is with them and this dude seems to be very well funded. If he doesn't win it tonight, my guess is that money will pour in for the Repub and there he/she would most likely win in a run off. Exactly, and he's only polling against a field, to which he's only getting 42%. Once he's confronting a united Republican front in a Republican district, he'll lose by 10-15%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 My guess, which I've proven to be horrible when it comes to political forecasts would be that the Democrat's best hope of winning would be today. The energy is with them and this dude seems to be very well funded. If he doesn't win it tonight, my guess is that money will pour in for the Repub and there he/she would most likely win in a run off. True. The funny part is, this has almost nothing to do with Ossoff. As I said in reply #2 , the desperation of the dems/media is palpable (that's why the whiny responses here) All that matters is that they can run with the narrative (which has been written for several months ) that America has woken up from its horrible dream and realized what a mistake it made by electing Trump. They are delusional. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted April 18, 2017 Author Share Posted April 18, 2017 My guess, which I've proven to be horrible when it comes to political forecasts would be that the Democrat's best hope of winning would be today. The energy is with them and this dude seems to be very well funded. If he doesn't win it tonight, my guess is that money will pour in for the Repub and there he/she would most likely win in a run off. Anyone's guess. Voters in the district might get tired of the race after this vote leaving the election runoff to those most motivated to get out on election day. True. The funny part is, this has almost nothing to do with Ossoff. As I said in reply #2 , the desperation of the dems/media is palpable (that's why the whiny responses here) All that matters is that they can run with the narrative (which has been written for several months ) that America has woken up from its horrible dream and realized what a mistake it made by electing Trump. They are delusional. . This is paranoid. Voters wanting change of government is desperation? The media is part of the Democratic party? Conspiracy boy Propaganda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richstadiumowner Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 (edited) Like the last 5 years hasn't shown us what Democrats think of fair elections? Hillary isn't from New York either but that doesn't matter, leftards will vote in the Klan ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Byrd) and retards (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7m6aewquco) for the chance to do socialism over again, because "it'll be different this time." Edited April 18, 2017 by richstadiumowner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Azalin Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 I suspect that it may be a mistake to presume that since Trump only won this district by 1% that it's any indication of a lack of support for Republicans. Wasn't this Newt Gingrich's district? Unless the demographics have changed considerably since then, I would wager that Trump's low margin was due to the fact that he's not perceived by many as being a "true" Republican, or considered to be "not conservative enough". If that's the case (and I admit that it's a big "if"), then the only way this district goes Democrat is if a run-off is avoided. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 I suspect that it may be a mistake to presume that since Trump only won this district by 1% that it's any indication of a lack of support for Republicans. Wasn't this Newt Gingrich's district? Unless the demographics have changed considerably since then, I would wager that Trump's low margin was due to the fact that he's not perceived by many as being a "true" Republican, or considered to be "not conservative enough". If that's the case (and I admit that it's a big "if"), then the only way this district goes Democrat is if a run-off is avoided. Uh oh, common sense ................ we can't have any of that in a liberal wet-dream thread. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted April 18, 2017 Author Share Posted April 18, 2017 Will be a huge upset if Dems win this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Polls show he'll be in the lower 40's so the real election will be in June. We'll see what Trump and the Republicans do between now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Azalin Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 Polls show he'll be in the lower 40's so the real election will be in June. We'll see what Trump and the Republicans do between now and then. But this isn't about "Trump and the Republicans", despite what the Democrat party and Hollywood celebrities are trying to make it into. That they're casting it that way shows the extent of their desperation to appear relevant at a time when they've lost nearly all their support outside of the east & west coasts and a handful of urban areas. I've done a bit of digging since my last post in this thread, and I've learned that the 6th district went over 60% for both Romney and McCain before him, so unless there's been a major shift in demographics in that district, they're not electing a Democrat for that seat, no matter what Samuel L Jackson says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 But this isn't about "Trump and the Republicans", despite what the Democrat party and Hollywood celebrities are trying to make it into. That they're casting it that way shows the extent of their desperation to appear relevant at a time when they've lost nearly all their support outside of the east & west coasts and a handful of urban areas. I've done a bit of digging since my last post in this thread, and I've learned that the 6th district went over 60% for both Romney and McCain before him, so unless there's been a major shift in demographics in that district, they're not electing a Democrat for that seat, no matter what Samuel L Jackson says. The Republicans had an enthusiastic base in 2010 and flipped 63 House seats mostly due to the ACA. This particular district may not get flipped as it hasn't had a Democrat congressman since 1978, but come 2018 the performance of the president and the party will absolutely have an impact on Congressional races. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Azalin Posted April 18, 2017 Share Posted April 18, 2017 The Republicans had an enthusiastic base in 2010 and flipped 63 House seats mostly due to the ACA. This particular district may not get flipped as it hasn't had a Democrat congressman since 1978, but come 2018 the performance of the president and the party will absolutely have an impact on Congressional races. I think you'll find that Washington politics and presiding presidents have little to do with filling house seats. Local politics normally has a much greater impact in house elections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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