Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted

The fans of almost every NFL team think that there team does a great job in the off-season. For 19 of those teams plus the Bills it fails to translate into making playoffs in the actual season.

Its pretty easy to understand why the fans believe this. With the rare exception of a complete tear down and rebuild, every incremental move every GM makes is done with the belief that it marginal improves a team. In a recent example the Bills picked up on waivers a former third round draft pick, who started only 1 game for his first NFL team and developed an injury history, including concussion issues. But on paper this players college career gives him a pedigree that makes him appear to be better than the current "depth" at the defensive end position. Hopeful fans want to believe his NFL track record is not an important data point related to his future prospects.

 

The fans of the team that cut him, think their team also improved by opening up a roster spot for someone to replace a player who never really contributed to the team meaningfully. A true win-win for all the fans.

All of the GM's are correct some of the time. All of the GM's are wrong some of the time. The key is to be right more often than the other GMs are right. Fortunately we have a tool to see which GM's are right more often than the other GM's. Its called the regular season, and we measure it with this cool tool called win loss record. All other assessment's of GM performance are simply people's personal biases and opinions, nothing more.

 

 

Posted

When the Bills are down 15 and the QB is slowly working down the field against a prevent D, letting 20 seconds leak away again, and the Bills get a TD and convert with 8 seconds left... many fans think that needing the onside kick and a hail Mary and 2 point convert just to go to OT is really almost a win for the Bills. Or just as worse it was a one score loss (yeah right) that is a valiant effort. They are more likely to see the offseason as won.

Guest NeckBeard
Posted

If by winning the offseason you mean getting rid of Rex Ryan and Bro, then yes, the Bills won the offseason by a wide margin. I don't know what this tool is, but it sounds like a great name for a band. Offseason Tool, or maybe they will just shorten it to "Tool". Now, that band name is probably already taken, but sometimes a gentleman has to make remarks on a message board without doing his homework. #freedom

Posted

there is nothing wrong with being optimistic and hopeful about the upcoming season. i mean, this is our team. if you don't have at least a little faith, and hope, what's the point? i mean, i guess that you could just be that guy that walks around peeing in everybody's punch bowl.

Posted

give Mr. Clean a chance

 

...obviously you do NOT know the mandates of the "One 'N Done" crowd....McCoach has been here long enough according to their doctrine..............

Posted (edited)

The fans of almost every NFL team think that there team does a great job in the off-season. For 19 of those teams plus the Bills it fails to translate into making playoffs in the actual season.

 

Its pretty easy to understand why the fans believe this. With the rare exception of a complete tear down and rebuild, every incremental move every GM makes is done with the belief that it marginal improves a team. In a recent example the Bills picked up on waivers a former third round draft pick, who started only 1 game for his first NFL team and developed an injury history, including concussion issues. But on paper this players college career gives him a pedigree that makes him appear to be better than the current "depth" at the defensive end position. Hopeful fans want to believe his NFL track record is not an important data point related to his future prospects.

 

The fans of the team that cut him, think their team also improved by opening up a roster spot for someone to replace a player who never really contributed to the team meaningfully. A true win-win for all the fans.

 

All of the GM's are correct some of the time. All of the GM's are wrong some of the time. The key is to be right more often than the other GMs are right. Fortunately we have a tool to see which GM's are right more often than the other GM's. Its called the regular season, and we measure it with this cool tool called win loss record. All other assessment's of GM performance are simply people's personal biases and opinions, nothing more.

 

 

 

 

Fair enough. Still, we need to talk during the offseason.

 

It really has been shown that when people are talking about bringing in expensive high-level FAs as winning the offseason, it most often leads to losing the regular season. Clearly we didn't spend freely this year due to the serious cap situation we've found ourselves in. But I like that we didn't just push the cap problems down the road. Instead we dealt with the problems this year without destroying our situation next year. That much I really like.

 

But I hate that they took a season when we were losing a ton of FAs and managed to not get any comp picks next year, at least as it looks now. If there's one thing they need to do to start winning offseasons in ways that will produce regular season effects, it's maximize the number of draft picks we get in every conceivable way.

Edited by Thurman#1
Posted

The fans of almost every NFL team think that there team does a great job in the off-season. For 19 of those teams plus the Bills it fails to translate into making playoffs in the actual season.

Its pretty easy to understand why the fans believe this. With the rare exception of a complete tear down and rebuild, every incremental move every GM makes is done with the belief that it marginal improves a team. In a recent example the Bills picked up on waivers a former third round draft pick, who started only 1 game for his first NFL team and developed an injury history, including concussion issues. But on paper this players college career gives him a pedigree that makes him appear to be better than the current "depth" at the defensive end position. Hopeful fans want to believe his NFL track record is not an important data point related to his future prospects.

 

The fans of the team that cut him, think their team also improved by opening up a roster spot for someone to replace a player who never really contributed to the team meaningfully. A true win-win for all the fans.

All of the GM's are correct some of the time. All of the GM's are wrong some of the time. The key is to be right more often than the other GMs are right. Fortunately we have a tool to see which GM's are right more often than the other GM's. Its called the regular season, and we measure it with this cool tool called win loss record. All other assessment's of GM performance are simply people's personal biases and opinions, nothing more.

 

So.........you're just figuring out that most fans have unrealistically high assessments of their teams' off-season moves? Well okay then.

Posted

i mean, this is our team. if you don't have at least a little faith, and hope, what's the point? i mean, i guess that you could just be that guy that walks around peeing in everybody's punch bowl.

 

Peeing in punch bowls is the coolest.

Posted

The fans of almost every NFL team think that there team does a great job in the off-season. For 19 of those teams plus the Bills it fails to translate into making playoffs in the actual season.

 

Its pretty easy to understand why the fans believe this. With the rare exception of a complete tear down and rebuild, every incremental move every GM makes is done with the belief that it marginal improves a team. In a recent example the Bills picked up on waivers a former third round draft pick, who started only 1 game for his first NFL team and developed an injury history, including concussion issues. But on paper this players college career gives him a pedigree that makes him appear to be better than the current "depth" at the defensive end position. Hopeful fans want to believe his NFL track record is not an important data point related to his future prospects.

 

The fans of the team that cut him, think their team also improved by opening up a roster spot for someone to replace a player who never really contributed to the team meaningfully. A true win-win for all the fans.

 

All of the GM's are correct some of the time. All of the GM's are wrong some of the time. The key is to be right more often than the other GMs are right. Fortunately we have a tool to see which GM's are right more often than the other GM's. Its called the regular season, and we measure it with this cool tool called win loss record. All other assessment's of GM performance are simply people's personal biases and opinions, nothing more.

 

 

It's fair what you're saying. But there is an added dimension of team chemistry which makes piecing it all dynamicly the true art form. Strategy. Scheme-player fits. Belichick rarely has the super talented highly touted athlete. He's built a machine. He can pop cogs in and out and contend every year.

 

There is way more to it than the "our GM stinks because he picked a sold starter instead of the guy going to a prowbowl for this other team" mantra...

×
×
  • Create New...