Big Turk Posted January 2, 2017 Posted January 2, 2017 (edited) Unless you are going to also consider Julio Jones a bust as well, and if so, simply stop reading at this point because there is nothing to discuss. Yeah...didn't think so. So read on. Jones dealt with the same type of injury as Watkins has...needing 2 fot surgeries to correct it...haven't heard a peep about him being a bust recently, have you?? So let's delve in a little further to how their first 3 years in the NFL compared...Watkins compares pretty favorably on a raw stat line basis I'd say, but when you take a close look at the numbers, its hard not to see that Watkins has actually outperformed Jones in his first 3 years...before you dismiss it out of hand, let's take a look: Jones: 174 catches, 2,737 yards, 20 TDs --- Matt Ryan attempting 1,832 passes over those 3 years Watkins: 153 catches, 2,459 yards, 17 TDs --- Tyrod Taylor and an assortment of other Bills QBs attempting 1,487 passes over those 3 years If we adjust Watkins stats simply for passes attempted, putting them on an even playing field(ie, the Bills throw the ball 350 more times), Watkins stats look like this: Watkins: 188 catches, 3,029 yards, 21 TDs Same foot injury, both needing 2 foot surgeries to come back from it...I'd say Watkins has put up FAR better numbers in his 3 years considering who he has had throwing him the ball and the lack of attempts... For those crying about the "2 first round picks", even though it was only 1, and how it was a terrible move... I think you might want to save that tired, wrong narrative for about 3 more years...Watkins is a stud when healthy, and hopefully this foot issue will be resolved just like Jones' was by a second surgery, and Watkins can do similar things to what Jones has done in years 4-6... Edited January 2, 2017 by matter2003
Kirby Jackson Posted January 2, 2017 Posted January 2, 2017 Watkins is a star that can't stay healthy. It's quite unfortunate because he didn't have injury concerns coming out. It happens in football sometimes though. I'm hoping that he can get healthy because I have no doubt that he's an elite player when out there.
billsfan714 Posted January 2, 2017 Posted January 2, 2017 I like Sammy I really do, but I dont think he has anywhere near the physicality of Jones.
Billsfan1972 Posted January 2, 2017 Posted January 2, 2017 (edited) Great post. Healthy year and targets too. Julio 495 vs 276 targets the first three years!!!!!! Throw him the damn ball. Edited January 2, 2017 by Billsfan1972
swnybillsfan Posted January 2, 2017 Posted January 2, 2017 Watkins is a star that can't stay healthy. It's quite unfortunate because he didn't have injury concerns coming out. It happens in football sometimes though. I'm hoping that he can get healthy because I have no doubt that he's an elite player when out there. i wonder if his injuries, or at least the severity of, will go down if we could find a guy to hit him on the run. standing still with the ball floating towards you while seven defenders are all licking their chops is not conducive to a long career. nor is performing amateur contortionist acts to try to wrangle in some of the slop thrown the way of our receivers. if healthy, he is a game changer. if healthy and playing with a good qb, i think he is a game breaker.
Leroi Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 He is teetering. Let's see what he does next year. I expect 100 catches for 1,500 yards anything less will be a major disappointment. Imo
Big Turk Posted January 3, 2017 Author Posted January 3, 2017 (edited) He is teetering. Let's see what he does next year. I expect 100 catches for 1,500 yards anything less will be a major disappointment. Imo Bullcrap... You want to see a bust? Go look at Charles Rogers, 2nd pick in the 2003 draft.... 36 catches, 440 yards, 4 TDs in 3 years. THAT is a bust... Edited January 3, 2017 by matter2003
Kelly the Dog Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 Great post. Julio, just like Sammy, was a guy who was just obvious he was going to be a star. Unfortunately because of that obviousness, I had him two of his first three years on my fantasy team and I got burnt.
DanInUticaTampa Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 I like Watkins a lot and it is a shame he cant stay healthy. With that said, he isn't a bust, but I think at this point he would have to be seen as a reach. 2 first rounders given up for him, (QB issues aside) and evans and OBJ (and arguably others) picked after him have been more productive. Not saying he is a bust, but I don't think he was worth what we gave up, which I guess is a reach. If he can somehow stay healthy, he will help this team get on the right track. huge if at this point
The Wiz Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 I like Sammy I really do, but I dont think he has anywhere near the physicality of Jones.I wouldn't know. He's only targeted standing still or in the end zone.
Maury Ballstein Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 Watkins is amazing. So is Mike Evans and OBJ as well tho.
Billsfan1972 Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 And there are busts too. They gave up a lower 1 and what they thought would be a lower one in 2015 for the best out of the draft. Not having the QB or coaching staff treat him as a #1 and target him like obj and Evans is the problem.....
thebandit27 Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 The terms "Sammy Watkins" and "bust" don't belong anywhere near each other. The most one could say is that he hasn't been available enough to justify the investment. And I'd agree with that. On the field, he's nothing short of elite on a per-target basis.
Gugny Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 The terms "Sammy Watkins" and "bust" don't belong anywhere near each other. The most one could say is that he hasn't been available enough to justify the investment. And I'd agree with that. On the field, he's nothing short of elite on a per-target basis. I agree with this. I also think if we get a QB who won't put him in peril every time he's a target, we might get 16 games out of him.
Kirby Jackson Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 I'd like to see Sammy get close to half of the targets. That's what the good teams do. He needs 10 targets a game anyways. The offense will be better if that's the case.
Gugny Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 I'd like to see Sammy get close to half of the targets. That's what the good teams do. He needs 10 targets a game anyways. The offense will be better if that's the case. Totally agree. Not sure if you watched the GB game last night. But Rodgers was having trouble finding Nelson open (he was being covered very well). They adjusted. They found a way to get him the ball. And that's when the game got away from Detroit. Watkins needs the ball. We need a QB who can find him/hit him other than when there's blown coverage on the sidelines.
Samwell Tarly Posted January 3, 2017 Posted January 3, 2017 I don't believe Sammy is a bust either. On any team with consistent QB play this wouldn't even be up for discussion..
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